GP Predictions Game Year 2 :)

[GF2445]

Okay, so I am currently in third place after Skate America and when you are near the top, there is only one directions you can realistically move....and that is down! Here goes nothing.

Here are my predictions for Skate Canada International 2013.

Men's Event
1. Patrick Chan CAN
2. Yuzuru Hanyu JPN
3. Nobunari Oda JPN
4. Jeremy Abbott USA
5. Michal Brezina CZE
6./ALT. Ross Miner USA

Ladies' Event
1. Akiko Suzuki JPN
2. Julia Lipnitskaia RUS
3. Gracie Gold USA
4. Kaetlyn Osmond CAN
5. Christina Gao USA
6./ALT. Courtney Hicks USA

Pairs Event
1. Meagan Duhamel & Eric Radford CAN
2. Wenjing Sui & Cong Han CHN
3. Stefania Berton & Ondrej Hotarek ITA
4. Paige Lawrence & Rudi Swiegers CAN
5. Haven Denney & Brandon Frazier USA
6./ALT. Mari Vartmann & Aaron Van Cleave GER

Ice Dance Event
1. Tessa Virtue & Scott Moir CAN
2. Kaitlyn Weaver & Andre Poje CAN
3. Madison Hubbell & Zachary Donohue USA
4. Ekaterina Riazanova & Ilia Tkachenko RUS
5. Nelli Zhiganshina & Alexander Gazsi GER
6./ALT. Alexandra Paul & Mitchell Islam CAN

 

[icellist]

Men:
1. Yuzuru Hanyu
2. Nobunari Oda
3. Patrick Chan
4. Michal Brezina
5. Takahita Mura
Alt. Jeremy Abbott

Ladies
1. Akiko Suzuki
2. Julia Lipnitskaya
3. Kaetlyn Osmond
4. Courtney Hicks
5. Gracie Gold
Alt. Amelie Lacoste

Pairs
1. Duhamel/Radford
2. Berton/Hotarek
3. Sui/Han
4. Vartmann/Cleave
5. Lawrence/Swiegers
Alt. Davis/Brubaker

Dance
1. Virtue/Moir
2. Weaver/Poje
3. Riazanova/Tiachenko
4. Hubbell/Donohue
5. Zhiganshina/Gazsi
Alt. Stepanova/Bukin

 

[Coriana]

Men's Event
1. Patrick Chan CAN
2. Yuzuru Hanyu JPN
3. Nobunari Oda JPN
4. Takahito Mura
5. Jeremy Abbott USA
6.Michal Brezina CZE
7. AndrewRogozine

Ladies' Event
1. Akiko Suzuki JPN
2. Julia Lipnitskaia RUS
3. Kaetlyn Osmond CAN
4. Gracie Gold USA
5. Amelie Lacoste
6./T. Courtney Hicks USA

Pairs Event
1. Meagan Duhamel & Eric Radford CAN
2 Wenjing Sui & Cong Han CHN
3. Stefania Berton & Ondrej Hotarek ITA

4. Paige Lawrence & Rudi Swiegers CAN
5. Haven Denney & Brandon Frazier USA
6./ALT. Lindsay Davis & Rockne Brubaker USA

Ice Dance Event
1. Tessa Virtue & Scott Moir CAN
2. Kaitlyn Weaver & Andre Poje CAN
3. Madison Hubbell & Zachary Donohue USA
4. Ekaterina Riazanova & Ilia Tkachenko RUS
5. Alexandra Paul & Mitchell Islam CAN
6 Nelli Zhiganshina & Alexander Gazsi GER

 

[Sackie]

Here are my choices for Skate Canada:

Men
1- Hanyu
2-Chan
3-Oda
4-Abbott
5- Brezina
6-Miner

Ladies
1- Gold - no contest she will win both the short and the free by a long shot!
2- Suzuki
3- Lipnitskaia
4-Osmond
5-Hicks
6-Lacoste ( On the strength of her nice Free Program - even with a few errors she may be able to top a few with better jumps but not as detailed programs)

Have edited my Ladies picks since it seems Osmond is ready to skate from her pactrices. Just don't think she is in top form yet.

