Ok now that the women have shown the 3/3s are for real in major competitions, a 3/3 is becoming a necessity, or so everyone thinks. There's no question that Sasha and Michelle must seriously consider the 3/3 combo. That's what I thought but... maybe NOT!!!
Has everyone forgotten that under the CoP, a 3/3 combo fetches the same points as the summation of its individual jumps. If Michelle or Sasha does a 6-triple program with no 3/3, and Miki and Shizuka do a 6-triple program with 1 or 2 3/3s, they all will end up having the same points, let's leave out the GOE for this discussion. In fact Miki and Shizuka will have more to lose since they are taking a much higher risk. The only way for Miki and Shizuka to beat Michelle and Sasha in terms of points for triples is to land 7 triples which Michelle and Sasha can't, going by the CoP rule.
Now how consistent are the female skaters in doing a 7-triple program. Yes, a lot have proven they can land the 3/3 but 7 triples? To my knowledge, other than Michelle who has landed 11 in her career, and Sarah/Tara, none of the ladies have proven to be consistent not even Irina. Worse, under the CoP, in order to have a 7-triple program, one must land at least a 3/3 combo, hence it is very risky overall.
So, here's my assertion, Michelle and Sasha are safe afterall without the 3/3. Please feel free to disagree and bombard me with rebuttals. This is based on my understanding of the CoP. Did I miss something?