World Championships: Predictions Game Round 5

This is going to be challenging!

Men
1.) Yuzuru Hanyu
2.) Javier Fernandez
3.) Tatsuki Machida
4.) Han Yan
5.) Max Aaron
--
6.) Maxim Kovtun
7.) Takahiko Kozuka
8.) Jeremy Abbott
9.) Peter Liebers
10.)Michal Brezina
11.) Tomas Verner
12.) Jorik Hendrickx


Ladies
1.) Mao Asada
2.) Carolina Kostner
3.) Julia Lipnitskaia
4.) Gracie Gold
5.) Ashley Wagner
--
6.) Kanako Murakami
7.) Kaetlyn Osmond
8.) Polina Edmunds
9.) Akiko Suzuki
10.) Anna Pogorilaya
11.) Mae Bernice Meite
12.) Zijun Li

Pairs
1.) Savchenko/Szolkowy
2.) Sui/Han
3.) Stolbova/Klimov
4.) Duhmel/Radford
5.) Moore-Towers/Moscovitch
---
6.) Peng/Zhang
7.) Bazarova/Larinov
8.) Castelli/Shnapir
9.) Berton/Hotarek
10.) James/Cipres
11.) Zhang/Bartholomay
12.) Wende/Wende

Dance
1.) Pechalat/Bourzat
2.) Bobrova/Soloviev
3.) Ilinykh/Katsalapov
4.) Weaver/Poje
5.) Cappellini/Lanotte
---
6.) Chock/Bates
7.) Shibutanis
8.) Coomes/Buckland
9.) Giles/Poirier
10.) Aldridge/Eaton
11.) Hutado/Diaz
12.) Paul/Islam

Men
1. Yuzuru Hanyu
2. Javier Fernandez
3. Tatsuki Machida
4. Han Yan
5. Maxim Kovtun
6. Takahiko Kozuka

Ladies
1. Mao Asada
2. Carolina Kostner
3. Julia Lipnitskaia
4. Gracie Gold
5. Akiko Suzuki
6. Kanako Murakami

Pairs
1. Aliona Savchenko / Robin Szolkowy
2. Ksenia Stolbova / Fedor Klimov
3. Wenjing Sui / Cong Han
4. Meagan Duhamel / Eric Radford
5. Kirsten Moore-Towers / Dylan Moscovitch
6. Vera Bazarova / Yuri Larionov

Ice dance
1. Nathalie Pechalat / Fabian Bourzat
2. Elena Ilinykh / Nikita Katsalapov
3. Kaitlyn Weaver / Andrew Poje
4. Ekaterina Bobrova / Dmitri Soloviev
5. Anna Cappellini / Luca Lanotte
6. Madison Chock / Evan Bates

Men
1. Yuzuru Hanyu
2. Javier Fernandez
3. Tatsuki Machida
4. Maxim Kovtun
5. Han Yan
6. Max Aaron

Ladies
1. Carolina Kostner
2. Julia Lipnitskaia
3. Mao Asada
4. Akkiko Suzuki
5. Gracie Gold
6. Kanako Murakami

Pairs
1. Aliona Savchenko / Robin Szolkowy
2. Ksenia Stolbova / Fedor Klimov
3. Kirsten Moore-Towers / Dylan Moscovitch
4. Wenjing Sui / Cong Han
5. Meagan Duhamel / Eric Radford
6. Stefania Berton / Ondrej Hotarek

Ice dance
1. Nathalie Pechalat / Fabian Bourzat
2. Elena Ilinykh / Nikita Katsalapov
3. Kaitlyn Weaver / Andrew Poje
4. Anna Cappellini / Luca Lanotte
5. Ekaterina Bobrova / Dmitri Soloviev
6. Madison Chock / Evan Bates

Right, this was done in a hurry, so there is nothing scientific about the order this time. All I have really done is copy my predictions for the Olympics, and added a few names to replace the ones that aren’t doing Worlds.

Although I have made a few minor changes based on what happened in Sochi, there are not too many. And they are mainly in the “Just For Fun” sections.

So, in other words, I’m going to make the same mistakes as I did with the Olympics!

