| Skater | SP_Worlds2021 | FS_PBest | EstTotal_* |
| Shcherbakova | 81.00 | 162.65 | 243.65 |
| Kihira | 79.08 | 154.72 | 233.80 |
| Tuktamysheva | 78.86 | 153.89 | 232.75 |
| Sakamoto | 70.38 | 146.70 | 217.08 |
| Tennell | 69.87 | 150.83 | 220.70 |
| Trusova | 64.82 | 166.62 | 231.44 |
I did a quick analysis of the top 12 ladies. The table above shows their actual SP scores at World 2021, and their personal FS best scores at ISU competitions (nationals don't count). Some of the skaters who are really new and whose combined scores would be in the low 200s or below are not included, as they can't realistically challenge for a medal. So it may look like Sasha has to make up for a lot of ground, but really 2 quads would be enough for her to place in the top-4. If she fully rotates and lands 3 quads she is virtually guaranteed to be on the podium. If she lands 4 quads she is nearly guaranteed to win gold. With 5 landed quads she would have that gold medal in the bag. So with that information in hand, I hope team Plushy will devise the best strategy for her free skate.