Ladies - Long Program | Page 7 | Golden Skate

Ladies - Long Program

FlattFan

Match Penalty
Joined
Jan 4, 2010
Flatt and Zhang got those scores before the GOE had been altered and there were still spirals, and also the competition wasn't as steep. Surely if Liza and Adelina were to skate in the same competition as junior Flatt and Zhang, they'd not Flatt and Zhang down a few pegs just by comparison. They are superior to Flatt and Zhang on every level and if we're talking about Christina, at this point, she'd definitely far superior to Zhang. Flatt has managed to maintain her position as one of the top US ladies which is impressive so really the fact that she won Jr. Worlds just proves what a good competitor she is.
If you remember correctly, GOE wasn't particularly inflated until 2009 when everyone started getting 130+ for 4 triples. The new rule adjust the total score back down to pre-2009. Shiz didn't even get as good a score as Laura Lepisto at their respective Olympics. So Flatt and Zhang did not receive generous and inflated score for their events.

Shelepen is a bit of a mess right now but she has all the tools she needs to be a top contender in coming years. She just needs to get adjusted to her new body, get a real choreographer, clean up her spins, and skate to music/get programs that accentuate her long limbed physique and make her seem graceful and balletic instead of gangly. Her look is really very similar to that of Kostner as a teenager, and if she could emulate Kostner in her skating as well, then she could be great.
She's no where near Kostner. Kostner at her age got PCS like a seasoned medal contender. Kostner's jumps were gorgeous. The landing on most of Shelepen's jumps are crashy and awkward. Notice her GOE is almost 0 for all of her jumps. More and more jr girls are passing her by. At the senior level, she's hopeless.

Gao like Polina just needs to learn how to use her new body to make her skating look more elegant instead of awkward and ungainly, and that will come in time, because already this season she's a lot smoother and mature in her skating compared to last season. Her spins still need work but they are improving and I'm sure she'll continue to work on that, and at least she's getting her levels.

Things can change a lot over the course of a season, especially with girls this age, so we might have a very different outlook come this time next year. For now, I'm just excited to see them all skate next season.
This, I agree.
 

silverlake22

Record Breaker
Joined
Nov 12, 2009
If you remember correctly, GOE wasn't particularly inflated until 2009 when everyone started getting 130+ for 4 triples. The new rule adjust the total score back down to pre-2009. Shiz didn't even get as good a score as Laura Lepisto at their respective Olympics. So Flatt and Zhang did not receive generous and inflated score for their events.


She's no where near Kostner. Kostner at her age got PCS like a seasoned medal contender. Kostner's jumps were gorgeous. The landing on most of Shelepen's jumps are crashy and awkward. Notice her GOE is almost 0 for all of her jumps. More and more jr girls are passing her by. At the senior level, she's hopeless.


This, I agree.

Polina's jumps aren't the best, but I'd say they are pretty good. And they were better last season before she grew so much, so maybe once she adds a bit more muscle her jumps will get better again. I think her coach and lack of a real choreographer are her biggest problems - she's been with the same coach since she started skating, at age 4. Time for a change, I say, if she wants to have a shot at a good future.

And I don't think Kostner was getting that great marks at 15, at 17 yes, but not as young as 15. And I didn't say Polina was as good as Kostner at her age, just that they had a similar physique and so Kostner would be someone smart to look to if Polina wants to learn to be more elegant and use her very long limbs to her advantage. Because right now, Polina's long legs and arms make her spins look messy and her movements look rushed, but when she isn't skating, she looks gorgeous, so I think her skating could look nice too with proper packaging. Hence why a new coach/choreographer could be beneficial.

Polina still has time and next season is a great opportunity for her because Liza and Adelina won't be old enough for Euros and Worlds but she will, and her main competition will be Leonova, Makarova, Birukova, Ovcharova, Sheveleva, and Agafonova who she is more comparable with and has beaten more often than not over the past couple seasons (not Leonova as they haven't competed against each other much, but the rest).
 
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seniorita

Record Breaker
Joined
Jun 3, 2008
I just watched the top three and I m thrilled, ladies will be my fav discipline:biggrin:

:hb:bravo to the girls!
 

shine

Record Breaker
Joined
Jul 27, 2003
And I didn't say Polina was as good as Kostner at her age, just that they had a similar physique and so Kostner would be someone smart to look to if Polina wants to learn to be more elegant and use her very long limbs to her advantage.
Pinky, just because Polina has similar physique to Kostner doesn't make her similar to her in skating. Kostner already had some of the best skating skills in the world at 15, if Polina wants to ever be like Kostner, she has a long long way to go.
 

silverlake22

Record Breaker
Joined
Nov 12, 2009
Pinky, just because Polina has similar physique to Kostner doesn't make her similar to her in skating. Kostner already had some of the best skating skills in the world at 15, if Polina wants to ever be like Kostner, she has a long long way to go.

