- Joined
- Feb 16, 2010
(Since the Ladies' discussion has a thread already!)
As the Germany events finish up, the JGP Finals pictures become clearer for each discipline.
Ice Dance is done and stands right here. Below the line are on the bubble.
1) Bent/Mackeen (CAN) - 15 (CZE) + 13 (EST) = 28
2) Popova/Vlasenko (RUS) - 13 (CZE) + 15 (GER) = 28
3) Loboda/Drozd (RUS) - 15 (FRA) + 13 (JPN) = 28
4) Edwards/Pang (CAN) - 13 (FRA) + 15 (JPN) = 28
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5) Macnamara/Carpenter (USA) - 11 (CZE) + 13 (GER) = 24
6) Delmaestro/Lum (CAN) - 13 (SLO) + 11 (GER) = 24
The only teams who have the chance to take a spot besides these are:
A) Yanovskaya/Mozgov (RUS) with 15 from EST.
B) Morozova/Zhirnov (RUS) with 15 from SLO.
C) Parsons/Parsons (USA) with 11 from JPN.
Situations:
1) Y/M and M/Z are both in if they get first OR second regardless of scores. Then M/C, D/L, and P/P will be the alternates (assuming P/P finishes 3rd, or 4th with at least a 118.05 to overtake Nazarova/Nikitin of UKR)
2) If one of Y/M or M/Z gets third or fourth, they're still in the Final for sure as long as the other gets first.
3) If one of Y/M or M/Z gets third and the other gets second, P/P could overtake for that last spot if they won with a higher score (20.58 higher than Y/M which is probably not likely, but they could do it with a win and a score 0.13 higher than M/Z if M/Z got third).
4) If one of Y/M or M/Z gets fourth, and the other doesn't win, P/P are in with a win with no score requirement.
5) If one of Y/M or M/Z falls to fifth, P/P are in with a win or a second AND a score greater than 138.62 (to overtake M/C)
TL;DR version: It's extremely likely that Y/M and M/Z qualify for the final, pushing out M/C of USA and D/L of CAN, as well as P/P of USA. I can see P/P beating M/Z, but not Y/M at this point in time. P/P essentially need to win or hope one of the other two teams bombs. M/C need one of the two Russian teams to fall to 4th or lower and for P/P to not up their SB.
As the Germany events finish up, the JGP Finals pictures become clearer for each discipline.
Ice Dance is done and stands right here. Below the line are on the bubble.
1) Bent/Mackeen (CAN) - 15 (CZE) + 13 (EST) = 28
2) Popova/Vlasenko (RUS) - 13 (CZE) + 15 (GER) = 28
3) Loboda/Drozd (RUS) - 15 (FRA) + 13 (JPN) = 28
4) Edwards/Pang (CAN) - 13 (FRA) + 15 (JPN) = 28
____________________________________________
5) Macnamara/Carpenter (USA) - 11 (CZE) + 13 (GER) = 24
6) Delmaestro/Lum (CAN) - 13 (SLO) + 11 (GER) = 24
The only teams who have the chance to take a spot besides these are:
A) Yanovskaya/Mozgov (RUS) with 15 from EST.
B) Morozova/Zhirnov (RUS) with 15 from SLO.
C) Parsons/Parsons (USA) with 11 from JPN.
Situations:
1) Y/M and M/Z are both in if they get first OR second regardless of scores. Then M/C, D/L, and P/P will be the alternates (assuming P/P finishes 3rd, or 4th with at least a 118.05 to overtake Nazarova/Nikitin of UKR)
2) If one of Y/M or M/Z gets third or fourth, they're still in the Final for sure as long as the other gets first.
3) If one of Y/M or M/Z gets third and the other gets second, P/P could overtake for that last spot if they won with a higher score (20.58 higher than Y/M which is probably not likely, but they could do it with a win and a score 0.13 higher than M/Z if M/Z got third).
4) If one of Y/M or M/Z gets fourth, and the other doesn't win, P/P are in with a win with no score requirement.
5) If one of Y/M or M/Z falls to fifth, P/P are in with a win or a second AND a score greater than 138.62 (to overtake M/C)
TL;DR version: It's extremely likely that Y/M and M/Z qualify for the final, pushing out M/C of USA and D/L of CAN, as well as P/P of USA. I can see P/P beating M/Z, but not Y/M at this point in time. P/P essentially need to win or hope one of the other two teams bombs. M/C need one of the two Russian teams to fall to 4th or lower and for P/P to not up their SB.