Pairs:

1- Meagan Duhamel & Eric Radford
2- Wenjing Sui & Cong Han
3- Stefania Berton & Ondrej Hotarek
4-Lindsay Davis & Rockne Brubaker
5-Paige Lawrence & Rudi Swiegers
6- Haven Denney & Brandon Frazier


Ice Dance Event
1. Tessa Virtue & Scott Moir (but their scores will be no where near as high as D/Ws in either portion)
2. Madison Hubbell & Zachary Donohue (will get some bonus PCS credit because of SA results)
3. Kaitlyn Weaver & Andre Poje (will lose some levels in the Free and drop behind H/D
4. Ekaterina Riazanova & Ilia Tkachenko
5. Alexandra Paul & Mitchell Islam
6 Alexandra STEPANOVA / Ivan BUKIN

 

[fairly4]

dance

1) tessa virtue & scott moir
2) kaitlyn weaver & andre poje
3 a)madison hubbell & zachary donohue
b) alexandra stepanova/ivan bukin
5) ekaterina riaznova & ilia tkachenko
Alexandra Paul & mitchel islam


Pairs
1) duhmael/bradford
2) berton/hotarke
3) sui/han

men
1) patrick chan
2) yuzuru hanyu
3) nobunari oda
4) jeremy abbott
michael brezina
tahakito mura


ladies
1) a) kaetlyn osmond
b) gracie gold
c) akiko suzuki
d) julia lipintaskia
5) courtney hicks
6) christina gao
7) amelie lacoste

 

[tulosai]

Have a feeling Osmond will do the short and have problems with her jumps due to her injury and not be able to do the long.

Just so everyone knows, if Osmond WD's, even during the competition, all your picks will just be moved up one. If she finishes both programs, and skates poorly, a pick will count against you, but if anyone is not picking her because of concern that she will WD (not a concern she will skate poorly), that should not be a consideration. Just make sure you have an alternate.

Sackie in your case I understand/think that you think she will skate poorly and that is why you are not picking her, but I wanted to make absolutely clear for anyone else.

 

[Sackie]

Sackie in your case I understand/think that you think she will skate poorly and that is why you are not picking her, but I wanted to make absolutely clear for anyone else.

Basically yes - I think she will be about 5th to 7th in the short after not being able to complete all her jumps and will pull out realising she is not ready to compete.

 

[IleK]

I am new at this game and I don't understand why I can't see my score. Only the top 10 counts?

 

[Mrs. P]

I am new at this game and I don't understand why I can't see my score. Only the top 10 counts?

The link to the Excel spreadsheet is on the first post of the thread.

ETA: Actually just looked at my score and surprised to see myself just a few points outside the top 10! Maybe I can move up at Skate Canada!

And with that my Skate Canada picks.

MEN:
1.) Yuzuru Hanyu, JPN
2) Nobunari Oda, JPN
3.) Patrick Chan, CAN
4.) Jeremy Abbott, USA
5.) Takahiko Mura, JPN
Alternates:
6.) Michal Brezina, USA
7.) Ross Miner, USA
8.) Joshua Farris, USA
9.) Andrei Rogozine, CAN
10.) Eladj Balde CAN

LADIES:
1.) Julia Lipnitskaia
2.) Akiko Suzuki
3.) Gracie Gold
4.) Courtney Hicks
5.) Kaetlyn Osmond
Alternates:
6.) Christina Gao
7.) Veronik Mallet
8.) Amelie LaCoste
9.) Natalia Popova

PAIRS:
1.) Meagan Duhamel/Eric Radford
2.) Stefania Berton/Ondrej Hotarek
3.) Mari Vartmann/Aaron Van Cleave
4.) Wenjing SUI/Cong Han
5.) Lindsay Davis/Rockne Brubaker
Alternates:
6.) Paige Lawrence/Rudi Swiegers
7.) Haven Denney/Brandon Frazier
8.) Margaret Purdy/Michael Marinaro

ICE DANCE:
1.) Tessa Virtue/Scott Moir, CAN
2.) Kaitlyn Weaver/Andrew Poje, CAN
3.) Madison Hubbell/Zachary Donohue, USA
4.) Nelli Zhiganshina/Alexander Gazsi, GER
5.) Alexandria Stepanova/Ivan Bukin, RUS
Alternates:
6.) Alexandra Paul/Mitchell Islam, CAN
7.) Ekaterina Riazanova/Illa Tkachenko, RUS
8.) Charlene Guignard/Marco Fabbri, ITA

 

[zamboni step]

Skate Canada

Ladies
1. Julia Lipnitskaya
2. Akiko Suzuki
3. Gracie Gold
4. Courtney Hicks
5. Kaetlyn Osmond
6. Christina Gao

Men
1. Yuzuru Hanyu
2. Patrick Chan
3. Nobunari Oda
4. Takahiko Mura
5. Jeremy Abbott
6. Joshua Farris

Pairs
1. Meagan DUHAMEL / Eric RADFORD
2. Stefania BERTON / Ondrej HOTAREK
3. Wenjing SUI / Cong HAN
4. Paige LAWRENCE / Rudi SWIEGERS
5. Mari VARTMANN / Aaron VAN CLEAVE
6. Lindsay DAVIS / Rockne BRUBAKER

Dance
1. Tessa VIRTUE / Scott MOIR
2. Kaitlyn WEAVER / Andrew POJE
3. Madison HUBBELL / Zachary DONOHUE
4. Ekaterina RIAZANOVA / Ilia TKACHENKO
5. Nelli ZHIGANSHINA / Alexander GAZSI
6. Alexandria Stepanova / Ivan Bukin

I'm in 4th?! Morozov's hair gel of black magic must have been involved somehow. However not even that can save me this time! It'll be fun crashing and burning!

 

[burntBREAD]

MEN
1. Yuzuru Hanyu
2. Patrick Chan
3. Nobunari Oda
4. Takahito Mura
5. Jeremy Abbott
6. Joshua Farris

LADIES
1. Julia Lipnitskaia
2. Akiko Suzuki
3. Gracie Gold
4. Courtney Hicks
5. Kaetlyn Osmond
6. Christina Gao

PAIRS
1. Duhamel/Radford
2. Berton/Hotarek
3. Sui/Han
4. Davis/Brubaker
5. Lawrence/Swiegers
6. Vartmann/Van Cleave

DANCE
1. Virtue/Moir
2. Weaver/Poje
3. Hubbell/Donohue
4. Riazanova/Tkachenko
5. Stepanova/Bukin
6. Zhiganshina/Gazsi

 

[HR4]

Men
1 Patrick CHAN
2 Yuzuru HANYU
3 Nobunari ODA
4 Jeremy ABBOTT
5 Takahito MURA
9 Ross MINER

Ladies
1 Julia LIPNITSKAIA
2 Akiko SUZUKI
3 Gracie GOLD
4 Kaetlyn OSMOND
5 Christina GAO
6 Amelie LACOSTE

Pairs
1 Meagan DUHAMEL / Eric RADFORD
2 Wenjing SUI / Cong HAN
3 Stefania BERTON / Ondrej HOTAREK
4 Mari VARTMANN / Aaron VAN CLEAVE
5 Haven DENNEY / Brandon FRAZIER
6 Paige LAWRENCE / Rudi SWIEGERS

Dance
1 Tessa VIRTUE / Scott MOIR
2 Kaitlyn WEAVER / Andrew POJE
3 Madison HUBBELL / Zachary DONOHUE
4 Ekaterina RIAZANOVA / Ilia TKACHENKO
5 Nelli ZHIGANSHINA / Alexander GAZSI
6 Alexandra STEPANOVA / Ivan BUKIN

 

[IleK]

The link to the Excel spreadsheet is on the first post of the thread.

ETA: Actually just looked at my score and surprised to see myself just a few points outside the top 10! Maybe I can move up at Skate Canada!

Thank you! I knew I was missing something.
Skate Canada looks even more unpredictable than SA. I already have a winner choice in Men that I've seen nobody has until now. Well, I'll give it just one more thought even though I don't like changing my mind. My first picks are always the better.

 

[Poice]

After SA I'm not sure if I should include my men's event predictions.... I lost a lot of points there! I hope this time I'll have much more luck xD

Men: - my mind is telling me that Chan it's going to win, but my heart is screaming:,,Yuzu for gold!"
1. Yuzuru Hanyu
2. Patrick Chan
3. Jeremy Abbott
4. Nobunari Oda
5. Takahito Mura
6. Michal Brezina

Ladies: - I have no idea what's going to happen here ;/
1. Julia LIPNITSKAIA
2. Akiko SUZUKI
3. Gracie GOLD
4. Kaetlyn OSMOND
5. Courtney HICKS
6. Christina GAO

Pairs:
1. Meagan DUHAMEL / Eric RADFORD
2. Stefania BERTON / Ondrej HOTAREK
3. Wenjing SUI / Cong HAN
4. Mari VARTMANN / Aaron VAN CLEAVE
5. Paige LAWRENCE / Rudi SWIEGERS
6. Lindsay DAVIS / Rockne BRUBAKER

Ice dance:
1. Tessa VIRTUE / Scott MOIR
2. Kaitlyn WEAVER / Andrew POJE
3. Madison HUBBELL / Zachary DONOHUE
4. Ekaterina RIAZANOVA / Ilia TKACHENKO
5. Nelli ZHIGANSHINA / Alexander GAZSI
6. Alexandra STEPANOVA / Ivan BUKIN

 

[Jaana]

Men
1. Yuzuru HANYU (JPN)
2. Nobunari ODA (JPN)
3. Patrick CHAN (CAN)
4. Takahito MURA (JPN)
5. ABBOTT (USA)
6. Joshua FARRIS (USA)

Ladies
1. Akiko SUZUKI (JPN)
2. Julia LIPNITSKAYA (RUS)
3. GOLD (USA)
4. Kaetlyn OSMOND (CAN)
5. Courtney HICKS (USA)
6. Amélie LACOSTE (CAN)

Pairs
1. Meagan DUHAMEL / Eric RADFORD (CAN)
2. Lindsay DAVIS / Rockne BRUBAKER (USA)
3. Wenjing SUI / Cong HAN (CHN)
4. Paige LAWRENCE / Rudi SWIEGERS (CAN)
5. Haven DENNEY / Brandon FRAZIER (USA)
6. Stefania BERTON / Ondrej HOTAREK (ITA)

Dance
1. VIRTUE / Scott MOIR (CAN)
2. WEAVER / Andrew POJE (CAN)
3. Ekaterina RIAZANOVA / Illia TKACHENKO (RUS)
4. Madison HUBBELL / Zachary DONOHUE (USA)
5. Alexandra STEPANOVA / Ivan BUKIN (RUS)
6. Alesandra PAUL / Mitchell ISLAM (CAN)

 

[IleK]

Men
1. ODA
2. CHAN
3. HANYU
4. MURA
5. ABBOTT
6. MINER

Ladies
1. LIPNITSKAYA
2. SUZUKI
3. HICKS
4. GOLD
5. OSMOND
6. GAO

Pairs
1. DUHAMEL & RADFORD
2. BERTON & HOTAREK
3. SUI & HAN
4. VARTMANN & VAN CLEAVE
5. LAWRENCE & SWIEGERS
6. DAVIS & BRUBAKER

Ice Dance
1. VIRTUE & MOIR
2. WEAVER & POJE
3. HUBBELL & DONOHUE
4. STEPANOVA & BUKIN
5. RIAZANOVA & TKACENKO
6. PAUL & ISLAM

 

[Bea]

Skate Canada

Men
1. Yuzuru Hanyu
2. Patrick Chan
3. Nobunari Oda
4. Takahito Mura
5. Jeremy Abbott
6. Michal Brezina

Ladies
1. Julia Lipnitskaia
2. Akiko Suzuki
3. Gracie Gold
4. Courtney Hicks
5. Christina Gao
6. Kaetlyn Osmond

Pairs
1. Meagen Duhamel / Eric Radford
2. Wenjing Sui / Cong Han
3. Stefania Berton / Ondrej Hotarek
4. Mari Vartmann / Aaron Van Cleave
5. Paige Lawrence / Rudi Swiegers
6. Lindsay Davis / Rockne Brubaker

Ice dance
1. Tessa Virtue / Scott Moir
2. Kaitlyn Weaver / Andrew Poje
3. Ekaterina Riazanova / Ilia Tkachenko
4. Madison Hubbell / Zachary Donohue
5. Alexandra Paul / Mitchell Islam
6. Nelli Zhiganshina / Alexander Gazsi

 

[FlattFan]

Men
1. ODA
2. CHAN
3. HANYU
4. MURA
5. ABBOTT
6. MINER

Ladies
1. SUZUKI
2. LIPNITSKAYA
3. HICKS
4. GOLD
5. OSMOND
6. GAO

Pairs
1. DUHAMEL & RADFORD
2. BERTON & HOTAREK
3. SUI & HAN
4. VARTMANN & VAN CLEAVE
5. LAWRENCE & SWIEGERS
6. DAVIS & BRUBAKER

Ice Dance
1. VIRTUE & MOIR
2. WEAVER & POJE
3. HUBBELL & DONOHUE
4. RIAZANOVA & TKACENKO
5. STEPANOVA & BUKIN
6. PAUL & ISLAM

 

[jChamp]

Men (again impossible)
1. Chan
2. Hanyu
3. Oda
4. Abbott
5. Mura
6. Brezina

Ladies
1. Lipnitskaya
2. Suzuki
3. Gold
4. Hicks
5. Osmond
6. Gao

Pairs (least impressive field ever?)
1. Duhamel/Radford
2. Berton/Hotarek
3. Sui/Han
4. Vartmann/van Cleave
5. Davis/Brubaker
6. Denney/Frazier

Dance
1. Virtue/Moir
2. Weaver/Poje
3. Hubbell/Donohue
4. Riazanova/Tkachenko
5. Paul/Islam
6. Stepanova/Bukin

 

[CaroLiza_fan]

After Skate America, I ended up joint 41st overall, out of the 49 that put in guesses for all 4 categories. I am actually happy with that, because I thought I would end up bottom!!!

Of course, it was embarrassing to get the lowest score in the Men’s category. :

What went wrong for me? Well, to cut a long story short I had too much faith in my favourite Men’s team (Team Japan) and not enough faith in the home team (Team USA). To further compound matters, I got the order within these teams so wrong! I was expecting Machida to be the bottom Japanese… he was the top. I was expecting Brown to be the top American… he was the bottom.

And part of that could have been avoided if I had done some research. I admit, when I saw the entries, I couldn’t remember who Max Aaron was! But, I never bothered to look him up. Then, when he came on the ice, I realised who he was and went “Oh, drat!” If I had realised it was that guy, I would have put him above Gachinski for sure!

Incidentally, I wasn’t expecting Gachinski to come as high as the 5th I put him at. But, I decided to give him one last chance to impress me before I gave up all hope on him. Suffice to say, he's not getting any more chances.

Let’s be honest, nobody could have predicted those results for the Men’s! So, out of curiosity, I copied the spreadsheet into Excel on my computer, and added an extra column, which subtracted the men’s column from the total column. And when I ordered the table by that column, the results were very interesting.

Firstly, on a personal note, I would have been joint 14th on 175 points without the Men! :yay:

The interesting thing about the game is that the top 2 players overall (Blades of Passion and merrywidow) would still have been the top 2 if we took the Men out, except they would have been level on 210 points. And the 4th and 5th places (elif and zamboni step) would each have moved up a place to 3rd and 4th.

So the big winner from the Men’s competition was GF2445, who was 3rd overall with the Men, but would have been 9th without them! (Incidentally, like GF2445, nipman also got 45 points from the Men but, unlike GF2445, nipman was let down by the Ladies)

Interestingly, it was still Blades of Passion that got the highest score from the Men’s competition (55 points). So, if they keep up getting a lot of points from not only the predictable competitions but the unpredictable ones as well, then it’s going to be hard for the rest of us to catch up!

But that’s the beauty of this game. One strange competition can turn the whole thing on it’s head! So, I’m going to continue!

CaroLiza_fan


SKATE CANADA

Ladies

1. Akiko SUZUKI, JPN
2. Julia LIPNITSKAIA, RUS
3. Kaetlyn OSMOND, CAN
4. Gracie GOLD, USA
5. Amelie LACOSTE, CAN
6. Veronik MALLET, CAN

Just for fun
7. Courtney HICKS, USA
8. Christina GAO, USA
9. Natalia POPOVA, UKR


Men

1. Patrick CHAN, CAN
2. Yuzuru HANYU, JPN
3. Takahito MURA, JPN
4. Nobunari ODA, JPN
5. Michal BREZINA, CZE
6. Elladj BALDE, CAN

Just for fun
7. Jeremy ABBOTT, USA
8. Ross MINER, USA
9. Andrei ROGOZINE, CAN
10. Joshua FARRIS, USA


Pairs

1. Meagan DUHAMEL / Eric RADFORD, CAN
2. Stefania BERTON / Ondrej HOTAREK, ITA
3. Mari VARTMANN / Aaron VAN CLEAVE, GER
4. Paige LAWRENCE / Rudi SWIEGERS, CAN
5. Margaret PURDY / Michael MARINARO, CAN
6. Lindsay DAVIS / Rockne BRUBAKER, USA

Just for fun
7. Haven DENNEY / Brandon FRAZIER, USA
8. Wenjing SUI / Cong HAN, CHN


Ice Dance

1. Tessa VIRTUE / Scott MOIR, CAN
2. Kaitlyn WEAVER / Andrew POJE, CAN
3. Ekaterina RIAZANOVA / Ilia TKACHENKO, RUS
4. Madison HUBBELL / Zachary DONOHUE, USA
5. Nelli ZHIGANSHINA / Alexander GAZSI, GER
6. Alexandra PAUL / Mitchell ISLAM, CAN

Just for fun
7. Charlene GUIGNARD / Marco FABBRI, ITA
8. Alexandra STEPANOVA / Ivan BUKIN, RUS