True, but at least Carolina would be someone smart for her to try and emulate because she has a similar build but doesn't look gawky and awkward like Polina often does. Polina's current programs do nothing for her and just make her look more ungainly than she is, but it doesn't have to be this way, if she could get the right kind of choreography and programs, her skating could look nice even though she's all limbs and doesn't have the skating skills of Kostner. Frantic Russian folk music is not the right vehicle for her at all though, that's what I'm trying to say. The Swan Lake might have even been ok for her had she not chosen that weird hip-hop version that changed drastically in the middle. She has a lot to work on in her skating, but even now, her skating could look a lot better than it does just with better packaging, IMO.
 

BackStage Barbie

On the Ice
Joined
Nov 22, 2010
True, but at least Carolina would be someone smart for her to try and emulate because she has a similar build but doesn't look gawky and awkward like Polina often does. Polina's current programs do nothing for her and just make her look more ungainly than she is, but it doesn't have to be this way, if she could get the right kind of choreography and programs, her skating could look nice even though she's all limbs and doesn't have the skating skills of Kostner. Frantic Russian folk music is not the right vehicle for her at all though, that's what I'm trying to say. The Swan Lake might have even been ok for her had she not chosen that weird hip-hop version that changed drastically in the middle. She has a lot to work on in her skating, but even now, her skating could look a lot better than it does just with better packaging, IMO.

Carolina is plenty gawky and awkward and she too is all limbs.
 

Lucky Star

Final Flight
Joined
Feb 27, 2009
IDK, I think Polina improved a lot and her Swan Lake program now suits her very well, though at the beginning of the season I didn't think it's a good idea. She seems more polished and less awkward in it, and growing up actually made her better. I think the next few years she can become a lovely elegant skater with her own style. And knowing how hard it was for her, with this growth spurt, injury and problems with eyesight, I can only say her coach did a great job, because Polina not only didn't lose her skills, but even improved. Now only time can tell what will happen to her.
BTW, Alexei Urmanov (he was at JW with his students Bush and Gorshkov) said a few words about junior ladies. He thinks that except Liza and Adelina only Christina Gao may have a chance to be a contender in future, others didn't impress him at all
 

silverlake22

Record Breaker
Joined
Nov 12, 2009
IDK, I think Polina improved a lot and her Swan Lake program now suits her very well, though at the beginning of the season I didn't think it's a good idea. She seems more polished and less awkward in it, and growing up actually made her better. I think the next few years she can become a lovely elegant skater with her own style. And knowing how hard it was for her, with this growth spurt, injury and problems with eyesight, I can only say her coach did a great job, because Polina not only didn't lose her skills, but even improved. Now only time can tell what will happen to her.
BTW, Alexei Urmanov (he was at JW with his students Bush and Gorshkov) said a few words about junior ladies. He thinks that except Liza and Adelina only Christina Gao may have a chance to be a contender in future, others didn't impress him at all


Yay Christina! I agree with this, although Liza I'm a bit worried about where she is still so little! Adelina was more consistent this season than last season even though she grew a few inches and filled out, so even though she'll probably grow some more, that is a good sign at least. I just watched the exhibition from JW and one thing I'll say about Liza, she is so theatrical and charismatic! I couldn't take my eyes off her, she's really pretty, a great performer, and has this playful twinkle in her eye that makes you want to watch, which is really rare in a girl so young. So that is definitely one asset Liza has and in that sense I think she's a bit like Yuna. Anna's charisma made me a big fan last season, but Liza has just as much on top of better jumping technique so really she is the whole package. Adelina is expressive too, but in a more reserved way, which seems to work with her classical style.

I like the beginning of Polina's swan lake program, but then when the music changes, it gets frantic and her movements seem rushed and sloppy. Slower music might be a better choice for her. I remember liking her Adagio SP she had last season, though she switched that after the JGPF for an MJ medley program which was much worse, IMO.
 
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wallylutz

Medalist
Joined
Mar 23, 2010
After seeing the youtube clips of some of the top ladies FS, I have to say I feel a little underwhelmed by all the hype re: the Russian ladies. Although there is no question about the placements here, the only thing that really caught my eyes is Adelina's Triple Lutz+Triple Loop combo. Her 3Lo is higher than her 3Lz which is really impressive.

