Analysis of Men's World Championship Scores, Top 5 Men
As I've stated elsewhere in this thread, I only have a problem with Chan's PCS, some of which were a bit generous and did indeed ignore some of his errors. His TES was fine.
Chan's PCS is inconsequential to him defeating all other skaters. For the sake of argument, your claim is true, judges should have lowered his PCS a little more due to a fall which knocked him out for about 4 seconds, what other errors do you feel should have also lowered his PCS given that you said error
s? There was only one error he made during his SP and LP that had a visible disruption to his performance, all others were technical in nature and did not impact his performance. I think it's important that you get your facts straight to begin with. By definition, an element executed with negative GOE can be considered an error. To be realistic however, an element executed with GOE near zero, even if positive,
at the elite level *can* be
perceived as an error as it usually implies a less than perfect execution and also
because an error doesn't necessarily mean the GOE has to be negative under ISU rules. If we were to use the latter definition, the only error Chan had in his SP was on the 4T while Takahashi also had one error in his SP on the 4T+3T<<. In the LP, Chan had two errors, one on the 3Lz+1Lo+2S combo and the other being the botched 2A. On the other hand, Takahashi made 4 errors during his LP, which are: 4T, 3A+3T, 3Lo, 3F. The numbers don't lie, here is a breakdown of scores for the Top 5 elite men at this Championship:
Men's World Championship 2012, TES of top 5 men, SP+LP
1st Patrick Chan: 46.24 + 88.56 = 134.80
2nd Daisuke Takahashi: 43.43 + 88.16 = 131.59
3rd Yuzuru Hanyu: 38.68 + 91.99 = 130.67
5th Florent Amodio: 42.82 + 81.41 = 124.23
4th Brian Joubert: 44.35 + 79.17 = 123.52
Men's World Championship 2012, Base value of top 5 men, SP+LP
2nd Daisuke Takahashi: 39.30 + 79.91 = 119.21
1st Patrick Chan: 41.40 + 74.11 = 115.51
5th Florent Amodio: 40.80 + 72.36 = 113.16
3rd Yuzuru Hanyu: 33.70 + 79.25 = 112.95
4th Brian Joubert: 41.10 + 71.68 = 112.78
Men's World Championship 2012, GOE of top 5 men, SP+LP
1st Patrick Chan: 4.84 + 14.45 = 19.29
3rd Yuzuru Hanyu: 4.98 + 12.74 = 17.72
2nd Daisuke Takahashi: 4.13 + 8.25 = 12.38
5th Florent Amodio: 2.02 + 9.05 = 11.07
4th Brian Joubert: 3.25 + 7.49 = 10.74
Men's World Championship 2012, SS+TR components, Top 5 men, SP+LP
1st Patrick Chan: 17.11 + 35.80 = 52.91
2nd Daisuke Takahashi: 16.68 + 33.70 = 50.38
3rd Yuzuru Hanyu: 15.36 + 32.78 = 48.14
4th Brian Joubert: 15.29 + 32.00 = 47.29
5th Florent Amodio: 15.00 + 31.86 = 46.86
Setting aside the more subjective part of the scoring, which are the evaluation on CH, IN and PE, we can see that Chan is 1st in 3 of the 4 categories above. He has the highest TES, GOE and SS+TR, only 2nd in BV due to the missing 2A and a few downgrades on spins and step sequence. On the other hand, while many people perceived Takahashi as having a "clean skate", the numbers tell a different story. The panel awarded Takahashi the highest BV for his work but put him 3rd in terms of GOE, far behind both Hanyu and Chan at barely above Amodio. It begs to ask, why? Were the judges especially generous with Chan on GOE? Looking at the numbers, Hanyu stands at less than 1.5 point away from Chan in terms of GOE but Takahashi trailed Chan by almost 5 points. Looking at Takahashi's SP and LP carefully, he made a total of
5 visible errors in total, for which, each element received some negative GOE from at least one judge and causing the GOE of each of the element to be negative or near 0, ranging from -2.86 to 0.14 That's a lot of errors for someone who aspires to win the World Championship. Hanyu (2 errors) and Chan (3 errors) made much less errors than Takahashi.
Furthemore, TES on its own correctly predicts the Top 3 standing already, without needing any input from PCS. TES only flips between Joubert and Amodio, by a small margin. However, if we were to add the two technical components of PCS to TES, the result still doesn't change :
1st Patrick Chan: 134.80 + 52.91 = 187.71
2nd Daisuke Takahashi: 131.59 + 50.38 = 181.97
3rd Yuzuru Hanyu: 130.67 + 48.14 = 178.81
5th Florent Amodio: 124.23 + 46.86 = 171.09
4th Brian Joubert: 123.52 + 47.29 = 170.81
Ignoring the more subjective aspects of PCS, the combined technical elements and components scores (70% of overall total Score) strongly support the final result where the Top 3 are correctly placed as is. In other words, the complaints of those fans, including the two male British Eurosport commentators, who are essentially saying Chan's performance wasn't orgasmic to them unlike Takahashi's and therefore, the Japanese Champion should have won Gold, are in fact arguing that their subjectivity should have trumped the athletic aspects of Figure Skating as a sport. But really, 30% of the total score should trump over the rest of the 70%? The final difference in total score is 6.45 between Chan and Takahashi. The difference in total technical elements and components score between the two is 5.74. Quite frankly, it shows as far as Chan and Takahashi are concerned, the other 3 PCS components are inconsequential to the crown because they made almost no difference. One can even argue because Takahashi made more visible errors in the eyes of judges, 5 to 3, he was penalized for having too many little bobbles + a big one in the SP. That's also how Brezina went from 2nd to 6th because he too had too many little bobbles. But one can however make an argument that subjectivity or emotional appeal is what makes Joubert overtaking Amodio in their very close match up based on the numbers presented above - no such argument can be made for the Top 3 however.
In conclusion, Takahashi's 3rd place finish SP and LP are clearly justifiable when analyzing these numbers in depth. Chan had already soundly defeated Takahashi before any consideration on choreography, interpretation or connection with the audience was given. This is a sport after all and the rightful winner should be the best athlete, not the winner of American Idol on ice or People's Choice award.