Therefore, the tough skaters, like Lysacek and Plushenko, hardly have had peak at wrong time. They almost always peaked at right time, and controlled their own destiny.
Peaking at the right time may not be as important for a skater who is clearly above the field, i.e. s/he doesn't need his/her best to win due to the ability cushion/gap between this skater and the rest. But, in a deep field such as this year's Men, or a unpredictable field such as the U.S. Ladies, being able to bring it at the right time is of paramount importance. Imagine and compare the mindsets of Mao, Wagner, and Yuna in their respective Nationals. Skaters like Chan or Vener will use their National event differently from Joubert or Oda in their season progress.
At this top level, I would think that skaters training regimens are all throughly thought, and carefully arranged. The training plan should be correct, and the training rarely goes wrong unless there's injuries. So what's left? The mental toughness. The skaters who has peaked at wrong time are mentally not tough enough. (Set aside those skaters who have only had this much to give and have reached their own potential.) They supposed to skate better this time than the last time, they didn't, even though they very much wanted to, and they did everything they could to help to peak at the right time. All the "peak at wrong time" should not happen because nobody wants it to happen.
I don't think anything is so absolute. I'm a student of minds and believe strongly that goals are extremely important. It's something to focus on in order to achieve it. However, one has to be flexible about how to get there, adjusting the plan and adapting to situations along the way. As well, facing a same or similar situation, reactions and what one takes from it vary greatly. An obvious obstacle may be a major set back for one mentally but a great motivation and learning experience for another. It's not just about being "tough". Being adaptable and always learning from each new experience is very important. Ideally a skater is always progressing rather than set back, even if something may seem disappointing or disastrous.
The ability to focus on the moments while competing and not get distracted often makes the difference between winning and meltdown. Witness Joanie Rochette at the Olympics and how Oda was affected by his baby news. (During the Olympics before the FS competition, he was informed by his girlfriend of her pregnancy. He was anxiously consumed by how to break it to his mother who didn't even know he had a girlfriend. The emotion spilled over to Worlds where he was over anxious to make up for the Olympics.)
If you question any top skater's mental toughness, just compare them to their loved ones and emotionally invested fans, maybe even yourself, who are often much more nervous than the one who is gliding, spinning, and jumping all alone on a big ice surface with thousands of eyes on them, plus millions more worldwide via TV or online.
So in the end, the "peak at right time" is, for most skaters (since the most skaters are more or less headcases) uncontrolable. It's a luck. All we could do is to hope for the best next time.
Not at all. A good competitor would have premeditated, mentally prepared and physically practiced for a variety of possible scenarios during competition. Life happens and totally unexpected events off ice do occure as exampled above. A competitor's ability to compartmentize and focus, will be tested and will determine the outcome. One can't control external events but controling one's mind is something that can be learned. When someone complains about someone else upsetting them so much, I say to them," No, they give you reasons to be upset. You choose to be upset."
As I mentioned before, peak training plan should be customized for each skater according to their body, skills (strengths and weaknesses) as well as their psychological makeup. I think all elite skaters are tough, just to get to their level. However, it's all relative to their major competitors. At the qualifying GP events, the field is spread so the high ranked skater in the field doesn't compete with a similarly ranked skater. By GPF, which I liken to the final flight of Worlds, they are head to head. So it's a whole other scenarios and more even field. The skaters' emotions are very different from the earlier events. It's a preview and a valuable experience in preparation for the final showdown. Each skater will use it differently. Then, they step down to lesser competitions, Nationals and 4C or Euro, before the World Champioship, the optimal time for the ultimate peak of the season, hopefully.
Yes you do the best you can. So will your competitors. If they all train hard and properly, and are at a similar level, then the best mentally prepared competitor will win, barring unforseen physical happenings. Then, of course, there will be the next time and the next season. And you'll need to do more than hope.
It's fun for us, isn't it?
edated because "motions" is very different from "emotions"!