With that said, all ladies here still look like they are just junior skaters, even the jumps. The Russian ladies have some big jumps but in terms of their quality, they are still young. Many of those jumps are not as high or as powerful as some of the current senior skaters. Adelina seems to be the best so I'll focus on her to make it easy but by no means am I picking on her and I'll be glad to state upfront that she leads the pack here. Aside from the opening jump combo, this is a skater that needs to develop many other technical aspects of her skating and by my estimation, at least another 2 years away in order to be competitive on the senior scene - assuming she can manage the expected puberty stage that will likely mess up her ability to jump. When people were gushing over her and other junior girls re: their jumping ability, I was hoping to see someone that jump with explosive energy that takes your breath away even at 13-14. Well, I am a little disappointed. All their jumps look small. Yes, they were fully rotated and fast but below average height and power, which is to be expected at this age so nothing out of ordinary but I was hoping to see another lady jumping like Midori Ito, who at 14, had a Triple Axel that would make most men cringe in shame. As for the other non-jumping aspects, I saw nothing memorable. Yu-Na Kim had more performance talent at their age & similar.

My hunch is that if these juniors are to become dominant one day, it will most likely be post-Sochi, after Asada, Kim and the current crop of top ladies decided to hang up their skates. I wish I could say it would be sooner but in all honesty, the hype is way overblown re: those junior girls.
 
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silverlake22

Record Breaker
Joined
Nov 12, 2009
^^ People were saying the same things about Murakami last season, and she was nowhere near as good as Adelina currently is, and probably not even as good as Liza, then, and yet she was a contender right out of the gate as she moved to the senior ranks. I know the field was somewhat empty this year with it being the post olympic year, but still. IMO, Adelina and Liza currently are a LOT better with many fewer flaws than Kanako last season, and if Kanako can be a force right away, you would only assume those girls will be as well, and even bigger forces at that.
 

wallylutz

Medalist
Joined
Mar 23, 2010
^^ People were saying the same things about Murakami last season, and she was nowhere near as good as Adelina currently is, and probably not even as good as Liza, then, and yet she was a contender right out of the gate as she moved to the senior ranks. I know the field was somewhat empty this year with it being the post olympic year, but still. IMO, Adelina and Liza currently are a LOT better with many fewer flaws than Kanako last season, and if Kanako can be a force right away, you would only assume those girls will be as well, and even bigger forces at that.

I don't agree. Here are my two points:

1) Murakami has demonstrated qualities/improvements this year that these junior ladies do not have, notably her ability to project a presence on the ice, some call it effervescent, which is about right I think.

2) Success in junior ranks do not frequently translate into successful senior careers and the reverse is true, average junior results does not preclude phenomenal senior success later.

Can you say Kanako is still not as good as Adelina & Co. this year? I would have to say no. Last year is history, maybe because Kanako is older, more mature or maybe she has changed her diet :biggrin: (ok, the last one is a joke), the fact is Kanako Murakami has had a good transition into Senior because of some careful planning and smart strategy on the part of her coaching team. You'll note that Kanako doesn't have a Triple Lutz and is relying on her Triple Flip as the backbone of her program. More than that, she is also under-loading her program, jump wise, allowing her to focus more on performing as opposed to jumping. I found that many junior skaters made the mistake of overloading their program with difficult jumps and combos, thinking that it's the only way they can catch anyone's attention when transiting to Senior but that's wrong.

I was looking for some spark in these Russian girls that would demonstrate promise later on in their career and I am sorry to say I do not see one. In other words, I care less about what difficult Triple jumps they can do. Even last year, somebody showed us a clip from Korean Nationals of a girl who did Triple Lutz+Double Toe combo and won the Korean National at 12-13 year old and asked us what we think and whether that's impressive. My reply was the same, impressive jump for a girl of that age, but no spark.

Murakami, my opinion is more positive re: her skating. I can see why she managed to earn a spot on the Japanese World team, which is arguably the toughest Nationals to be at even though she doesn't have all her Triple jumps. A junior skater who has a full repertoire of Triple Jumps is just another skater who can jump but a Junior skater going Senior who demonstrate Senior-like skating quality is more rare and in my experience, will catch judges' attention more than anything else.
 

