Yeah this is what I think too, and I think it's an accurate statement. Both Lipnitskaia and Sotnikova could place third if clean especially with any help from others (i.e. if others make mistakes). Of course, Adelina may not even be sent and has little chance of being clean in both programs, but crazier things would have happened in figure skating's history. As for Julia, obviously not everyone's cup of tea, but with her consistency and well designed programs, it would be foolish to count her out for 3rd.