- Joined
- Mar 28, 2005
Irina and Sasha may not have beaten Shizuka even with clean performance!
It is funny how everybody is saying Sasha or Irina would have run away with gold without their mistakes., Actually though when one adds on the scores both likely would have had without the mistakes this is not the case. In fact Sasha probably would not have beaten Arakawa for gold even without her two mistakes, while Irina likely would have without her two mistakes.
Sasha lost:
3 lutz= -3.00
3 flip= -2.86
fall= -1.00
total= 6.88
her total score as it was: 183.36 + 6.86 = 190.22
Shizuka's total score= 191.34
In the short program Sasha received a -0.14 and a +0.29 for her triple lutz and triple flip when done cleanly, the two jumps she missed.
So 190.22 + 0.15 = 190.37
Shizuka's total score= 191.34
Now Irina:
181.44 was her final total score
Irina lost:
2 flip instead of 3 flip late in program= 4.2
fall on 3 loop=4.0
181.44 + 4.2 + 4.0 = 189.64
Irina did not do a triple loop in short. Lets assume she would have received the same for the triple loop and triple flip as her jump average in the short then:
1.85 GOE total in jumps in short divided by 3= 0.62, rounded off to 0.64, closest possable GOE score per jump.
0.64+0.64=1.28+ 189.64 = 190.92
Shizuka's total = 191.34
Does one really know either skater would have gained the PCS needed to overcome Shizuka's score then? Also even if so Shizuka doubled her triple loop.
Shizuka:
points lost by 2 loop instead of 3 loop late in program: 3.8
Even if she had received no GOE she would now be at:
191.34 = 3.8 = 195.14
Sasha = 190.37 before any PCS change
Irina= 190.92 before any PCS change
It is funny how everybody is saying Sasha or Irina would have run away with gold without their mistakes., Actually though when one adds on the scores both likely would have had without the mistakes this is not the case. In fact Sasha probably would not have beaten Arakawa for gold even without her two mistakes, while Irina likely would have without her two mistakes.
Sasha lost:
3 lutz= -3.00
3 flip= -2.86
fall= -1.00
total= 6.88
her total score as it was: 183.36 + 6.86 = 190.22
Shizuka's total score= 191.34
In the short program Sasha received a -0.14 and a +0.29 for her triple lutz and triple flip when done cleanly, the two jumps she missed.
So 190.22 + 0.15 = 190.37
Shizuka's total score= 191.34
Now Irina:
181.44 was her final total score
Irina lost:
2 flip instead of 3 flip late in program= 4.2
fall on 3 loop=4.0
181.44 + 4.2 + 4.0 = 189.64
Irina did not do a triple loop in short. Lets assume she would have received the same for the triple loop and triple flip as her jump average in the short then:
1.85 GOE total in jumps in short divided by 3= 0.62, rounded off to 0.64, closest possable GOE score per jump.
0.64+0.64=1.28+ 189.64 = 190.92
Shizuka's total = 191.34
Does one really know either skater would have gained the PCS needed to overcome Shizuka's score then? Also even if so Shizuka doubled her triple loop.
Shizuka:
points lost by 2 loop instead of 3 loop late in program: 3.8
Even if she had received no GOE she would now be at:
191.34 = 3.8 = 195.14
Sasha = 190.37 before any PCS change
Irina= 190.92 before any PCS change