Jammers

Record Breaker
Joined
Nov 4, 2010
Country
United-States
After seeing the youtube clips of some of the top ladies FS, I have to say I feel a little underwhelmed by all the hype re: the Russian ladies. Although there is no question about the placements here, the only thing that really caught my eyes is Adelina's Triple Lutz+Triple Loop combo. Her 3Lo is higher than her 3Lz which is really impressive.

With that said, all ladies here still look like they are just junior skaters, even the jumps. The Russian ladies have some big jumps but in terms of their quality, they are still young. Many of those jumps are not as high or as powerful as some of the current senior skaters. Adelina seems to be the best so I'll focus on her to make it easy but by no means am I picking on her and I'll be glad to state upfront that she leads the pack here. Aside from the opening jump combo, this is a skater that needs to develop many other technical aspects of her skating and by my estimation, at least another 2 years away in order to be competitive on the senior scene - assuming she can manage the expected puberty stage that will likely mess up her ability to jump. When people were gushing over her and other junior girls re: their jumping ability, I was hoping to see someone that jump with explosive energy that takes your breath away even at 13-14. Well, I am a little disappointed. All their jumps look small. Yes, they were fully rotated and fast but below average height and power, which is to be expected at this age so nothing out of ordinary but I was hoping to see another lady jumping like Midori Ito, who at 14, had a Triple Axel that would make most men cringe in shame. As for the other non-jumping aspects, I saw nothing memorable. Yu-Na Kim had more performance talent at their age & similar.

My hunch is that if these juniors are to become dominant one day, it will most likely be post-Sochi, after Asada, Kim and the current crop of top ladies decided to hang up their skates. I wish I could say it would be sooner but in all honesty, the hype is way overblown re: those junior girls.

We will never see the likes of someone like Midori Ito in terms of jumping again in our lifetime.
 

miki88

Medalist
Joined
Dec 28, 2009
Although it is true that junior success is not indicative of senior success, there are some things that can predict future success. Good technique and skating skills. These are two things that Adelina and Liza has, though Liza's not as strong in SS. However, they both have better technique on their jumps than Kanako does on hers. Also, I think Adelina has a presentation style that is well-received by the judges. In my opinion, she appears less juniorish than Kanako does now, even though both are charismatic.
Given the success that these two had on the junior level, I think it's likely that they will have at least the amount of success that Kanako has had in her first senior season.
 

wallylutz

Medalist
Joined
Mar 23, 2010
Although it is true that junior success is not indicative of senior success, there are some things that can predict future success. Good technique and skating skills. These are two things that Adelina and Liza has, though Liza's not as strong in SS. However, they both have better technique on their jumps than Kanako does on hers. Also, I think Adelina has a presentation style that is well-received by the judges. In my opinion, she appears less juniorish than Kanako does now, even though both are charismatic.
Given the success that these two had on the junior level, I think it's likely that they will have at least the amount of success that Kanako has had in her first senior season.

You are again talking about jumps. If everytime someone talks about these Russian girls open and end with jumps, it would make them hard to sell. I believe some people thought these Russian girls were better than Kanako last year because they compared their jumps but not the other aspects of their skating. Sure, if you compare jumps, there is no question that the Russian girls win hands down.

The bottom line is I do not agree with a slightly better jumper at the junior level will necessarily translate into similar results at the Senior rank. In all honestly, even if we talk only about jumps, aside from the Triple Lutz-Triple Loop combo, I felt pretty underwhelmed. For one thing, they still make mistakes on other jumps, like Adelina stepping out badly on the Triple Flip so consistency is still not quite there, among other things. Not enough height or power is another. And yes, no Triple Axel.

At this rate, they are really shooting for the retirement of the current crop of top female skaters, which may mean they will have to wait until 2018 to see their day in the Olympics.
 

miki88

Medalist
Joined
Dec 28, 2009
You are again talking about jumps. If everytime someone talks about these Russian girls open and end with jumps, it would make them hard to sell. I believe some people thought these Russian girls were better than Kanako last year because they compared their jumps but not the other aspects of their skating. Sure, if you compare jumps, there is no question that the Russian girls win hands down.

The bottom line is I do not agree with a slightly better jumper at the junior level will necessarily translate into similar results at the Senior rank. In all honestly, even if we talk only about jumps, aside from the Triple Lutz-Triple Loop combo, I felt pretty underwhelmed. For one thing, they still make mistakes on other jumps, like Adelina stepping out badly on the Triple Flip so consistency is still not quite there, among other things. Not enough height or power is another. And yes, no Triple Axel.

At this rate, they are really shooting for the retirement of the current crop of top female skaters, which may mean they will have to wait until 2018 to see their day in the Olympics.

