Russian Championships: Predictions Game Round 3 | Page 2 | Golden Skate

Russian Championships: Predictions Game Round 3

Frenchie

I'm gonna customize the CRAP out of this title!
Medalist
Joined
May 4, 2013
Ladies
1.) Julia Lipnitskaia
2.) Elena Radionova
3.) Anna Pogorilaya
4.) Adelina Sotnikova
5.) Elizaveta Tuktamysheva

6.) Serafima Sakhanovich

Men:
1.) Maxim Kovtun
2.) Evgeny Plushenko
3.) Sergei Voronov
4.) Konstantin Menshov
5.) Artur Dmitriev Jr.

6.) Adian Pitkeev

(Evgeny Plushenko misses his SP, sees no chance of winning and then makes a press release saying "ouch!" and retires AGAIN)

Pairs:
1.) Stolbova / Klimov
2.) Antipova / Maisuradze
3.) Bazarova / Larionov (yeah, yeah, the russian federation will inflate their scores like crazy, but there's only so much they can do)
4.) Davankova / Deputat
5.) Fedorova / Miroshkin

6.) Gerboldt / Enbert

Dance:
1.) Ilinykh / Katsalapov (yes, this proves that I have nothing to lose! :laugh: )
2.) Bobrova / Soloviev (2 mistakes in the SD and 1 in the FD would help!) *
3.) Sinitsina / Zhiganshin (Olympic experience for a promising pair of the future, rather than Ria/Tka who've been written off anyway)
4.) Riazanova / Tkachenko
5.) Monko / Khaliavin

6.) Stepanova / Bukin

* if you think about it: Bobrova/Soloviev already have such a negative reputation for this year (bad, bad free dance; everybody expects "russian federation is only pushing their scores anyway",...) that giving the win to Ilynikh/Katsalapov would make for a big "wow!" in the figure skating community, and would give THEM a boost during the Olympics. I know, I'm delusional, but I'd really like that.
Speaking of bad, bad free dance: Ilynikh/Katsalapov do NOT have one of those! Their Swan Lake is a beauty! ;)
It allowed them to beat Pechalat/Bourzat. In France!
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PBDWI0SnbLA
 
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FSGMT

Record Breaker
Joined
Sep 10, 2012
Just to make sure that I don't forget to post them, here are my predictions:
MEN
1) Evgeni Plushenko (no way he can lose in Russia with PCS around 45 in the SP and 90+ in the FS)
2) Maxim kovtun
3) Sergei Voronov
4) konstantin Menshov
5) Artur gachinski
alt. Adian Pitkeev

LADIES
1) Julia Lipnitskaya
2) Adelina Sotnikova (please please please don't bomb the FS!!)
3) Elena Radionova
4) Anna Pogorilaya
5) Elizaveta Tuktamysheva
alt. Serafima Sakhanovich

PAIRS (VERY difficult)
1) Stolbova/Klimov
2) Bazarova/Larionov
3) Antipova/Maisuradze
4) Tarasova/Morozov
5) Gerboldt/Enbert
Alt. Davankova/Deputat

ICE DANCE
1) Bobrova/Soloviev
2) Ilynikh/Katsalapov
3) Riazanova/Tkachenko
4) Monko/Khaliavin
5) Sinitsina/Zhiganshin
alt. Stepanova/Bukin
 

mirai4life

1Lo <
Record Breaker
Joined
Jan 26, 2013
Ladies:
1. Julia Lipnitskaya
2. Elizaveta Tuktamysheva
3. Elena Radionova
4. Adelina Sotnikova
5. Anna Pogorilaya
 

sky_fly20

Match Penalty
Joined
Nov 20, 2011
I agree that Martiusheva/Rogonov are very inconsistent, but I do understand why some posters puts them so high. I love watching them too. (although I don't think they will manage to place as high as 4-5).

But the list of the pairs you believe will score higher than M/R, I really can't see why would you list there Gerboldt/Enbert! Not only M/R did manage to beat them in one competition this autumn, but G/E have not exactly been very good this season, and unlike M/R, G/E don't even deserve higher TES because apart of elements their program is quite empty and they look quite sloppy. So why would you think they will surpass M/R?

