Johar & Bronxgirl,
I am impressed. You really know your horsies. I followed the Triple Crown races assiduously as a teen. They were the only horse races on TV growing up in Arizona. Lady midget wrestling--now that we had plenty of.
My father took my to the track once when I turned 18, but I think only because I kept annoying him to take me. Greyhound Park was the big draw in Phoenix, not horses. Our track (I can't even remember the name anymore--Santa something, I think) was certainly no Belmont or Churchill Downs, but I remember the horses doing their warm-up parade actually ore thanthe races. The sheer beauty and majesty of those horses was a jaw-dropper.
Anyway, the forecast for Belmont today is rain all day and, of course, a muddy track. I understand that the track a Belmont has a lot of sand in it and is deeper than most other tracks, which makes for tough running for almost any horse, unless he runs well in deep sand. But deep muddy sand--it could be a mess.
The cable channel ESPN Classics has been doing a whole week on the Triple Crown winners. Bummer I only realized it late last night. I only saw their shows on Secretariat, Seattle Slew, and Affirmed. I remember the basic stories, but the details are fascinating. I'd forgotten about the whole controversy over whether Affirmed was murdered for the insurance money in an effort to save the grossly mismanaged, after the original owner died, Calumet Farms. Calumet went under in the end anyway.
Affirmed's trainer said something about strategy that I hope won't affect Smarty Jones. His philosophy was that because of the mile and a half distance at Belmont after the Derby and Preakness, that what he wanted to do was run the horse in the first to races just enough to win so they'd have plenty left to run the extra length in the deep sand of the Belmont. It looked like Smarty won the Derby and Preakness by a lot. I hope he's got enough endurance left in him to win the long muddy Belmont. Of course all the horses will be in the same boat, but not all have run the other TC races, plus a muddy track, especially if it's raining, can cause slips and problems manuveuring. Bummer.
Of course if Smarty Jones does win the Belmont under such conditions, Zowee!
OT re Smarty Jones but general things about the three '70s TC winners:
Something I never knew was about Secretariat's "rump problem." He had a sloping or "duck rump" which is good for jumping but supposedly not good for racing. Secretariat's trainer and owner were wary when he was a two-year-old about his "duck rump," but he was such a formidable athlete that they figured they'd run him as a two-year-old and if he didn't do well, they'd train him to jump. After Secretariat started running, they felt his duck rump was actually an asset--given all his other qualities--because it gave him more power in the hind-leg push-off phase of the gallop.
Secretariat, if you're a younger poster, was also really an icon and for racing fans and in racing circles, remains one. He was just what the country needed with Nixon, Watergate, and VietNam--a great sports hero. BTW, Secretariat was the sixth name submitted to the racing commission before they approved a name. The name was chosen by the secretary of the father of owner Penny Tweedy. She just liked the sound of the name.
Secretariat died at age 19 of laminitis. According to
http://www.olympus.net/personal/pvd/pvd.html in horses, laminitis is the inflammation of the thin flat layer or membrane of the hoof. Apropos of just FYI, here's what they say about it:
"Laminitis is a malady affecting the horse's foot. There are many causes of laminitis. Most of the laminitis we see is called Alimentary laminitis. Each different cause may be called by many other names. For example, one form of alimentary laminitis might be called grass founder , another called grain-binge. A mare who has not discharge all of the placenta after giving birth is at risk of getting laminitis, some call this retained placenta, while others might call this metritis. The important thing to know is that there are many reasons a horse might get laminitis and many different names people will use when they talk about it.
"The reason we are so concerned about laminitis is that it can leave permanent scars in the horse's feet. Laminitis will affect each horse differently (even each foot of the same horse), from the barely noticeable case to the fatal case. It is important to think of laminitis as a symptom of other problems the horse is experiencing. Because we become aware of laminitis through the lameness it produces in the feet, if we only fix the feet we are ignoring the real problem, and the lameness may come back."
The site also discusses an alternative model for laminitis, which involves enzymatic processes gone awry.
So Secretariat (aka, Big Red), considered the epitome of the thoroughbred racing horse, died at 19 of laminitis. Seattle Slew had the best stud career of the three '70s TC winners and lived to be 26, when he was put down for humane reasons; Affirmed, who was a true Cinderella story, had a great true rivalry with Alydar, and won the TC mounted in each race by a 17-year-old jockey (Steve Cauthen), broke the same leg twice in different places about six years after his TC win IIRC, injuries that happened in such a way that many people still believe he was killed for the insurance money. If you love horses or horse racing, the details of their stories are fascinating. Horse racing is beautiful, but a lot of ugly things go on behind the scenes.
BTW, at 12pm EST there's a special about the Belmont on NBC. The race starts on NBC at about 6:30 EST. But--all together now--CHECK YOUR LOCAL LISTINGS.

No matter what the conditions, I still have very hight hopes for Smarty Jones to be the first Triple Crown winner in 26 years.
Rgirl