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Thread: Medal Contenders (Favorites) For 2018 PyeonChang Olympics

  1. #16
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    It's really hard to tell. But here's my hunches:

    Men:
    1. Hanyu
    2. Kovtun
    3. Machida

    Ladies:
    1. Lipnitskaia
    2. Radionova
    3. Gold

    Pairs:
    1. Stolbova/Klimov
    2. Duhamel/Radford
    3. Sui/Han

    Ice Dance:
    1. W/P
    2. I/Z
    3. C/B

  2. #17
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    Quote Originally Posted by CanadianSkaterGuy View Post
    It's really hard to tell. But here's my hunches:

    Men:

    3. Machida
    Machida's not going for Pyeongchang. He said next season is his last.

  3. #18
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    Quote Originally Posted by makaihime View Post
    Machida's not going for Pyeongchang. He said next season is his last.
    Oh that's unfortunate. :(

    In that case, I'll say Fernandez.

  4. #19
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    Quote Originally Posted by lilahozi View Post
    Not so sure Yuzuru gets the same type of hate in Korea that other Japanese skaters would. The Korean girls LOVEEEE him.

    But if he is penalized for being Japanese, that means Japan and Russia would be out of OGM contention, so the winner might be Javier, a Canadian, or an American.
    In fact, Japanese skaters have always done better than expectations in South Korea. I'm optisimtic about the better results than Sochi. For Russia... it could be different.

    2005 4CC ladies Suguri and Onda finished 1-2
    2008 4CC Mao wins, Takahashi's skate of his life (remained the highest score for 3 years)
    2008 GPF Mao wins with two 3A in FS againt Kim, Kozuka gifted with silver desipte two falls
    2010 4CC Mao landed two 3A, gained the momentum for Vancouver, Machida wins silver unexpectedly
    2011 JW Keiji Tanaka wins silver unexpectedly, Japanese ladies managed 3 spots

  5. #20
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    Nooo, Machida wants to retire after next season?! I'm not even his fan, but he has so much potential. His SP was beautiful. I want to see him nip at Yuzuru's heels.

    Quote Originally Posted by lilahozi View Post
    But if he is penalized for being Japanese, that means Japan and Russia would be out of OGM contention, so the winner might be Javier, a Canadian, or an American.
    Never, ever gold for Canada. Yuzu should pray no Canadian is even vaguely in contention (Patrick might be the exception since he already has "two" silvers), because that means he'll be bronze behind them.

    I think Russia will be contending for podium finish in men's more than gold. I like the American boys but I don't know if they'll have the technical skills (Jason) or PCS (Max) to win gold (I don't know enough about Josh to make a proper assessment; I'll leave Jeremy out of this because, well...)

    The thing is, no matter how I analyze it logically, Yuzu should win. He has incredible technique and everyone that currently can challenge him is older than he is. However, history dictates that Olympic champions rarely repeat, especially on "enemy ice." Four years ago, Yuzu was nowhere and Patrick was flopping all over the ice in Vancouver. A lot will change by 2018, especially in the men's field.

  6. #21
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    This is hard to say. Nguyen will be a high hope for Canada. If he gets a quad soon (I'm thinking not a consistent one this season, but maybe the season after), he could be in contention for a medal. After all, very few people would have pegged Hanyu to win 2014 after the 2010 Olympics had ended.

  7. #22
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    D/R is going to pyeongchang?

  8. #23
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    Quote Originally Posted by CanadianSkaterGuy View Post
    This is hard to say. Nguyen will be a high hope for Canada. If he gets a quad soon (I'm thinking not a consistent one this season, but maybe the season after), he could be in contention for a medal. After all, very few people would have pegged Hanyu to win 2014 after the 2010 Olympics had ended.
    Okay. Then my prediction:

    1. Dude we never heard about yet. Not Russian (vengeance), Japanese (hate), or Canadian (cursed).
    2. Nguyen or Patrick, depending on the skating gods' feelings on Team silver
    3. Yuzu

    Happy? (Actually, I'm not happy because I want a medal for Javi. I think he deserved bronze in Sochi. Only ridiculously stupid/strict Zayak rules prevented that).

