I've come to feel that Nobu may do well. He looked so happy at the opening ceremony. It is nice to be so relaxed and smile happily.
IMO, Dai has sounded putting too much pressures on himself. He has gotten a lot of attention and has received many interviews (Dai is not only popular, but also one of the "symbol athletes" of the Japanese Olympic Committee, so that he has to make a lot of appearanaces for the sponsor cooperations that borrow his portrait rights from JOC). He does say that he really loves getting attention and expressing himself. He has talked in a heroic, dramatic manner that are good for those who need to sell those stories. But I have an impression that he could be a bit tense. This is the last chance for him to compete at the Olympics. But it seems rather rigid to announce that he'd absolutely try that he lands once with a hand down out of nine attemps less than a week before the comp. That seems like a black/white thinking that not only most likely to fail (sorry), but also could sacrifice other strengths of his. One of the medal favorites, Evan, probably wouldn't try and still remains a medal contender.