- Joined
- Oct 20, 2017
Of course , i meant artistic. XDI still hope you meant "artistic", not "arthritic".
Of course , i meant artistic. XDI still hope you meant "artistic", not "arthritic".
Really enjoying watching this arms race.
https://vk.com/video-97272391_456240706
https://www.instagram.com/p/Bg1LHsAn6aU/
Plz stay healthy.
Welcome to the party, You Young.
https://www.instagram.com/p/BhGsHBLAfYn/
We need a Wakaba update soon.
As much as I love my Tiny Queen Satoko, I have a feeling that Kaori or Wakaba is gonna bring on a challenge to be Japan's number 1 next season!
Rika will beat every one if she skates two clean programmes. But for senior, Satoko still has a lot of leverage over others depending on her health. Wakaba, Kaori are both inconsistent. Mai has more chances plus more room to improve. It will be impossible for someone to stay no.1 for longer period of time.
Mai, Wakaba and Kaori were not more inconsistents than Satoko this season. They rarely did more than error per competition and skated back to back clean programs.
At this state i think that Satoko can still win only if others make errors and her URs not called.
The problem for other girls is not only the PCS gap (which is not that big between her and Wakaba) but also the fact that Satoko can get the same TES than them at their max and even more (She has the highest TES of the season, 75 from olympics), while she has by far the worst jumps. And it's laughable.
I think the ability of others to beat her depends more of tech panel and judges' GOEs than consistency.
I agree for Rika. She can overtake everyone but maybe Wakaba if she get the 3A.
But Satoko gets very little GOEs on her jumps. Where she earned GOEs are on her non jumps and especially her StSq and much as I dislike the mediocre jumps, I have to say she is arguably the best in the non jump elements.
From their best LPs this season Satoko got +12,36 GOEs (olympics) while Wakaba got +12,21 GOEs (worlds). I agree that Satoko should outscore Wakaba in spins but not in steps. Wakaba should outscore her by far in jumps.
Some of the issue might also be coming from 3F GOE. Wakaba (whether it's as severe of a problem as the judges make it out to be) seems to get her GOE docked because of the usual ! calls and doesn't usually get above +1.0 (scaled) on what's usually a pretty good quality jump. I noticed in the FS this year there weren't a lot of steps going into her 3F either, which could also contribute. Then there's the whole issue with Wakaba's combos being less friendly to GOE. Her solo 2A and Satoko's solo 2A have the same GOE scaling, but Satoko's 2A+3T combo vs. Wakaba's 2A+2T+2Lo is actually worth more because it includes a triple jump. So if Satoko got a +1 GOE on her 2A+3T, it would translate to a +0.7 but Wakaba's combo would only receive +0.5 because there's no triple in the combo. Obviously it doesn't explain the whole story of Satoko's GOE advantage but it is a contributing factor.
The 3F isn't as much of an issue regarding the numbers I posted from WC18 - in the SP it got negative GOE so it's out of the equation (as I focused on jumps that got +GOE). So there's only one in the LP.
Regarding their axel combinations, they got pretty much the same GOEs from the judges before factoring (with Waka having one +1 more where Satoko had a 0).
And level 4 steps would have gotten Waka around 0.46 points more. Even with that, Satoko would still out-GOE her in WC, albeit barely (16.77 vs. 16.6), but still with 2 jump errors more.
From their best LPs this season Satoko got +12,36 GOEs (olympics) while Wakaba got +12,21 GOEs (worlds). I agree that Satoko should outscore Wakaba in spins but not in steps. Wakaba should outscore her by far in jumps.
I dislike her heavy prerotation on the backend 3T and think those should be docked but I don’t deny that she gets good running edges out of the jumps.
Where jumps are concerned, Wakaba should be getting higher because of her better air positions and lift. Where she needs to work on is the flow out of the jump. Satoko May have smallish jumps but she always hits them on time with the music and she holds her landing edge out on the e it which are both GOE grabbing assets. I dislike her heavy prerotation on the backend 3T and think those should be docked but I don’t deny that she gets good running edges out of the jumps.
I saw a report saying that she did a 2A-3lo at a competition today/yesterday.