Page 1 of 2 1 2 LastLast
Results 1 to 15 of 23

Thread: 2014-2015 GP Predictions game

  1. #1
    skating philosopher Mrs. P's Avatar
    Join Date
    Dec 2009
    Location
    The land of Agent Dale Cooper
    Posts
    8,382

    2014-2015 GP Predictions game

    We're about a month out from Skate America.

    I know some of you have already posted your prediction in but many of you have expressed interest in continuing the game.

    For those are you who are new, for the last two years, the members of this forum have engaged in a fun predictions game that has lasted all season. The game was established by the Macassar88, who also coordinated the scoring.

    In year two, tulosai took on the reigns and made some valuable revisions including a more streamline scoring format. In addition, CaroLiza_Fan did two spinoff predictions games for National Championships and the ISU Championships.

    So here we are in year three! I have served as a scorer for the last two years and will continue to do so.

    So here's what we need:

    -- A Coordinator. I could do it. I guess I am volunteering in starting this thread. But I would be glad to yield to one of our previous coordinators.
    -- Four scorers. Basically you would be responsible for scoring a single discipline during the GP series. I'd be glad to continue my tradition of scoring the men. I'd love for some our scorers from past games to return or I'd be glad to train some newbies. I also wouldn't mind having a few sub scorers when the main scorers are unable to do the scoring for a given event.
    --- Feedback. Your thoughts on scoring rules, approach. Feel free to use this thread to give any thoughts you may have -- or simply to affirm your interest in continuing the tradition.

    Once we have all that in place, I'll revise this post with the rules and format.

  2. #2
    Custom Title FSGMT's Avatar
    Join Date
    Sep 2012
    Location
    Italy
    Posts
    2,835
    I've been a scorer in the "spin-off" games for Ice Dance, but I would love to score Ladies I can help with any of the disciplines, though! (And I love being a competitor, too! )

  3. #3
    Custom Title
    Join Date
    Mar 2014
    Location
    Moscow
    Posts
    262
    Is this year possible to stay with just ladies? I am following mostly them. Then my predictions are:

    Skate America
    Radionova
    Tuktamysheva
    Gold
    Park
    Imai
    Nagasu

    Skate Canada
    Pogorilaya
    Leonova
    Wagner
    Miyahara
    Hicks
    Weinzierl

    Cup of China
    Lipnitskaya
    Tuktamysheva
    Edmunds
    Murakami
    Li
    Gao

    Rostelekom cup
    Sotnikova
    Pogorilaya
    Park
    Nagasu
    Gosviani
    Weinzierl

    Trophee Bombard
    Lipniskaya
    Radionova
    Wagner
    Imai
    Meite
    Hicks

    NHK Trophy
    Sotnikova
    Edmunds
    Leonova
    Gold
    Miyahara
    Murakami

    Basically, my prediction means it will be 5 Russian ladies in GPF with Leonova and Edmunds competing for the last spot, provided no one is injured, of course.

  4. #4
    umm...
    Join Date
    Mar 2014
    Location
    Bears, vodka, balalaika...
    Posts
    529
    Very interesting idea. I will definitely participate.
    And I am also ready to be a scorer (ice dance preferably, since it's my favourite discipline). If you will not find someone better, of course I've never been one before. But I'm ready to learn.

  5. #5
    Custom Title FSGMT's Avatar
    Join Date
    Sep 2012
    Location
    Italy
    Posts
    2,835
    So, it's Mrs P, Snow63 and I so far? We need anothe one... Come on, guys!

  6. #6
    Forever stuck on those steps Li'Kitsu's Avatar
    Join Date
    Dec 2011
    Posts
    1,011
    Thanks a lot Mrs.P for creating this thread! It would be great if it could work out this season too, this game is a lot of fun

    I'm not sure I could be a scorer again this season, as I'm really busy with studies right now. If nobody else would do it, I can still try to help out though. Maybe it's just that not a lot of people saw the thread in this sub-forum ^^"

  7. #7
    skating philosopher Mrs. P's Avatar
    Join Date
    Dec 2009
    Location
    The land of Agent Dale Cooper
    Posts
    8,382
    Well, I guess I might as well take the bull by the horns and coordinate this thing.

    So:

    * Okay, Snow63 and FSGMT, you are in and I will give your respective first choices (Ice Dance and Ladies). FSGMT, I think I have your email from the other game; Snow63, can you PM your email?

    * So we need one more (Pairs). Anyone want to step up and do this one?

    * Li'Kitsu, if you want, you can be a judging sub/pinchhitter How does that sound?

    * samkrut@mail.ru: You can of course stick to ladies, but that means a lot less points. Besides half the fun is trying to guess in disciplines you have no knowledge or interest in.


    I will leave this thread for any additional feedback/thoughts before I get the ball rolling on the posting the official rules (which will be in the GP subforum).

  8. #8
    Custom Title LRK's Avatar
    Join Date
    Nov 2012
    Location
    Sweden
    Posts
    1,959
    Quote Originally Posted by Mrs. P View Post
    Well, I guess I might as well take the bull by the horns and coordinate this thing.

    So:

    * Okay, Snow63 and FSGMT, you are in and I will give your respective first choices (Ice Dance and Ladies). FSGMT, I think I have your email from the other game; Snow63, can you PM your email?

