- Joined
- Jan 25, 2013
On another note it is quite unlikely Chan would even make the podium at the 2013 worlds if it were scored under 6.0, even with his obvious 1st place in the short program.
Uh, how do you figure. Chan losing to Ten under 6.0, yes, certainly. But who in the rest of the field could have been ahead of Chan?
Chan obviously would have still won the SP under 6.0. But worse case scenario, Chan would have been 4th in the FS (although pangtongfan, you'd probably have him in 20th ). He easily would have beaten Takahashi. Chan's artistic marks also would prevent him from placing worse than Mura/Reynolds/Aaron... they likely would have beat Chan technically but Chan would edge them out with his artistic superiority. I'd picture something like 5.5/5.4 for Mura, 5.4/5.5 for Reynolds, 5.6/5.3 for Aaron, and 5.2/5.8 for Chan (although even 5.2/5.7 or 5.1/5.8 would place Chan ahead).
I think the placements under 6.0 would have been:
SP:
1. Chan 0.5
2. Ten 1.0
3. Takahashi 1.5 (his URs being overlooked - he might have even received 2nd place ordinals over Ten)
4. Joubert 2.0 (reputation + clean SP placed ahead of Reynolds)
5. Reynolds 2.5 (I don't think his quads would have been given enough credit as they are under CoP)
6. Brezina 3.0
7. Fernandez 3.5 (although there's certainly a case for him being placed behind Aaron, who was clean, whereas Fernandez singled his axel)
8. Aaron 4.0
9. Hanyu 4.5
10. Liebers 5.0 (although there's certainly a case for Liebers ahead of Hanyu, seeing as how Hanyu would have been hit hard for two significant errors, including a fall, and no combo)
FS:
Ten 1.0
Hanyu 2.0
Fernandez 3.0
Chan 4.0
Mura 5.0
Aaron 6.0 (although he arguably could be placed ahead of Mura)
Takahashi 7.0 (I can picture the judges throwing him a bone and putting him ahead of Reynolds, although if some of Reynolds' URs were disregarded he'd be ahead of Takahashi)
Reynolds 8.0
Rogozine 9.0
Joubert 10.0 (Liebers would be more deserving, but I'm guessing the judges would ignore Joubert's URs and the negated 3F at the end)
Top 6:
Ten 2.0
Chan 4.5
Hanyu 6.5
Fernandez 6.5
Takahashi 8.5 (although this would be due to artistic marks when arguably Reynolds and Aaron outskated him)
Reynolds (could be Aaron)
There is an unlikely scenario where Chan's artistic marks in the FS wouldn't be enough to put him ahead of Mura/Aaron in the FS (but I think most would agree that Chan's artistic superiority compensates for his technical inferiority to Aaron/Mura's FS). That would tie his ordinals with Hanyu/Fernandez, and thus they both beat him on a tiebreaker. That however is unlikely (not to mention, Fernandez and Hanyu might not have even been as high as 7th ahead of Aaron and 9th ahead of Liebers after the SP).
So to say that it's "quite likely" Chan would have been off the podium is ridiculous thinking - even for you.