- Joined
- Dec 18, 2014
I did analysis of some skaters scores who will compete at Europeans. I thought this could be helpful in telling us what we can expect from this competition. I primarily concentrated on skaters who will compete for medals, according to theirs scores this season. So i found their average score from this year international competitions (Challenger and Grand Prix) and calculate their possible min and max score (aka range of possible scores they got this season)... (deductions are not included in scores analysis)....
1.EVGENIA MEDVEDEVA
Average score:
SP 80.26 (TES:42.44 PCS:37.82/9.33/9.37/9.56/9.43/9.58)
FP 147.85 (TES:72.94 PCS:74.91/9.35/9.29/9.30/9.43/9.45)
TOTAL 228.11
Possible Range: min 223.04 - max 232.65
2.ALINA ZAGITOVA
Average score:
SP 70.55 (TES:38.29 PCS:32.26/7.95/7.95/8.00/8.26/8.16)
FP 147.52 (TES:78.54 PCS:68.98/8.50/8.42/8.82/8.64/8.73)
TOTAL 218.07
Possible Range: min 206.56 - max 228.49
3.CAROLINA KOSTNER
Average score:
SP 72.43 (TES:35.49 PCS:36.94/9.09/9.05/9.24/9.36/9.43)
FP 134.80 (TES:61.49 PCS:73.31/9.02/9.01/9.18/9.26/9.35)
TOTAL 207.23
Possible Range: min 193.49 - max 219.41
4.MARIA SOTSKOVA
Average score:
SP 69.15 (TES:36.73 PCS:32.42/8.15/7.89/8.21/8.11/8.17)
FP 136.83 (TES:69.60 PCS:67.23/8.36/8.14/8.55/8.45/8.52)
TOTAL 205.98
Possible Range: min 192.29 - max 216.47
Other competitors ranked by SB results:
(in this case they will compete probably for 5th place)
5. SCHOTT (Ger) 172.39
6. MEITE (Fra) 171.40
7. RAJICOVA (Svk) 167.61
8. ALGOTSSON (Swe) 167.01
9. LECAVELIER (Fra) 166.43
- Based on average score Evgenia is favorite for gold. Her average score is 10 points higher than Alina's and 20 points than Carolina and Maria. But Zagitova highest posible score is higher than Evgenia average score, so she could end up in 2nd place, behind Alina (3rd and 4th place would be highly unlikely cause Carolina and Maria max scores are lower than Evgenia lowest score). Also, its worth to say Evgenia didnt skate clean SP and FP programmes back to back so her score could be higher.
- Alina is favorite for silver, based on average score. Even her FP average score is on pair with Evgenia, her SP score is noticably lower (even lower than Carolina). Based on her range of scores she could end up in 1st... but also without a medal!
- Carolina and Maria should fight for bronze, based on theirs average scores. Some of them could end up with siver. Its worth to say Carolina didnt skate full intended SP and FP programmes this season back to back so her score could be higher (even higher than Evgenia possible min score, so there are chances she could end up with gold).
- France could gain 3 spots for Ladies. Germany also, but with lower chance. Last year top 10 finisher Toth (Hun) is back from injury, so if she is fit she could fight for that 5th place (she got 172.65 last year finishing 8th). Hendrickx (Bel) could fight for 5th also (she got 172.71 last year finishing 7th).
That was what i think is important to say about upcoming Ladies competition at Euro. I will post my Mens, Pairs and Dances analysis later
1.EVGENIA MEDVEDEVA
Average score:
SP 80.26 (TES:42.44 PCS:37.82/9.33/9.37/9.56/9.43/9.58)
FP 147.85 (TES:72.94 PCS:74.91/9.35/9.29/9.30/9.43/9.45)
TOTAL 228.11
Possible Range: min 223.04 - max 232.65
2.ALINA ZAGITOVA
Average score:
SP 70.55 (TES:38.29 PCS:32.26/7.95/7.95/8.00/8.26/8.16)
FP 147.52 (TES:78.54 PCS:68.98/8.50/8.42/8.82/8.64/8.73)
TOTAL 218.07
Possible Range: min 206.56 - max 228.49
3.CAROLINA KOSTNER
Average score:
SP 72.43 (TES:35.49 PCS:36.94/9.09/9.05/9.24/9.36/9.43)
FP 134.80 (TES:61.49 PCS:73.31/9.02/9.01/9.18/9.26/9.35)
TOTAL 207.23
Possible Range: min 193.49 - max 219.41
4.MARIA SOTSKOVA
Average score:
SP 69.15 (TES:36.73 PCS:32.42/8.15/7.89/8.21/8.11/8.17)
FP 136.83 (TES:69.60 PCS:67.23/8.36/8.14/8.55/8.45/8.52)
TOTAL 205.98
Possible Range: min 192.29 - max 216.47
Other competitors ranked by SB results:
(in this case they will compete probably for 5th place)
5. SCHOTT (Ger) 172.39
6. MEITE (Fra) 171.40
7. RAJICOVA (Svk) 167.61
8. ALGOTSSON (Swe) 167.01
9. LECAVELIER (Fra) 166.43
- Based on average score Evgenia is favorite for gold. Her average score is 10 points higher than Alina's and 20 points than Carolina and Maria. But Zagitova highest posible score is higher than Evgenia average score, so she could end up in 2nd place, behind Alina (3rd and 4th place would be highly unlikely cause Carolina and Maria max scores are lower than Evgenia lowest score). Also, its worth to say Evgenia didnt skate clean SP and FP programmes back to back so her score could be higher.
- Alina is favorite for silver, based on average score. Even her FP average score is on pair with Evgenia, her SP score is noticably lower (even lower than Carolina). Based on her range of scores she could end up in 1st... but also without a medal!
- Carolina and Maria should fight for bronze, based on theirs average scores. Some of them could end up with siver. Its worth to say Carolina didnt skate full intended SP and FP programmes this season back to back so her score could be higher (even higher than Evgenia possible min score, so there are chances she could end up with gold).
- France could gain 3 spots for Ladies. Germany also, but with lower chance. Last year top 10 finisher Toth (Hun) is back from injury, so if she is fit she could fight for that 5th place (she got 172.65 last year finishing 8th). Hendrickx (Bel) could fight for 5th also (she got 172.71 last year finishing 7th).
That was what i think is important to say about upcoming Ladies competition at Euro. I will post my Mens, Pairs and Dances analysis later