It's hard to know. For one thing, one of the goals of the SkAm pick is that she should not be able to beat Ashley Wagner/current US champion...that seems to have been the thinking behind SkAm picks in the past.
If Ashley was so easily beatable, then she wouldn't deserve to be at world team. And if she isn't so easily beatable, they don't have to worry about who they put with her to SkAm.