- Joined
- Jul 27, 2003
The latest forecast for the upcoming hurricane season is not good...and may rival last year's as far as intensity and number of hurricanes. This year they estimate there will be 13 names hurricanes with at least 6 of them intense (cat 3,4,or 5). Here is the best guesstimate of where one could hit this year.
PROBABILITIES FOR AT LEAST ONE MAJOR (CATEGORY 3-4-5) HURRICANE LANDFALL ON EACH OF THE FOLLOWING COASTAL AREAS:
1) Entire U.S. coastline - 73% (average for last century is 52%)
2) U.S. East Coast Including the Florida Peninsula - 53% (average for last century is 31%)
3) Gulf Coast from the Florida Panhandle westward to Brownsville - 41% (average for last century is 30%)
4) Expected above-average major hurricane landfall risk in the Caribbean
Things could change, of course, before the official start of the hurricane season on June 1st......let's hope so.
PROBABILITIES FOR AT LEAST ONE MAJOR (CATEGORY 3-4-5) HURRICANE LANDFALL ON EACH OF THE FOLLOWING COASTAL AREAS:
1) Entire U.S. coastline - 73% (average for last century is 52%)
2) U.S. East Coast Including the Florida Peninsula - 53% (average for last century is 31%)
3) Gulf Coast from the Florida Panhandle westward to Brownsville - 41% (average for last century is 30%)
4) Expected above-average major hurricane landfall risk in the Caribbean
Things could change, of course, before the official start of the hurricane season on June 1st......let's hope so.