I think next year will really set the tone for Soichi, at least a little bit.
Russian Babies (or RBB; I totally love that BTW!)
Be afraid...be very afraid. These girls aren't playing. To be honest, the JGP was much more interesting than ANYTHING that happened on the senior level. There are a number of good skaters coming up, and not just from Russia...though I'll start with them first.
These girls will make a splash, as early as next season. The three to look for are
Adelina Sotnikova, Elizaveta Tuktamisheva (Liza T), and Polina Shelepen.
I'd point to
Adelina over the other two, for one crucial reason: her presentation. Whereas some junior skaters
look like junior skaters, Adelina does not. There's an ease, maturity and flow to her movements and presentation that sets her apart from the others girls. She'll fit in easily amongst the more mature skaters. Then there's the jumps: she jumps out of the building!

Her jumps have amazing height and coverage, and she lands them pretty consistently. She does have a tendency to flutz, which will hurt her a bit, but she can work on that. In terms of the lady I see really mixing things up next year, it's Adelina all the way for me...seriously, if you haven't seen her skate,
you need to educate yourself...
Liza T is another one. There was a lot of talk about the 3A she has, though she did not attempt it last season...that doesn't mean she won't in seasons to come though. Liza T lacks the maturity and flow Adelina has, but she skates with a lot of energy, pizazz and spark. Her 3-3 wasn't as consistent last year, but she's more than capable on doing them (3lz-3t) along with 2a-3t. Her jumps don't soar like Adelina's, but she's much stronger in her lutz technique. She's fiery...definitely a diva-in-the-making!

And OMG she and Johnny Weir
look like sister and brother!
Polina Shelepen is a bit of a wildcard at times. When she's on, she's right up there with the other two; however, I've watched her the past two seasons on the JGP and she's prone to implosions. Still, she has good sized jumps (including a 3lz-3t and 2a-3t) that cover a lot of ice, her spins are probably the best of this trio of Russian ladies, and she has a mature statuesque appearance on the ice--she's listed at 5'5" on Wikipedia. She hit her growth spurt last year, so she seems to have made it past the puberty monster okay. She's not awkward with her height but she lacks the flow and ease of Adelina...in other words, her stroking is still a bit juniorish to me...
On any day, all three of these ladies can challenge for a top 3 finish. I think the technical content that all three pack will really be what shakes the field up. All three have 3lz-3t (Adelina also has a massive 3lz-3lp) and each has 2a-3t. Adelina and Polina have all 5 triples (with occasional edge calls) and Liza too I think; she did a double salchow in combination at Jr. worlds last year...I don't know if she can't do a 3S or she just chose not to include it...Regardless, these ladies will push everyone, if only on the technical mark at first. The only thing against them right now is time (experience and maturity) but once that comes, look out...
Japanese Ladies: New Wave
I don't think Japan's in dire straits in terms of a next big star. There's still plenty of star power to go around. Miki, Mao and Kanako managed to make top 10 at worlds (1st, 6th and 8th respectively) so there's still hope.
You can never count
Mao out. I think, more than anything, Mao needs a break. She's gotta be running on fumes at this point. She needs some down time recharge her batteries and refocus. As for
Miki, if she sticks to this new formula, she's going to challenge for a top 5 finish every time...I don't know how much longer she will compete, but she appears to be in great shape and could make a run at Soichi if she wanted to. Sadly,
Akiko probably will never get her due, but I absolutely adore her skating...
In terms of the newer girls,
Kanako is leading the pack. Say what you will, but she had nothing short of an extraordinary debut season. She medaled at both of her GP events (bronze at NHK, gold at SA) and got bronze at the GPF. She came in 3rd at nationals and 1st at the Asian winter games and had a top 10 finish at worlds...that's not too shabby. Her technique does need to be refined, as does her style, but she's in the running right now. We'll have to see how she matures...
Risa Shoji probably will stay junior another year, but she's a lovely skater. She reminds me of Shizuka with a dash of Mao. Lovely flow and softness to her skating. She won gold and silver in her JGP events, 4th at the JGPF and 5th at jr. worlds. With the Big 3 Russians jumping senior next year, along with a few Americans, I think she'll be the one to beat on the JGP next year. She just needs time...Same thing goes for
Haruka Imai, Yuki Nishino and Miyabi Oba. None are shining too brightly right now, but there's still hope that one of them will hit a stride in the future...
The American Ladies
The problem with the US these past 5 years hasn't been a lack of good skaters. We have some pretty darn good ones...the issue is none of them has stepped up and grabbed that spot. After having Michelle bowl over challenger after challenger for that top spot for nearly 10 years, it's been weird seeing this group of ladies talk about how much they want to be number one and yet sit by idly, never stepping up and claiming that spot.
Alissa stepped up this year...but she has a lot of improvements to make before she'll be able to compete past that PCS mark. Her spins are gorgeous, but she could easily lose a spot on the podium due to her technical content.
Rachael shot herself in the foot this year (or more appropriately, in the tibia

) with how she ended her season. As anyone who watches the sport knows, a large amount of success is based on reputation and good rapport with the judges. Rachael's disastrous showing at worlds could hurt her both internationally and nationally.
Ashley seems to slip every time she gets going...I don't know what it is, but given her abilities, I do expect her to be farther along than she is. Her issues are all little problems that she can't seem to get past...it's strange. It's been said time and time again that
Mirai is the best all-around skater the US has right now, and I agree. Mirai has shown flashes of brilliance...yet her shining moments are too sporadic for her to get a firm foothold in this climb to the top. If she ever decides to flip on the switch, she'll be a podium threat every time out; the question is when will she flip the switch?
In terms of upcoming talent, the US has some really good options.
Agnes Zawadski is a powerhouse jumper who has the ability to really light up the ice. Leaving Tom Z will probably help her (how? IDK, I'm just glad she left him...:sheesh

.
Christina Gao has a lot of technical ability and improved a lot in terms of presentation last year...though she still has a bit of a ways to go. I really think these two, with Mirai and Alissa, could help to boost the US in terms of standings and I wouldn't be surprised Agnes or Christina make the world team this year...
Farther down the line, we have
Courtney Hicks (good appeal, needs polish and refinement),
Amanda Dobbs (sat out with injury toward end of season but talented),
Vanessa Lam (lacks height in jumps but promising), and my fav,
Yasmin Siraj.
Yasmin grabs my eye because of her musicality and expressiveness when she skates. She skates with the music, rather than just to it which is something several of the aforementioned skaters lack and, ultimately, that will set her apart.
Even if the current crop of US ladies fail to step up, I'm sure Agnes and Christina are more than eager to take the reins...and, luckily, there's a lot of talent coming up behind them as well. All in all, I think the US will be alright in the long run.
There's only one person I can point to who really caught my eye on the JGP last season outside of the Russians, Japanese and Americans:
Zijun Li of China. She has a lovely lyrical style to her skating and she's decently consistent as well. Gorgeous spins and use of her arms and very good musicality as well. She had the misfortune of being pitted against the Russian powerhouses last year on the JGP and didn't really get an opportunity to shine. I see her as a top contender this year though..
No matter which way you look at it, there's talent all around. Who knows how the landscape will change between now and 2014? I'm sure there will be some reshuffling as skaters come in and others go out, but one thing is for sure: the ladies competition in Soichi will be awesome! :thumbsup: