In 2014, South Korea, Spain, Kazakhstan, and Czech Republic all were passed by for the team event because they did not qualify in three events: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Figure_skating_at_the_2014_Winter_Olympics_%E2%80%93_Qualification#Team_event
So Australia, Czech Republic, Israel, South Korea and Ukraine will duke it out for the final two spots in the team event.
These countries can gain qualifying points in the Grand Prix as follows:
Australia - GP men (Kerry - 1)
Czech Republic - GP ice dance (Kuzmichova/Sinicyn - 1), pairs (Duskova/Bidar - 2) and men (Brezina - 1)
Israel - GP ice dance (Tobias/Tkachenko - 2) and men (Bychenko - 2, Samohin - 2)
South Korea - GP ladies (Park - 2, Kim - 1, Choi - 2), GP men (Cha - 2)
Ukraine - GP ice dance (Nazarova/Nikitin - 1)
A skater/team has to place in the top 8 at a GP event to gain points. It is unlikely that any of these skaters will make it to the GPF. As well, there are still two JGP events to go where points can be accumulated. (Why does the JGP final not count for points, I wonder?)
Who would you predict the final two countries to be?
I'll be continuing the table until the end of the grand prix, but i think its quite clear which ten nations will qualify, and which nation, for the second games in a row will be sitting first alternate for the team event (clearly im not being salty about it at all! )
Well I'll throw the damn salt everywhere because we should have a pair on the GP and don't because of the stupid ISU rule change and the big countries acting like big countries. (Which was also evident in the selection of the men's alternate at NHK.)
just a question ? would placing high on JGP do better in terms of points than placing low on the GP?
Out of curiosity, I looked up the points. First at a JGP is 250 points. To get more points than that at a GP, a skater/team has to place 5th or better. From there on, the points interleave, ie GP5 > JGP1 > GP6 > JGP2 > GP7 > JGP3 > GP8 > JGP4. But GP 8 is the lowest GP ranking that gets points, whereas points are also given for JGP 5 - JGP 10.
I think it's very likely that A/W will wind up with more points from their best JGP than they would have earned from a single GP. A JGP result of first or second is very attainable for them, if they have another JGP. To best that they'd need 5th or 6th at a GP, which I think would be much harder for them.
If they don't have another JGP, then they would have had to do 8th or better at a GP to beat what they've already done.
The battle between Australia vs Israel on the Senior GP.
Australia:
Brendan (1 event)
Kailani (1 event)
Israel:
Tobias/Tkachenko (2 events)
Samohin (2 events)
Bychenko (2 events)
So basically, we're sunk, even if Brendan picks up a second, unless both Brendan and Kailani light up their GPs and all three Israeli entrants have meltdowns.
... When the GP points come in, they will lose the corresponding JGP points (if the GP points are higher). ...
My understanding is different. AFAIK:
If a country has at least one GP entry in a discipline, then qualification points from the GP supersede *any* qualification points the country would have gotten from the JGP.
Does not matter whether the number of points from the GP placement is lower or higher than the number of points corresponding to a JGP placement.
Thank you for that correction. That makes it even better for Australia. If nobody withdraws from the GP, Korea and Israel are going to lose all their JGP points, whereas Australia will keep their 250 from pairs and 120 from ice dance.
My understanding is different. AFAIK:
If a country has at least one GP entry in a discipline, then qualification points from the GP supersede *any* qualification points the country would have gotten from the JGP.
Does not matter whether the number of points from the GP placement is lower or higher than the number of points corresponding to a JGP placement.
... if a nation doesn't earn any qualification points at a GP (they finish outside top 8), then the Junior Points count instead. ...
Yes, and conversely...
Off topic: But that is not what "conversely" means.
Excited!Don't you love how unpredictable this qualification system is!