Skate America: Predictions Game Round 1

[TheGrandSophy]

Ladies:

1. Ashley Wagner
2. Mai Mihara
3. Mao Asada
4. Gracie Gold
5. Gabrielle Daleman
6. So Youn Park

Men:

1. Shoma Uno
2. Boyang Jin
3. Jason Brown
4. Adam Rippon
5. Maxim Kovtun
6. Sergei Voronov

Pairs:

1. Evgenia Tarasova / Vladimir Morozov
2. Julianne Seguin / Charlie Bilodeau
3. Vanessa James / Morgan Cipres
4. Kristina Astakhova / Alexei Rogonov
5. Marissa Castelli / Mervin Tran
6. Haven Denney / Brandon Frazier

Dance:

1. Maia Shibutani / Alex Shibutani
2. Elena Ilinykh / Ruslan Zhiganshin
3. Ekaterina Bobrova / Dmitri Soloviev
4. Madison Hubbell / Zachary Donohue
5. Charlene Guignard / Marco Fabbri
6. Kana Muramoto / Chris Reed

 

[IlVoloFan]

Men:

1. Shoma UNO (JPN)
2. Boyang JIN (CHN)
3. Maxim KOVTUN (RUS)
4. Jason BROWN (USA)
5. Adam RIPPON (USA)
6. Sergei VORONOV (RUS)

Ladies:

1. Gracie GOLD (USA)
2. Mao ASADA (JPN)
3. Ashley WAGNER (USA)
4. Mai MIHARA (JPN)
5. Gabrielle DALEMAN (CAN)
6. So Youn PARK (KOR)

Pairs:

1. Evgenia TARASOVA / Vladimir MOROZOV (RUS)
2. Julianne SEGUIN / Charlie BILODEAU (CAN)
3. Vanessa JAMES / Morgan CIPRES (FRA)
4. Kristina ASTAKHOVA / Alexei ROGONOV (RUS)
5. Haven DENNEY / Brandon FRAZIER (USA)
6. Valentina MARCHEI / Ondrej HOTAREK (ITA)

Ice Dance:

1. Maia SHIBUTANI / Alex SHIBUTANI (USA)
2. Ekaterina BOBROVA / Dmitri SOLOVIEV (RUS)
3. Madison HUBBELL / Zachary DONOHUE (USA)
4. Elena ILINYKH / Ruslan ZHIGANSHIN (RUS)
5. Charlene GUIGNARD / Marco FABBRI (ITA)
6. Isabella TOBIAS / Ilia TKACHENKO (ISR)

 

[karne]

The rest were kept in absolute PB order. Sorry karne! (Hope Brendan finishes higher!)

....

9. Timothy DOLENSKY, USA
10. Brendan KERRY, AUS

But CaroLiza_fan, I think you got it wrong anyway! Brendan scored 220-something at SLC and I'm pretty sure his PB is now higher than Timothy's!

 

[Plonuu]

MEN

1. Boyang JIN
2. Shoma UNO
3. Adam RIPPON
4. Jason BROWN
5. Sergei VORONOV
6. Maxim KOVTUN

LADIES

1. Ashley WAGNER
2. Gracie GOLD
3. Mai MIHARA
4. Mao ASADA
5. Gabrielle DALEMAN
6. Mariah BELL

PAIRS

1. Julianne SEGUIN / Charlie BILODEAU
2. Evgenia TARASOVA / Vladimir MAROZOV
3. Vanessa JAMES / James CIPRES
4. Kristina ASTAKHOVA / Alexei ROGONOV
5. Haven Denney / Brandon Frazier
6. Valentina MARCHEI / Ondrei HOTAREK

ICE DANCE

1. Maia SHIBUTANI / Alex SHIBUTANI
2. Ekaterina BOBROVA / Dmitri SOLOVIEV
3. Madison HUBBELL / Zachary DONOHUE
4. Elena ILINYKH / Rusan ZHIGANSHIN
5. Charlene GUIGNARD / Marco FABBRI
6. Isabella TOBIAS / Ilia TKACHENKO

 

[sabinfire]

MEN
1.) Uno
2.) Jin
3.) Brown
4.) Rippon
5.) Kovtun
6.) Voronov

LADIES
1.) Wagner
2.) Mihara
3.) Asada
4.) Gold
5.) Daleman
6.) Bell

PAIRS
1.) Seguin/Bilodeau
2.) Tarasova/Morozov
3.) James/Cipres
4.) ASTAKHOVA / ROGONOV
5.) Kayne/O'Shea
6.) Denney/Frazier

DANCE
1.) Shibutani/Shibutani
2.) Bobrova/Soloviev
3.) Hubbell/Donohue
4.) ILINYKH / ZHIGANSHIN
5.) GUIGNARD / FABBRI
6.) TOBIAS /TKACHENKO

 

[daylightescapades]

Ladies
1. Ashley Wagner
2. Mai Mihara
3. Mao Asada
4. Gracie Gold
5. Gabrielle Daleman
6. Serafima Sakhanovich

Men
1. Shoma Uno
2. Boyang Jin
3. Jason Brown
4. Adam Rippon
5. Maxim Kovtun
6. Sergei Voronov

Pairs
1. Julianne Seguin/ Charlie Bilodeau
2. Evgenia Tarasova/ Vladimir Morosov
3. Vanessa James/ Morgan Cipres
4. Kristina Astakhova/Alexei Rogonov
5. Tarah Kayne/ Daniel O'Shea
6. Valentina Marchei/ Ondrej Hotarek

Ice Dance
1. Maia Shibutani/ Alex Shibutani
2. Ekaterina Bobrova/ Dmitri Soloviev
3. Madison Hubbell/ Zachary Donohue
4. Elena Ilinykh/ Ruslan Zhiganshin
5. Charlene Guignard/ Marco Fabbri
6. Isabella Tobias/ Ilia Tkachenko

 

[Alex D]

I raced home to make my predictions, hopefully in time

Ladies:

1. Gracie
2. Serafima
3. Ashley
4. Mai
5. Mao
6. Gabby
7. So Youn Park
8. Kanako

Men:

1. Shoma
2. Boyang
3. Adam
4. Maxim
5. Timothy
6. Jorik

Pairs

1. Evgenia & Vladimir
2. Julianne & Charlie
3. Vanessa & Morgan
4. Kristina & Alexei
5. Valentina & Ondrej
6. Tarah & Danny

Dance:

1 Maia SHIBUTANI / Alex SHIBUTANI
2. Ekaterina & Dimitri
3. Elena ILINYKH / Ruslan ZHIGANSHIN RUS
4. Charlene GUIGNARD / Marco FABBRI ITA
5. Madison HUBBELL / Zachary DONOHUE USA
6. Elliana POGREBINSKY / Alex BENOIT USA

 

[Jagger]

Men:
1. Boyang JIN
2. Shoma UNO
3. Jason BROWN
4. Adam RIPPON
5. Sergei VORONOV
6. Maxim KOVTUN

Ladies:
0. Julia LIPNITSKAIA
1. Ashley WAGNER
2. Mai MIHARA
3. Gracie GOLD
4. Mao ASADA
5. Gabrielle DALEMAN
6. Mariah BELL

Pairs:
1. Julianne SEGUIN / Charlie BILODEAU
2. Evgenia TARASOVA / Vladimir MOROZOV
3. Vanessa JAMES / Morgan CIPRES
4. Tarah KAYNE / Daniel O SHEA
5. Haven DENNEY / Brandon FRAZIER
6. Marissa CASTELLI / Mervin TRAN

Dance:
1. Maia SHIBUTANI / Alex SHIBUTANI
2. Ekaterina BOBROVA / Dmitri SOLOVIEV
3. Madison HUBBEL / Zachary DONOHUE
4. Charlene GUIGNARD / Marco FABBRI
5. Elena ILINYKH / Ruslan ZHIGANSHIN
6. Elliana POGREBINSKY / Alex BENOIT

 

[CaroLiza_fan]

Ladies:
0. Julia LIPNITSKAIA

Very good, Jagger. Very good.



for originality.

But CaroLiza_fan, I think you got it wrong anyway! Brendan scored 220-something at SLC and I'm pretty sure his PB is now higher than Timothy's!

As you know, I use Stats On Ice for my research. And the absolute PB that Curran Oi has for Brendan is 222.40, from when he was 4th in last month's US International Classic.

HOWEVER, Tim's absolute PB is given as 236.13 from when he was 7th in January's US Nationals.

But, as I said, I do hope Brendan does better.

---

By the way, if anybody is wondering where the spreadsheet is, I decided to wait until after competition had started before making it out. For the simple reason that it is easier to put the names of all the players in at once.

Don't worry, it will appear well before today's skating starts. Probably this afternoon, at some stage between the end of the Alpine skiing and the start of the F1 qualifying!

CaroLiza_fan

 

[cathlen]

I raced home to make my predictions, hopefully in time

Ladies:

1. Gracie
2. Serafima
3. Ashley
4. Mai
5. Mao
6. Gabby
7. So Youn Park
8. Kanako

Men:

1. Shoma
2. Boyang
3. Adam
4. Maxim
5. Timothy
6. Jorik

Pairs

1. Evgenia & Vladimir
2. Julianne & Charlie
3. Vanessa & Morgan
4. Kristina & Alexei
5. Valentina & Ondrej
6. Tarah & Danny

Dance:

1 Maia SHIBUTANI / Alex SHIBUTANI
2. Ekaterina & Dimitri
3. Elena ILINYKH / Ruslan ZHIGANSHIN RUS
4. Charlene GUIGNARD / Marco FABBRI ITA
5. Madison HUBBELL / Zachary DONOHUE USA
6. Elliana POGREBINSKY / Alex BENOIT USA

Alex D, most of your predicitons are invalid. The rules are clear that you need to write last names. Just first names or nicknames are not allowed.

 

[CaroLiza_fan]

Wow!!!

It is just as well that I decided to wait until everybody had posted their Skate America predictions before I uploaded the spreadsheet.

I normally have the formatting extending to 140 rows. But already, after just the first round, the 2016 Senior GP Predictions Game has...

152 players!!!

I knew the Senior GP Game was popular, but I would never have expected that we would get this many players.

Thank goodness I waited, because it would have been a nightmare to edit the formatting outside of Excel.

Anyway, if you want to view the spreadsheet, it can be found here:

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1D7RreM9U5WWqygxrkZnKrj11fORdcMfxFEvxZ9-2uag/edit?usp=sharing

Hopefully you will like the numbers that get put into it over the next couple of months!

GOOD LUCK EVERYBODY!!!

CaroLiza_fan

 

[Alex D]

Alex D, most of your predicitons are invalid. The rules are clear that you need to write last names. Just first names or nicknames are not allowed.

Oh I see, I only checked the deadline which was like a few minutes away, so I just posted some names and I tend to always write the first name, so I kept that routine except for dance. But ya, no worries, I can try next season again, my fault so no hard feelings, thanks for letting me know though!

 

[text_skate]

routine except for dance.

Dance will count

 

[cathlen]

Oh I see, I only checked the deadline which was like a few minutes away, so I just posted some names and I tend to always write the first name, so I kept that routine except for dance. But ya, no worries, I can try next season again, my fault so no hard feelings, thanks for letting me know though!

Well, your Ice Dance predictions are okay Last season I had very low score for Skate America, but still managed to get 3rd overall after GPF, so don't give up! There are 6 more events

 

[mirai4life]

oh Mariah Bell...

 

[semosk8tfan]

Mariah and Denney/Frazier have blown my predictions to smithereens but I don't care because I am so happy for them.

 

[karne]

As you know, I use Stats On Ice for my research. And the absolute PB that Curran Oi has for Brendan is 222.40, from when he was 4th in last month's US International Classic.

HOWEVER, Tim's absolute PB is given as 236.13 from when he was 7th in January's US Nationals.

But, as I said, I do hope Brendan does better.

Well, no offence to Curran, but it's kinda wrong that he includes Nationals scores in his database, since they don't count in ISU terms.

 

[CaroLiza_fan]

Well, no offence to Curran, but it's kinda wrong that he includes Nationals scores in his database, since they don't count in ISU terms.

Curran has separate PB tables for ISU and non-ISU competitions.

It is me that always work in terms of the absolute PB.

I know, it is dangerous doing that because of the possibility of "national inflation". But, hey. It's a chance I'm willing to take. (Plus, when the absolute PB is from a domestic competition, I normally look through all their other scores to see if this is an abnormally high score for them. And then take a different approach if it is).

And anyway, when you have somebody that has never competed in an ISU competition before, domestic competitions are all you can go on.

Look at Zagitova. Never done an international competition before she arrived at this season's opening Junior Grand Prix. So, nothing to go on on her ISU bio. I find her profile on fskate.ru, and see that she has monster scores in domestic competitions. So, I put her top of my predictions. Lo and behold, she comes out and wins the competition by a massive margin (15 and a half points).

Admittedly, this is a different situation. But, when there is not much separating skaters in their ISU PB's (as was the case with Brendan and Tim), looking at what they have scored elsewhere can be useful.

CaroLiza_fan

 

[cathlen]

I made myslef typing half of the scores twice due to mistake in formula and not checking first, only halfway through So if any of you spot mistake, please let me know.

PAIRS RESULTS!

GOLD: Nathan13 with 60 points! :hap36:
SILVER: 4everchan, cer, daylightescapades, el henry, eta, Florencito, Greta, Ice Diva, invisiblespiral, Layback11, Poice, Puchi, Raomina, sabinfire, Shoma One, voolfee with 55 points! :dance:
BRONZE: apgold, casualfan, gopatrick, ines42575, MIM, Osmond4gold, psusanne, Sackie, Sugarpova, text_skate with 50 points! :yay:

Congrats to all medalists and players! You can check your scores in spreadsheet.

 

[Nathan13]

I made myslef typing half of the scores twice due to mistake in formula and not checking first, only halfway through So if any of you spot mistake, please let me know.

PAIRS RESULTS!

GOLD: Nathan13 with 60 points! :hap36:
SILVER: 4everchan, cer, daylightescapades, el henry, eta, Florencito, Greta, Ice Diva, invisiblespiral, Layback11, Poice, Puchi, Raomina, sabinfire, Shoma One, voolfee with 55 points! :dance:
BRONZE: apgold, casualfan, gopatrick, ines42575, MIM, Osmond4gold, psusanne, Sackie, Sugarpova, text_skate with 50 points! :yay:

Congrats to all medalists and players! You can check your scores in spreadsheet.

As much as I would love to be the sole winner.... I counted myself at only 50 points Am I wrong? Someone tell me I'm wrong...