I don't think Arakawa ranks high as a contender at this point. She seems to be burnt out, and even before the boot problem, her FS has looked lackluster. I don't think she relates to the syrupy romantic music at all and I don't think it suits her. Although she isn't a particularly emotional skater, she did OK with the heavy dramatic "Turandot", but sappy love music clearly isn't her forte.