CaroLiza_fan


Ladies:

1. Mao ASADA, JPN
2. Julia LIPNITSKAIA, RUS
3. Akiko SUZUKI, JPN
4. Carolina KOSTNER, ITA
5. Valentina MARCHEI, ITA
6. Ashley WAGNER, USA

Just for fun
7. Gracie GOLD, USA
8. Kanako MURAKAMI, JPN
9. Zijun LI, CHN
10. Mae Berenice MEITE, FRA
11. Anna POGORILAYA, RUS
12. Polina EDMUNDS, USA
13. Kaetlyn OSMOND, CAN
14. Elena GLEBOVA, EST
15. Natalia POPOVA, UKR


Men:

1. Yuzuru HANYU, JPN
2. Javier FERNANDEZ, ESP
3. Tatsuki MACHIDA, JPN
4. Takahiko KOZUKA, JPN
5. Michal BREZINA, CZE
6. Maxim KOVTUN, RUS

Just for fun
7. Han YAN, CHN
8. Kevin REYNOLDS, CAN
9. Tomas VERNER, CZE
10. Jeremy ABBOTT, USA
11. Peter LIEBERS, GER
12. Max AARON, USA
13. Jorik HENDRICKX, BEL
14. Misha GE, UZB
15. Elladj BALDE, CAN


Pairs:

1. Aliona SAVCHENKO / Robin SZOLKOWY, GER
2. Ksenia STOLBOVA / Fedor KLIMOV, RUS
3. Meagan DUHAMEL / Eric RADFORD, CAN
4. Vera BAZAROVA / Yuri LARIONOV, RUS
5. Kirsten MOORE-TOWERS / Dylan MOSCOVITCH, CAN
6. Stefania BERTON / Ondrej HOTAREK, ITA

Just for fun
7. Vanessa JAMES / Morgan CIPRES, FRA
8. Cheng PENG / Hao ZHANG, CHN
9. Wenjing SUI / Cong HAN, CHN
10. Julia ANTIPOVA / Nodari MAISURADZE, RUS
11. Maylin WENDE / Daniel WENDE, GER
12. Paige LAWRENCE / Rudi SWIEGERS, CAN
13. Daria POPOVA / Bruno MASSOT, FRA
14. Marissa CASTELLI / Simon SHNAPIR, USA
15. Nicole DELLA MONICA / Matteo GUARISE, ITA


Dance:

1. Ekaterina BOBROVA / Dmitri SOLOVIEV, RUS
2. Nathalie PECHALAT / Fabian BOURZAT, FRA
3. Elena ILINYKH / Nikita KATSALAPOV, RUS
4. Anna CAPPELLINI / Luca LANOTTE, ITA
5. Victoria SINITSINA / Ruslan ZHIGANSHIN, RUS
6. Kaitlyn WEAVER / Andrew POJE, CAN

Just for fun
7. Penny COOMES / Nicholas BUCKLAND, GBR
8. Madison CHOCK / Evan BATES, USA
9. Maia SHIBUTANI / Alex SHIBUTANI, USA
10. Julia ZLOBINA / Alexei SITNIKOV, AZE
11. Piper GILLES / Paul POIRIER, CAN
12. Nelli ZHIGANSHINA / Alexander GAZSI, GER
13. Alexandra ALDRIDGE / Daniel EATON, USA
14. Charlene GUIGNARD / Marco FABBRI, ITA
15. Gabriella PAPADAKIS / Guillaume CIZERON, FRA

Ladies:
1. Asada
2. Lipnitskaja
3. Kostner
4. Gold
5. Suzuki
6. Wagner

Men:
1. Hanyu
2. Fernandez
3. Machida
4. Kovtun
5. Yan
6. Kozouka

Pairs:
1. Savchenk0/ Szolkovy
2. Stolbova/ Klimov
3. Sui/ Han
4. Duhamel/Radford
5. Peng/ Zhang
6. Moore-Towers/ Moscovich (though they deserve more than this)

Dance:
1. Ilinykh/ Katsalapov (I dont't hope so at all!)
2. Pechalat/ Bourzat
3. Peaver/ Poje (would love to see them on the podium)
4. Cappellini/ Lanotte (if they could get more, I would be very happy for them!)
5. Bobrova/ Soloviev
6. Chock/ Bates

Hope they are having a good sleep now eventually waking up to fulfil my predictions

Men
1. Yuzuru Hanyu
2. Tatsuki Machida
3. Javier Fernandez
4. Maxim Kovtun
5. Han Yan
6. Jeremy Abbott

Ladies
1. Julia Lipnitskaia
2. Carolina Kostner
3. Mao Asada
4. Akkiko Suzuki
5. Ashley Wagner
6. Gracie Gold

Pairs
1. Savchenko/Szolkowy
2. Sui/Han
3. Stolbova/Klimov
4. Peng/Zhang
5. Duhamel/Radford
6. Moore-Towers/Moscovitch

Dance
1. Pechalat/Bourzat
2. Ilinykh/Katsalapov
3. Bobrova/Soloviev
4. Weaver/Poje
5. Cappellini/Lanotte
6. Chock/Bates

Sorry, meant to do this half an hour ago, but forgot.

THIS IS YOUR 3 1/2 HOUR WARNING!

You have 3 hours and 30 minutes until the target time for getting your predictions in for the Pairs category, i.e. 09:00 JST (00:00 GMT)

However, if you still want to enter we will still be accepting predictions for each discipline up until the start of their Short Programme.

In the case of the Pairs, that will be 10:00 JST (01:00 GMT)

PLEASE NOTE THAT THE PAIRS COMPETITION IS STARTING AN HOUR EARLIER THAN ORIGINALLY ADVERTISED

CaroLiza_fan

Men:
1. Hanyu
2. Fernandez
3. Kozuka (fingers crossed)
4. Machida
5. Liebers (oh, why not just go for it! )
6. Abbott

Ladies:
1. Suzuki (I don't care what you think!!! )
2. Kostner
3. Asada
4. Lipnitskaia
5. Gold
6. Wagner

Pairs:
1. Savchenko/Szolkowy
2. Stolbova/Klimov
3. Moore-Towers/Moscovitch
4. Duhamel/Radford
5. Sui/Han
6. Berton/Hotárek

Dance:
1. Péchalat/Bourzat
2. Ilinykh/Katsalapov
3. Weaver/Poje
4. Cappellini/Lanotte
5. Bobrova/Soloviev
6. Chock/Bates

I think Julia and Gracie have the mental advantage here. They are at the beginning of their senior careers. They might be physically exhausted after a long Olympic season but mentally, they are fresher and they have the next Olympic cycle to look forward too so that ought to give them a mental boost.
I think it would be hard to find motivation if you are Mao, Kostner and Suzuki. Mao and Suzuki will want to use world to make up for their slips at Olympics but that could be a good or bad motivator depending on where your head is. Caro just need to muster her newfound skating-for-joy one last time and she'll be awesome. But can she keep up the high after a such a good Olympics?

I hope Gold makes her mark. Dear lord, can we have a USA lady on the podium finally?

Ice Dance scores are in the spreadsheet! Not a real "winner" in this last round, because we have 15 people scoring 70!!
The overall IceDance top10 is:
1) 96skiluvr 300 points
2) Bea, FSGMT 290 points
4) YesWay 285 points
5) Poice, Frenchie 280 points
7) Isabel_O'Reilly 265 points
8) alebi, SubRosa 255 points
10) sequinsgalore 220 points
Congratulations to all!! (and let me know if there are mistakes!)

FSGMT said:

Ice Dance scores are in the spreadsheet! Not a real "winner" in this last round, because we have 15 people scoring 70!!
The overall IceDance top10 is:
1) 96skiluvr 300 points
2) Bea, FSGMT 290 points
4) YesWay 285 points
5) Poice, Frenchie 280 points
7) Isabel_O'Reilly 265 points
8) alebi, SubRosa 255 points
10) sequinsgalore 220 points
Congratulations to all!! (and let me know if there are mistakes!)

Click to expand...

Erm, I forgot to remind the scorers that we are using double points for the World Championships.

But, don't worry FSGMT. I have just doubled the points that you put into the Spreadsheet.

Consequently, the adjusted Ice Dance Top 10 is:

1) 96skiluvr 370 points
2) Bea, FSGMT 360 points
4) YesWay 355 points
5) Poice, Frenchie 350 points
7) Isabel_O'Reilly, SubRosa 325 points
9) tulosai 270 points
10) pangtongfan 260 points

Sorry for my mistake

CaroLiza_fan

CaroLiza_fan said:

Erm, I forgot to remind the scorers that we are using double points for the World Championships.

But, don't worry FSGMT. I have just doubled the points that you put into the Spreadsheet.

Click to expand...

Um... all the Ice Dance points now appear to be 4x instead of 2x? ie. they've been doubled twice?

Also, Alebi... one of our top scorers... has been given no points at all!

YesWay said:

Um... all the Ice Dance points now appear to be 4x instead of 2x? ie. they've been doubled twice?

Also, Alebi... one of our top scorers... has been given no points at all!

Click to expand...

Ah, maybe I was mistaken and the points had been doubled already. They just looked a bit lower than I expected, so I assumed that it was scored normally.

Right, I've restored it to the way FSGMT had left it.

But, Alebi still has no score, so maybe she hasn't got that far yet with the scoring...

Sorry about that

CaroLiza_fan

Hang on now the dance scores are at the normal scoring, as opposed to the 2x scoring...

96skiluvr said:

Hang on now the dance scores are at the normal scoring, as opposed to the 2x scoring...

Click to expand...

As of right now, they appear correct on my screen.

I have 70 points. 35 x 2... which is correct.
You have 70 points. 35 x 2... which is correct.

A few others I checked, also seem correct.
Are you seeing different numbers?

YesWay said:

As of right now, they appear correct on my screen.

I have 70 points. 35 x 2... which is correct.
You have 70 points. 35 x 2... which is correct.

A few others I checked, also seem correct.
Are you seeing different numbers?

Click to expand...

When I looked yesterday they were at 140...

96skiluvr said:

When I looked yesterday they were at 140...

Click to expand...

70 is correct for both of you, I just did a quick calculation. Ice Dance was just not a high scoring category.

The men!

Special props to 96skiluvr--who predicted the results PERFECTLY and earned the maximum 150 points! Given how unpredictable the men have been all season this is quite a feat. Other top scorers include FSGMT with 120 points and Poice,tulosai and HanDomi with 110 points.

So the final top 10for the men are:

GOLD: 96skiluvr, 320
SILVER: Poice, 285
BRONZE: Subrosa, 280
4th: FSGMT, 265
5th: Isabel_O'Reilly, YesWay, CaroLiza_fan and Bea with 255 points
9th: alebi, 234
10th: Frenchie, 235

CaroLiza_fan said:

But, Alebi still has no score, so maybe she hasn't got that far yet with the scoring...

Click to expand...

ouch, so no top 10 for me in Ice dance?

I looked at the docs and my name appears two times... I know I have multiple personalities but I forced all except the main one to sit and not confuse the game

ok... I don't wanna seem pedantic, so sorry if it'll annoy someone, but since my scores got a mistake I recount from the beginning every scores I did and found some errors:

1) in the olympics men competition I did 100 points not 90. I guessed Yuzu and Patrick, I put Javy 3rd instead of 4th and (here is my doubt) I put Plushenko 4th and Takahashi 6th... Since Plushy retired and according to what happened at Euros with Savchenko / Szolkowy, it was like I put Takahashi 5th. He arrived 6th so I should get 20 points from him, not 10.

Wilhelmina said:

S/S will be removed from all Pairs predictions, and all predictions below them will be moved up by one. (So your 6th/alternate will now be your 5th, etc.)

Click to expand...

2) so my men total in the Olympics is 100, my total in the Olympics is 455, my men overall total is 255 (not to mention that 234 is an impossible score to get since are all multiples of 5 )

3) following the same logic in the Worlds dance B/S retired so it was like I put: I/K, P/B, C/L, W/P, C/B.. which brings 70 points

4) my dance overall score then should be 325 points

And since I'm too kind (or pedantic) my total for ladies worlds is 110, my total for pairs worlds is 120, my worlds overall is 390. My ladies overall is 295, my pairs overall is 320 and my final and total score is 1250

I hope this can help recounting my scores