:confused: But it's not like Kanako doesn't make mistakes on her jumps sometimes. And she isn't that consistent, esp not in her LP. However, since no female skater was that consistent this season, she benefitted a little. I talked about more things than just jumps though. Skating skills isn't akin to jumps. Personally, I feel Adelina skates a little more smoothly than Kanako does which makes her appear less juniorish. She also has better posture and lines.
 

silverlake22

Record Breaker
Joined
Nov 12, 2009
Okay so here's the thing, Kanako last season was clearly not that great because Polina Shelepen almost beat her at the JGPF, those two were pretty even. This season, Polina hasn't medaled at any big events and even has come out 0 for 3 against Risa Shoji, who is younger with no reputation and has major UR issues, in the 3 times they have competed against each other this season. So Kanako made a lot of improvements over the summer/this season, and she is doing really well in seniors and even has a chance at a world medal. That's why I was defending Polina earlier, there's no saying the same won't be true for her. If she works hard in the off season and stays injury free, there's no reason she can't be as successful in the senior ranks next season as Kanako was this season.

Also, regarding Kanako this season and Adelina and Liza this season, I'd say they are all pretty even, and if anyone is heavy edge, it's Adelina not Kanako, just look at their scores. Anyhow, Mao and Yuna weren't perfect when they made their senior debuts, but they still managed to be factors right away, so I assume the same will be true for Adelina and Liza barring injury or an extra nasty encounter with the puberty monster. I know Adelina and Liza may look like little girls, but they really don't skate like juniors.
 
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bekalc

Record Breaker
Joined
Nov 1, 2006
You are again talking about jumps. If everytime someone talks about these Russian girls open and end with jumps, it would make them hard to sell. I believe some people thought these Russian girls were better than Kanako last year because they compared their jumps but not the other aspects of their skating. Sure, if you compare jumps, there is no question that the Russian girls win hands down.

The bottom line is I do not agree with a slightly better jumper at the junior level will necessarily translate into similar results at the Senior rank. In all honestly, even if we talk only about jumps, aside from the Triple Lutz-Triple Loop combo, I felt pretty underwhelmed. For one thing, they still make mistakes on other jumps, like Adelina stepping out badly on the Triple Flip so consistency is still not quite there, among other things. Not enough height or power is another. And yes, no Triple Axel.

At this rate, they are really shooting for the retirement of the current crop of top female skaters, which may mean they will have to wait until 2018 to see their day in the Olympics.

I'm not sure how you can say both Russian girls are slightly better jumpers than Kanako. They are frankly much better jumpers. I mean first of all if you go by first Junior seasons, its franky no contest whatsover. Murakami had huge issues rotating her jumps, and she didn't even make Japan's junior world team. Second Kanako herself was making jump errors last year in Juniors too. And she was also missing a 3loop. Its not like Murakami has a 3axel, and her hardest jumping combo was a 3toe/3toe. Tukt and Sotnikova have way harder content and have all the triples. Both also rotate their jumps consistently.

The biggest ? about Murakami is her jumping technique. Its frankly not very good. She has a lot of Mao's issues, but is no where near the jumper Mao was. Adelina and Elizaveta ARE better jumpers. Jumping technique, Tukt really is a lot better than both girls.

Second I'm not sure where you can say Adelina's jumps are tiny. Most would heavily disagree with that assesment.

I also wonder how you can suggest Sotnikova just has jumps. Adelina has first of all gorgeous, posture, lines and extension. She's frankly more refined than Kanako, although Kanako has more charisma. One of the reasons the judges like Adelina is that Adelina, has actually wonderful skating skills for her age. Watch her knees, people have seen her live will mention she has speed and power. These are things Kanako has as well.

And as for Adelina not being consistent. Adelina has won every single competition she's entered in this year. She's only fallen once in international competition, and won in her international competitions every single short and long program. She also won Russian Senior nationals. Sotnikova has gotten huge attention in Russia, and she's managed to deliver well with the pressure of being the favorites. Its not like the other top girls including Murakami have shown a great ability to deliver 7 triples consistently themselves. Adelina is quite consistent. And I also wonder who you think is so clearly going to stay ahead of Adelina. Mao, I adore but she's not that consistet, and Sotnikova can always go the 3/3 routes. Who knows if Yu-na will stay in. And well Miki is hardly a judges pet. I love Nagasu but she is not consistent, cheats her jumps etc.

Adelina and Tukt could easily be forces in 2014.
 