In regards to Davankova/Deputat splitting, I think you have forecasted it for a while and it hasn't happened yet. In fact, they did achieve second highest total score from Russian junior pairs in their JGP event, easily beating Tarasova/Morozov and Fedorova/Miroshkin. If you want to rely on your forecasting skills, maybe don't quit your day job! ;)

likeable to watch , thats it, the only reason ? even at the GP they got hammered by the judges in PCS clearly they don't agree
Martiusheva/Rogonov are legends of headcases, 5th or 6th place prediction list for them are laughable more like 7th or 8th

Davankova is only turning 16 but is tall for a pairs skater now, if she even grows another cm then they're done
also the golden rule for Pairs: Similar heights have no future same for Ice Dancing
 

CaroLiza_fan

EZETTIE LATUASV IVAKMHA
Record Breaker
Joined
Oct 25, 2012
Country
Northern-Ireland
Just a quick heads up to something that sky_fly20 posted in the entries thread:

Martiusheva/Rogonov out as she has apparently suffered a knee injury, very bad luck for her

https://twitter.com/Tatjana21

Well, that's my predictions going to have to be changed (again!) before I post them!

Does that mean Kawaguchi/Smirnov are in...? ;) :biggrin:


Unfortunately, there is still no sign of a Results Page, and hence a SP Starting order.

So, since we are going to have to get our new predictions worked out soon, I have gone on ahead and put the ISU Bio links up anyway.

There were a few changes in partnerships in the Nationals entry list compared to the ISU Bio list, so here are the Bios I have used.

Pairs:
Kristina ASTAKHOVA (with Nikita BOCHKOV)
Maxim KURDYUKOV (with Ekaterina PETAIKINA)
Yuri SHEVCHUK (with Alexandra VASILIEVA)

Hope this helps

CaroLiza_fan
 

sky_fly20

Match Penalty
Joined
Nov 20, 2011
just to remind everyone predicting:

Martiusheva/Rogonov have withdrawn because of Martiusheva's hip injury
they will be replaced by alternates: Gubanova/Sintsov
 

CaroLiza_fan

EZETTIE LATUASV IVAKMHA
Record Breaker
Joined
Oct 25, 2012
Country
Northern-Ireland
Picking my Top 6 in each category was not too bad. The only problem was that two of the entries I would have picked as Top 6 are down as Alternates! :disapp:

In fact, had they not been Alternates, I would have put Polina K as my number 6 choice in Ladies, and Kawaguchi/Smirnov as my number 3 choice in Pairs!

I haven’t heard of any of the Ladies withdrawing so far, and even if they did today, it would probably be too late to let Polina K in. And I assume Yuko hasn’t got over her injury yet, as the other Alternate Pairs couple (Gubanova/Sintsov) were brought in when Martyusheva/Rogonov (who had been my number 3 choice) withdrew.

But picking the “just for fun” extras that I like to do was a lot harder than I was expecting. In the Ladies, there were too many skaters that I like! And too many Juniors that I haven’t seen before, but who have big PB’s!

And as for the other categories, there were too many that I had never heard tell of before!

I don't like doing it like this, but in the end, for the skaters I had never seen before (or never heard tell of), the "just for fun" predictions were largely based on PB's!

Thank goodness it’s just the top 5 that score! ;) :biggrin:

CaroLiza_fan


Entries

Ladies:

1. Julia LIPNITSKAYA
2. Adelina SOTNIKOVA
3. Elena RADIONOVA
4. Elizaveta TUKTAMYSHEVA
5. Anna POGORILAYA
6. Alena LEONOVA
* If somebody withdraws and Polina Korobeynikova is let in, can I have her as my number 6 instead of Alena Leonova, please?

Just for fun
7. Polina AGAFONOVA
8. Seraphima SAKHANOVICH
9. Nikol GOSVIANI
10. Sofia BIRYUKOVA
11. Alexandra PROKLOVA
12. Evgenia MEDVEDEVA
13. Maria ARTEMYEVA
14. Anna SHERSHAK
15. Alsou KAYUMOVA
16. Daria PERVUSHKINA
17. Alina MAXIMOVA
18. Diana SHAMSUTDINOVA


Men:

1. Evgeny PLUSHENKO
2. Maxim KOVTUN
3. Konstantin MENSHOV
4. Sergei VORONOV
5. Artur GACHINSKI
6. Mikhail KOLYADA

Just for fun
7. Zhan BUSH
8. Adian PITKEEV
9. Alexander PETROV
10. Artur DMITRIEV Jr.
11. Moris KVITELASHVILI
12. Alexander SAMARIN
13. Gordei GORSHKOV
14. Murad KURBANOV
15. Andrei LAZUKIN
16. Seregy BORODULLIN
17. Vladislav SEZGANOV
18. Konstantin MILYUKOV


Pairs:

1. Vera BAZAROVA / Yuri LARIONOV
2. Ksenia STOLBOVA / Fedor KLIMOV
3. Julia ANTIPOVA / Nodari MAISURADZE
4. Katarina GERBOLDT / Alexander ENBERT
5. Lina FEDOROVA / Maxim MIROSHKIN
6. Evgenia TARASOVA / Vladimir MOROZOV

Just for fun
7. Maria VIGALOVA / Egor ZAKROEV
8. Vasilisa DAVANKOVA / Andrei DEPUTAT
9. Christina ASTAKHOVA / Maxim KUDRYUKOV
10. Alexandra MININA / Semei STEPANOV
11. Natalia MITINA / Yuri SHEVCHUK
12. Anastasia GUBANOVA / Alex SINTSOV


Dance:

1. Ekaterina BOBROVA / Dmitri SOLOVIEV
2. Elena ILINYKH / Nikita KATSALAPOV
3. Ekaterina RIAZANOVA / Ilia TKACHENKO
4. Ksenia MONKO / Kiril KHALIAVIN
5. Victoria SINITSINA / Ruslan ZHIGANSHIN
6. Ekaterina PUSKASH / Jonathan GUERREIRO

Just for fun
7. Alexandra STEPANOVA / Ivan BUKIN
8. Valeria ZENKOVA / Valery SINITSIN
9. Svetlana KOMYAKOVA / Nikita SHUBO
10. Angelica KANIVETS / Alexei CHIZHOV
 

sky_fly20

Match Penalty
Joined
Nov 20, 2011
Final Prediction after practice skates:

Men

1 Evgeni Plushenko
2 Maxim Kovtun
3 Sergei Voronov
4 Konstantin Menshov
5 Adian Pitkeev
6 Moris Kvitelashvili

Ladies
1 Adelina Sotnikova
2 Julia Lipnitskaya
3 Elena Radionova
4 Anna Pogorilaya
5 Serafima Sakahnovich
6 Alena Leonova

Pairs

1 Stolbova/Klimov
2 Bazarova/Larionov
3 Antipova/Maisuradze
4 Fedorova/Miroshkin
5 Vigalova/Zakroev
6 Tarasova/Morosov

Ice Dance
1 Ilinykh/Katsalapov
2 Bobrova/Soloviev
3 Riazanova/Tkachenko
4 Sinitsina/Zhiagnshin
5 Stepanova/Bukin
6 Monko/Khaliavin
 

Bea

On the Ice
Joined
Nov 12, 2012
Men
1. Evgeny Plushenko
2. Maxim Kovtun
3. Konstantin Menshov
4. Sergei Voronov
5. Artur Gachinski
6. Adien Pitkeev
7. Mikhail Kolyada

Ladies
1. Julia Lipnitskaia
2. Elena Radionova
3. Adelina Sotnikova
4. Elizaveta Tuktamysheva
5. Anna Pogorilaya
6. Alena Leonova

Pairs
1. Vera Bazarova / Yuri Larionov
2. Ksenia Stolbova / Fedor Klimov
3. Julia Antipova / Nodari Maisuradze
4. Maria Vigalova / Egor Zakroev
5. Lina Fedorova / Maxim Miroshkin
6. Vasilisa Davankova / Andrei Deputat

Ice dance
1. Ekaterina Bobrova / Dmitri Soloviev
2. Elena Ilinykh / Nikita Katsalapov
3. Ekaterina Riazanova / Ilia Tkachenko
4. Victoria Sinitsina / Ruslan Zhiganshin
5. Ksenia Monko / Kirill Khaliavin
6. Alexandra Stepanova / Ivan Bukin
 

ahy

Final Flight
Joined
Jul 29, 2013
Ladies
1.Julia Lipniskia
2.Elena Radionova
3.Adelina Sotnikova
4.Elizaveta Tuktamysheva
5.Anna Pogorilaya
 

pitterpatter

On the Ice
Joined
Oct 25, 2012
MEN

1) Evgeny Plushenko
2) Maxim Kovtun
3) Sergei Voronov
4) Adian Pitkeev
5) Konstantin Menshov
6) Artur Gachinski

LADIES
1) Julia Lipnitskaya
2) Elena Radionova
3) Elizaveta Tuktamisheva
4) Anna Pogorilaya
5) Adelina Sotnikova
6) Sofia Biryukova

PAIRS
1) Stolbova/Klimov
2) Bazarova/Larionov
3) Fedorova/Miroshkin
4) Antipova/Maisuradze
5) Tarasova/Morozov
6) Davankova/Deputat

ICE DANCE
1) Ilinykh/Katsalapov
2) Bobrova/Soloviev
3) Riazanova/Tkachenko
4) Monko/Khaliavin
5) Sinitsina/Zhiganshin
6) Stepanova/Bukin
 

CaroLiza_fan

EZETTIE LATUASV IVAKMHA
Record Breaker
Joined
Oct 25, 2012
Country
Northern-Ireland
THIS IS YOUR TWO HOUR WARNING.

You have just 2 hours left to get your predictions in, i.e. until 13:00 MSK (09:00 GMT)

Ladies
1.Julia Lipniskia
2.Elena Radionova
3.Adelina Sotnikova
4.Elizaveta Tuktamysheva
5.Anna Pogorilaya

ahy - I realise that you have only joined the game, so you are behind already. But, everybody is going to be making wild guesses come Chinese Nationals, so it could all close up going into the 2 North American Championships!

So don't put yourself at a disadvantage by only posting predictions for one category now. At least have a stab at the others.

You never know - you might get just them right! ;) :biggrin:

CaroLiza_fan
 

zamboni step

Final Flight
Joined
Feb 14, 2013
Ladies
1. Julia Lipnitskaya
2. Adelina Sotnikova
3. Elena Radionova
4. Serafima Sakhanovich
5. Anna Pogorilaya
6. Elizaveta Tuktamisheva

Men
1. Evgeni Plushenko
2. Maxim Kovtun
3. Konstantin Menshov
4. Sergei Voronov
5. Artur Gachinski
6. Adien Pitkeev

Pairs
1. Vera Bazarova / Yuri Larionov
2. Ksenia Stolbova / Fedor Klimov
3. Julia Antipova / Nodari Maisuradze
4. Maria Vigalova / Egor Zakroev
5. Evgenia Tarasova / Vladimir Morozov
6. Lina Fedorova / Maxim Miroshkin

Dance
1. Ekaterina Bobrova / Dmitri Soloviev
2. Elena Ilinykh / Nikita Katsalapov
3. Ekaterina Riazanova / Ilia Tkachenko
4. Victoria Sinitsina / Ruslan Zhiganshin
5. Ksenia Monko / Kirill Khaliavin
6. Alexandra Stepanova / Ivan Bukin

These were rush decisions, so I hope my gut instinct was correct.
 

CaroLiza_fan

EZETTIE LATUASV IVAKMHA
Record Breaker
Joined
Oct 25, 2012
Country
Northern-Ireland
I am afraid that time is now up to get your predictions in.

Sorry for the late posting - I didn't want to interrupt Papa Oda's FS! (I'm trying to get caught up with Japanese Championships before Russians start!)

CaroLiza_fan
 

FSGMT

Record Breaker
Joined
Sep 10, 2012
Scores for Ice Dance are up now!
No perfect score, but congratulations to hanca for being the only one to score an almost-perfect 70! :clap:
And congratulations to hanca (again! ;) ) and to frenchie, who were the only ones to predict S/Z in third! :yes:
The Ice Dance top10 is:
1) 70 points: hanca
2) 65 points: zamboni step, frenchie, 96skiluvr, Bea, tulosai
7) 60 points: sequinsgalore, Mrs. P
9) 55 points: CaroLiza_fan, YesWay, FSGMT
And, the overall top10:
1) 170 points: CaroLiza_fan
2) 165 points: tulosai
3) 155 points: Bea
4) 145 points: YesWay
5) 140 points: LRK, Mrs. P
7) 135 points: sequinsgalore, pitterpatter
9) 130 points: FSGMT
10) 110 points: 96skiluvr
Any correction, if needed, is welcome!
 

Mrs. P

Uno, Dos, twizzle!
Record Breaker
Joined
Dec 27, 2009
Wow, I did better than I thought. I thought not including S/Z in my predictions would be more costly than it actually was.

All in all not a bad competition for me! 60+ on three out of four disciplines. Ladies...however..........:slink:
 

Wilhelmina

On the Ice
Joined
Mar 5, 2012
First pairs results are up, and our early leader is Mrs. P with 60 points!

(Please check the spreadsheet and let me know if I've scored you incorrectly--did my best in a groggy post-Christmas haze.)
 

Li'Kitsu

Record Breaker
Joined
Dec 29, 2011
Mrs.P said:
Ladies...however..........:slink:

No reason to run away ;)

The winner of the ladies event was sky_fly20 with 55 points, congrats! The closest followers are Mrs.P and hanca who scored 45 points.

Overall, we have a pretty clear top 3 with Mrs.P being 1st (with 230 points), followed by hanca with 225 and sky_fly20 with 220 points. YesWay was the only other poster to break 200 points, coming 4th with a 205. Congratulations everyone! :clap:
 
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