    * So we need one more (Pairs). Anyone want to step up and do this one?

    * Li'Kitsu, if you want, you can be a judging sub/pinchhitter How does that sound?

    * samkrut@mail.ru: You can of course stick to ladies, but that means a lot less points. Besides half the fun is trying to guess in disciplines you have no knowledge or interest in.


    I will leave this thread for any additional feedback/thoughts before I get the ball rolling on the posting the official rules (which will be in the GP subforum).
    I will second that. I don't even watch ice dance - and ended up doing relatively well in it. Apparently the less I think, the better I do.

  9. #9
    go figure
    Join Date
    Nov 2013
    Posts
    120
    Quote Originally Posted by Mrs. P View Post
    -- or simply to affirm your interest in continuing the tradition.
    That's my case. I haven't been posting long in these forums, and am totally in for my first year of predictions.

  10. #10
    Medalist elle_e's Avatar
    Join Date
    Sep 2013
    Posts
    85
    Quote Originally Posted by Mrs. P View Post
    Well, I guess I might as well take the bull by the horns and coordinate this thing.

    So:

    * Okay, Snow63 and FSGMT, you are in and I will give your respective first choices (Ice Dance and Ladies). FSGMT, I think I have your email from the other game; Snow63, can you PM your email?

    * So we need one more (Pairs). Anyone want to step up and do this one?

    * Li'Kitsu, if you want, you can be a judging sub/pinchhitter How does that sound?

    * samkrut@mail.ru: You can of course stick to ladies, but that means a lot less points. Besides half the fun is trying to guess in disciplines you have no knowledge or interest in.


    I will leave this thread for any additional feedback/thoughts before I get the ball rolling on the posting the official rules (which will be in the GP subforum).
    If you're still in need of a scorer for pais, I am more than happy for volunteer myself

  11. #11
    Custom Title Rhodium's Avatar
    Join Date
    Feb 2014
    Location
    Russia
    Posts
    113
    I think that tulosai scoring rules have the following drawback: rightly predicted first place and rightly predicted 5th place is worth the same points. I suppose you agree with me that the "distance" between first and second places is much larger than the distance between 5th and 6th places.

    I suggest the following scoring rules. Let's define the distances between adjacent places:
    1
    < 4 points >
    2
    < 2 points >
    3
    < 2 points >
    4
    < 1 point >
    5
    < 1 point >
    6
    < 1 point >
    7
    < 0 points >
    8
    < 0 points > ...

    A penalty points is the total distance between predicted and true places. Formally speaking, a participant should make predictions for all competitors, not only top-6. But actually it is enough to make predictions for first 6 places, because the distance between all other places is zero Withdrawed competitors have the same "level" as 7, 8, 9... places. Winner of the game is a participant who has the least total points.

    There is an important feature of this sistem. It is enough to take into account only competitors whose true placement is better than predicted one, because a total penalty points for such competitors is exactly a half of total points for all competitors.

    For example, let's assume the following results of Skate America:
    1. Radionova
    2. Gold
    3. Nagasu
    4. Tuk
    5. Park
    6. Meite

    If my prediction is:
    1. Gold
    2. Tuk
    3. Radionova
    4. Han
    5. Park
    6. Popova
    I would get 6 (Radionova: 1st actually, 3rd predicted) + 5 (Nagasu: 3rd actually, >6 predicted) + 1 (Meite: 6th actually, >6 predicted) = 12 (penalty) points.

  12. #12
    On the Ice
    Join Date
    Mar 2013
    Posts
    26
    I scored one of the spinoffs last year but I'll also be too busy this time around. I'd love to play though!

  13. #13
    Spiral Lover tulosai's Avatar
    Join Date
    Dec 2011
    Location
    Paris, France
    Posts
    2,847
    Glad to see this is going forward!!! Let us know when you open a thread for the predictions and where it is!!

  14. #14
    skating philosopher Mrs. P's Avatar
    Join Date
    Dec 2009
    Location
    The land of Agent Dale Cooper
    Posts
    8,382
    elle_e: Okay, I will have you in for pairs! Can you please PM your email? Thanks! This also means we have a full deck of scorers yay! I will be glad to accept pinchhitter/subs!

    guenever/tulosai: Any interest in being a sub scorer/pinch hitter if one of our scorers are unable to score for some reason?

    ETA: Rhodium -- thanks for your feedback regarding the scoring. That is not a bad idea--and I can see how that would streamline the scoring if we do it by least points. (It's a similar system done with office pools for NCAA tournaments, i believe. In my office pool -1 is for a wrong first round pick but then you lose like -15 if you have the wrong Final Four team)
    Last edited by Mrs. P; Yesterday at 10:21 AM.

  15. #15
    Spiral Lover tulosai's Avatar
    Join Date
    Dec 2011
    Location
    Paris, France
    Posts
    2,847
    Quote Originally Posted by Mrs. P View Post
    elle_e: Okay, I will have you in for pairs! Can you please PM your email? Thanks!

    guenever/tulosai: Any interest in being a sub scorer/pinch hitter if one of our scorers are unable to score for some reason?
    Yes, most definitely

Page 1 of 2 1 2 LastLast

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •