Here are the current world standings!! I think Yulia will beat out Sotnikova and if Mao and Caro retire be the overall #1. I didn't break out a calculator though and just eyeballed it.
1 3920 Mao Asada (not doing GP)
2 3419 Julia Lipnitskaia
3 3182 Adelina Sotnikova
4 3021 Ashley Wagner
5 2853 Akiko Suzuki (retired)
6 2793 Elena Radionova
7 2771 Gracie Gold
8 2762 Carolina Kostner (probably retiring)
9 2404 Anna Pogorilaya
10 2389 Kanako Murakami
11 2345 YuNa Kim (retired)
12 2302 Satoko Miyahara
13 2178 Valentina Marchei
14 2086 Elizaveta Tuktamysheva
15 1995 Viktoria Helgesson
16 1975 Mae Berenice Meite
17 1940 Haruka Imai
18 1802 Courtney Hicks
19 1697 Christina Gao
20 1689 Zijun Li
21 1643 Joshi Helgesson
22 1620 Amelie Lacoste (reportedly retired)
23 1595 Mirai Nagasu
24 1584 Nathalie Weinzierl
25 1557 Samantha Cesario
26 1498 Agnes Zawadzki
27 1450 Nikol Gosviani
28 1377 Alena Leonova
Wow!! Good job and thank you for your efforts!!
Thanks chuckm for the reminder to change my rankings based on scrubbing previous years. It makes a big difference.
Hanyu and Lipnitskaia haven't been there "every year", but they have the last two years. No guarantee either of them will go there again this year, or any other year - perhaps they are "too big" now :-D
It would be a real coup for Finlandia if they do though - Olympic and World medallists. Tickets might suddenly become hard to get. And expensive :-P
They also don't have a Pairs competition so far... just Mens and Ladies singles, Ice Dance... and Synchronised.
Russia won't be able to send any of the baby Russians from last year's JGPF to the GP this year because none of them are old enough, with the new age rules in place. I guess that means Alena Leonova may still get a GP event or two.
Actually this is a great season for lower ranked skaters to get 1 or even 2 GP assignments, including Leonova. *IF* Mao skips, and Caro and Akiko retire, that leaves just three of the top 6 for seeding. Same with seasons best and world rankings. Most of these remaining skaters are duplicates on both lists.
Just updated my original post with ladies projections...let me know if I need to change anything...
For example, the weird thing about seeing Orford & Williams on that ranking list is that they finished 5th at Nationals this year and haven't even been to a World Championships yet, and had a TES score that was too low to even be named as alternates. Meanwhile, Paul & Islam, who finished ahead of them at Nationals and went to Worlds, don't even make this list. But I guess that's what happens when you're a team that hasn't had many GP events or been to 4 Continents recently, etc.
Who makes it into the Top 26 if D&W and V&M retire as expected, along with P&B who have already said they will do so?