FlattFan

Match Penalty
Joined
Jan 4, 2010
Okay so here's the thing, Kanako last season was clearly not that great because Polina Shelepen almost beat her at the JGPF, those two were pretty even. This season, Polina hasn't medaled at any big events and even has come out 0 for 3 against Risa Shoji, who is younger with no reputation and has major UR issues, in the 3 times they have competed against each other this season. So Kanako made a lot of improvements over the summer/this season, and she is doing really well in seniors and even has a chance at a world medal. That's why I was defending Polina earlier, there's no saying the same won't be true for her. If she works hard in the off season and stays injury free, there's no reason she can't be as successful in the senior ranks next season as Kanako was this season.
Since when are they pretty even? Kanako ALWAYS beat her. She came close once because Kanako did badly. Kanako went undefeated the entire season. This girl was beaten by almost everyone, including no names like Shoji and Lam. There's no reason she will be a factor when she move up next year.
 

Fashionista

On the Ice
Joined
Nov 23, 2008
Wullylutz some of you statements make me laugh and think you're trolling. Adelina has jump height and power below average? Are you kidding me? Her 2A-3T in particular is one of the biggest ever. Adelina is not consistent? You're kidding me again. In fact this season this girl is the most consistent female skater not only in junior ranks but in seniors too. And it doesn't matter how many competitions she won this season (she actually won every single program she entered internationally) but how many mistakes she did - a couple maybe? Isn't it impressive for a female skater? It surely might change due to puberty but so far she is what she is. Another statement made me laugh was the absence of spark in Russian girls' skating. Did you watch Liza's SP? As soon as you love to compare skaters from different generations I'd do it too to make it clear for you. Here are some videos to refresh you memories:
14 y.o. Mao Asada http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XbPbbUeQ3Kw
14 y.o. Ya-na Kim http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4P1-S5cFK-Y
Do you see here any spark (esp in Kim's skating)? In fact Russian girls are way more polished, have better positions in spins and way better extension than Mao and Yu-na had in their age. They are more emotionally engaged in their skating - look how expressive and flirty Liza in her SP, how beautifully she uses her hands! Nevertheless both Mao and Yu-na managed to become brilliant skaters. I think it's too early to predict as bright future for Russian girls as kim and Asada had but it's too early to predict their failure too.
 

silverlake22

Record Breaker
Joined
Nov 12, 2009
Since when are they pretty even? Kanako ALWAYS beat her. She came close once because Kanako did badly. Kanako went undefeated the entire season. This girl was beaten by almost everyone, including no names like Shoji and Lam. There's no reason she will be a factor when she move up next year.

So here's what I'm saying though. Last season, Polina was tearing up the junior ranks, Kanako was the only one ahead of her. This season, she had an off-year, but I mean, it happens to a lot of people, remember Mirai in 08-09 when she finished 5th and 9th at her GP events and was only 5th at nationals and couldn't rotate any of her jumps? Pretty sure she's a force again now. So there's no saying the same thing won't happen to Polina, especially if she can make a splash next season when Tukt and Sot are still too young and skaters like Rosa, Anna, Polina A, Sofia, etc might still be really inconsistent and/or fighting puberty monster.

Also, Adelina's jumps are frankly enormous, especially considering she is quite the small girl. Her 2a-3t looks like some pairs throw jumps. Liza's jumps are not as big, but the technique is textbook and really she is such a great performer, gets into the nuances of the music. And if you are worried about their consistency, have you seen this performance by 14 year old Yuna http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZacRA9DqSo0 , or this performance by 15 year old Mao, http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SJLl0XQdSxo&feature=related ? Those were at big competitions too, the JGPF and Jr. Worlds. Adelina has never skated like that this whole season, and Liza did only once, at her first JGP event. When you really think about it, Mao has never been that consistent and yet she is still consistently among the top skaters in the world. Liza and Adelina will most definitely be forces on the senior ranks, probably their first season out, if they continue progressing the way they are currently.

And my point about Polina is that you never know what will happen in the coming years. She is talented and driven, and I wouldn't be surprised if she pulled a bit of an Irina in coming years. Here's Lepisto in 2006, age 17, http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Xj7YGO0Iz8A. Polina, regardless of how many no names beat her this season, is still better at 15 than Laura was at 17, and I'm pretty sure Laura medaled at the last worlds and has medaled at Europeans 3 times, and won once. So really, it's foolish to count someone out at age 15, especially when said skater has a lot of talent and big jumps like Polina does.
 
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