What skaters do you have a feeling will BOMB next season? (under CoP or in general)
i have a feeling tim goebel will bomb. He's just not made for CoP.
-Matt Savoie and Angela Nikodinov will bomb.....there time has run out. Matt needs still a quad.
-sandhu will bomb but that wouldnt be a a surprise, would it....
-irina, if she competes, will BOMB big time. The judges wont (finally) be able to hold up her sloppy skating with CoP
actually the I predict with the exception of plushenko, the whole russian federation will bigtime BOMB next season, since CoP does not favor their skaters the way the 6.0 system did. No wonder RUSSIA opposed CoP's implementation so vigorously. No more "eastern bloc" judging situations to worry about.
Creative Compilation Compiler aka 3axel
What about Michelle?
I'm wondering how Michelle Kwan's pretty, and well executed, but low difficulty programs will be scored under COP. After all these years, I just don't think she'll come up with a consistant 3/3 or 3ax. So, even if she wins Gold or Silver at US Nats I don't see how she can meet the technical challange that she will face at 2005 Worlds or the 2006 Olym, and Worlds. I don't think she'll bomb, but maybe the sport is moving past her abilities.
Bona Fide Member
To me, it's still a long way from being clear whether the CoP will really favor the huge technical elements or the balanced program with speed, flow, choreography and in-betweens. The big jumpers came out on top at Worlds, but that was 6.0.
The person last year who was able to get the most out of CoP scoring was Sasha, without a 3-3 or a triple Axel.
Michelle? I think she has such mastery of the sport that she can adapt her programs to any scoring system, if she wants to.
I'm not going to comment on your assessment about Russian skaters and their federation, but I will say that you're being a little naive if you think CoP is the solution for eventual corrupt judging in general, eastern or western blocs. The people giving the marks are still the same.
Originally Posted by Taan
And I don't see why Russian skaters in general will suffer with CoP. Let's see... in men we have Plushenko, 3 time World champion and the one to beat. We have Klimkin with his interesting programs full of transitions and MITF that score big time with CoP, we have Griazev with good basics and given he's coached by Tarasova IMHO we can expect a program that will be designed to explore CoP, we have Shubin who has a quad and is a good all around skater who needs more consistency (hopefully he recovered from his injury).
In pairs we have T/M who despite not selling their programs so well have complex choreography and transitions not to mention the superb basic skills, but I'm repeating myself... and we have O/S who are coached by Moskvina, who wil also know how to explore CoP... not sure how P/T will do, depends if they improve or not.
Ladies we have Irina Slutskaya, fast on the ice, huge, solid jumps and some with not so average entrances that will be certainly appreciated by the judges, good, fast spins, and again good skills... I think Sokolova may suffer, though, because she lips badly and her overall quality of skating really isn't the best.
Dance, N/K will be the next Olympic champions LOL and we have D/S and K/N rising... let's see how they do next season... So I sure don't see why Russian skaters will be more punished under CoP than others LOL
I also see no reason to believe Michelle Kwan is going to suffer with CoP. Her technique is very correct and I have no doubt that she will adjust her programs to CoP, like all skaters who competed in the GP last season did. That will certainly be enough to put her at the top. Remember, it's not only the difficulty of the programs that matter, it's how well they are executed and that matters alot. I believe her quality of skating will allow her to get very good marks.