Barring major mistakes? Like the fall at the GPF stopped them from coming 2nd or twizzle error at the Olympics from coming 1st?
At this competition they can afford 2-3 falls and still come out on top, and get 9’s on homecooked PCS.
Yes, at 2025 GPF, Laurence's fluke trip and fall due to her skate blade grabbing the fabric of her costume, kept them from winning overall. Still, the result was close because their FD is a very creative, largely well-executed masterpiece, like it or not. At the Olympics, I still feel that Piper/ Paul should have won overall, with FB/C second, and Chock/ Bates, third. But sadly, Piper/ Paul were never in the running for gold, which many in the lay audience completely could not understand. All the outraged hullaballoo over FB/C winning Olympic gold ahead of Chock/ Bates is, IMO, just noise from those who dislike FB/C, for whatever reasons, and ire from C/B fans and certain media outlets.
Honestly, FB/C lost points for their three minor miscues at the Olympics. But it was not enough to take away from their other +5 elements. That's the bottom line. For me, FB/C were emotionally tight due to all the media noise thrown at them. It was not their best emotional execution of the performance, but it's still a great, highly creative program to wonderful music. I would have Piper/ Paul in first at the Olympics because they gave the best overall emotional and well-executed performance on that occasion. But once again, the judges were never considering PiPa for gold.
I had expected more from Chock/ Bates for their final Olympic season. Seemingly, the years caught up with them, plus they did not come up with a creative concept or choice of music that was organic or suitable to who they are. While they stuck to their guns with their boring, manufactured, cliche FD, and smoothed it out over the course of the season, and fixed the problems with Madi's overlong skirt, the program did nothing for me. Evan had slowed down, and he was managing back pain. It was an obvious struggle for him. Madi gave her best fierce face and sexy vibe, and they managed to pull through skating in both the team event and the individual ice dance event. They did well helping the U.S. secure team gold.
While C/B's RD was okay, the FD, IMO, never worked. Poor music selection and concept, in addition to the costume concerns and tweaks. Simply not one of C/B's best or most memorable efforts. But you wouldn't know that from the high scores they received all season, apparently due to popularity, rep stature and respect for their experience and longevity.