To be honest, I don't think Voronov's problem is his choreography. I know some people think it's tacky or whatever, but it gets the crowd going and he's praised for being a good performer.
His "problem" is that he doesn't have the transitions or skating skills demanded by COP. I don't know if he could improve those significantly, simply because he has limited resources and many things to focus on. His consistency could go down if he starts adding more transitions. And his marks tend to drop significantly when he makes mistakes (but mainly due to the nature of his mistakes, not due to his PCS dropping - see below).
While we're on the topic of components, more stats!
Voronov vs. Kovtun PCS comparison:
Kovtun:
CoC - 41.56 SP, 83.36 LP
TEB - 39.15 SP, 80.28 LP
GPF -
40.08 SP, 78.90 LP
Europeans - 37.94 SP,
78.72 LP
Worlds - 40.15 SP, 77.56 LP
WTT - 39.25 SP, 79.22 LP
Voronov:
CoR: 40.25 SP, 80.44 LP
NHK 38.35 SP, 77.38 LP
GPF: 38.58 SP, 77.00 LP
Europeans:
39.53 SP, 76.86 LP
Worlds:
40.24 SP, 78.30 LP
WTT:
39.35 SP, 81.16 LP
Bolded portions indicate that 1) they were in direct competition with each other at the event 2) the person with the bolded score received higher PCS for the segment.
Seems like, contrary to popular belief, Kovtun's skating is
not more COP-friendly/international-judge friendly than Voronov's. Instead: Kovtun received very high PCS early on in the season, perhaps due to the general inflation at his events (e.g. CoC), perhaps due to being reigning National champ/fourth at Worlds last year. However, his PCS seemed to drop over the course of the season, to the extent that he mainly lost the PCS battle to Voronov later on.
Voronov, on the other hand, has seen his PCS remain stable/even increase a bit (if we ignore CoR as home inflation). Perhaps a combination of his mistakes being less disruptive to PCS (while killing his TES), as well as his "consistency" earning some momentum/street cred.
In other news,
I have edited the first post. The rambling is much the same, but I've formatted it by skater and broken them down by categories. Plus some "strategies for next year" sections. It's even longer now, but hopefully easier to read.