  9. #24
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    It is a long shot but hope Michael Martinez becoming the contender.

  10. #25
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    Quote Originally Posted by CanadianSkaterGuy View Post
    This is hard to say. Nguyen will be a high hope for Canada. If he gets a quad soon (I'm thinking not a consistent one this season, but maybe the season after), he could be in contention for a medal. After all, very few people would have pegged Hanyu to win 2014 after the 2010 Olympics had ended.
    Yuzuru's rise was METEORIC. He blasted onto the scene in 2012 (for people who weren't keeping an eye on him since juniors), and then streaked to the top. Everyone was still saying he'll medal in 2014 and probably get the gold in 2018, but no one expected him to skyrocket just like that.

    Also, how many years ago was Javier Fernandez dead last at his first Olympics?

  11. #26
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sandpiper View Post
    Nooo, Machida wants to retire after next season?! I'm not even his fan, but he has so much potential. His SP was beautiful. I want to see him nip at Yuzuru's heels.

    Never, ever gold for Canada.
    Same here re: Machida; I'm embarrassed that I forgot about him. (still like Javi a lot, though).

    Why never ever gold for Canada? No curse lasts forever -- it took the Boston Red Sox almost 100 years to win a World Series but they finally did it!

  12. #27
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sandpiper View Post
    Okay. Then my prediction:

    1. Dude we never heard about yet. Not Russian (vengeance), Japanese (hate), or Canadian (cursed).
    2. Nguyen or Patrick, depending on the skating gods' feelings on Team silver
    3. Yuzu

    Happy? (Actually, I'm not happy because I want a medal for Javi. I think he deserved bronze in Sochi. Only ridiculously stupid/strict Zayak rules prevented that).
    To be fair, Javier knew very well about the rules. What's stupid is that he pulled a Nobunari Oda and cost himself a medal. When you try 4 jumping passes that contain two 4S and two 3S, there's a huge danger if you triple a quad. Fernandez should have played it smarter and trained his final jumping pass as a 3Z or 3F or even a 2A.

  13. #28
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    Quote Originally Posted by lilahozi View Post
    Yuzuru's rise was METEORIC. He blasted onto the scene in 2012 (for people who weren't keeping an eye on him since juniors), and then streaked to the top. Everyone was still saying he'll medal in 2014 and probably get the gold in 2018, but no one expected him to skyrocket just like that.

    Also, how many years ago was Javier Fernandez dead last at his first Olympics?
    That's my point. A skater's rise can be meteoric. Hanyu and Kovtun are two examples of that under this system. Even Brown was winning GP medals without any quad attempts. Nguyen could certainly contend for GP medals over the next few years, and with a bit of luck and good coaching from Orser he could be on the 2018 podium.

  14. #29
    Love popcorn, hate horrendous costumes. Meoima's Avatar
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    It's still early to say anything. A lot can happen in 4 years. So I can't tell who have the chance for now.

    Barring all the stuff happening between Japan and Korea, I suppose all the Japanese skaters would have to skate their heart out just to have a chance of the bonze, even Hanyu. Koreans people will not happy if any Japanese skater will be on the podium, less alone the gold, they would hate it, very much. Any gold for any Japanese skater in 2018 sounds almost impossible.

    Same thing would be applied for the Russians. But I don't know if the Russians men will be disliked as much as the ladies, though. This is politicking in figure skating, we all know it. Not to mention Korean Fed has just vote for anonymous judging.

    Koreans seem to less dislike Chinese, so they might have better chances.

    Anyways, it's just my guess. Who knows, Korean fed might not care that much about figure skating as much as speed skating. I hope it will be fair competition.

  15. #30
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    I would say Yuzuru and Denis Ten to medal, Javier...I don't know. I have a feeling he will do something to blow it somehow (I do like him, it's just a gut feeling). I would love to see Jason master the quad and have a shot at a medal as well. Dark horse - Han Yan? At this point in time I don't see any Russian man that is a safe bet.

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