This is an excellent question!!! The answer, IMO, is NO. Especially with Kaetlyn Osmond in the field. To me, Kaetlyn and Ashley are the only skaters who could beat Med in components. If Med makes an error and Kaetlyn goes clean, I give the OGM to Osmond. The things is, Med has nerves of steel. I love so many skaters but, if I had to pick my dream podium for the Ladies, it would look like this. Med, Osmond, Wagner, in ANY order.
Now, lets word it differently.
If Medvedeva only would get strict calls, the answer in NO.
If everybody would get strict calls? YES.
If Ashley got her carrots fair and square every skate, even perfect 10s in components wouldn´t save her. She is quite prone to URs and they don´t always get called. Strict calls would probably hurt her more than Med.
Kaetlyn´s lutz aint perfect either and she would get same ! and e calls as Medvedeva, basically.
So everybody would probably just go down a few points, and the gap remains proportionally the same.
Also, medvedeva still has a consistency edge over those two. Kaetlyn didn´t skate a single clean FS this year, and Ashley always had consistency issues on her best seasons even =(