Hey all!
I'm still very new to the board and I'm sure most of you haven't seen me post yet so hi.
What an interesting question. I was just talking about the US ladies with my mom this afternoon. Honestly I feel there's a handful of US ladies that, when healthy, on their best night could be world champion. Honestly I do. Mirai, Ashley and Alissa in particular have shown that when they bring it internationally they could dominate. But also, as history has shown, there is nothing we can assume about how these ladies will fair based on what they did the season before, whether it's a result of injury, mental game, new school, or wacky training situations. The US ladies have LOADS of talent. It might be the most talented field out there. I haven't even mentioned Gracie, Caroline, Christina, Rachael and Agnes yet, and it appears there are some other juniors out there starting to make waves in the JGP.
I was a die hard Michelle fan, and I admit to being partial to Mirai and Alissa if all these ladies were to go clean, but I'm REALLY learning how unpredictable this sport can be, and to just live in the moment with it. I was really sad after the 2012 nationals because how Mirai did, but my Mom really enjoyed because as she put it, "the girl who deserved to win did". Ashley was great at nationals and astounding at 4CC.
Honestly I feel like she's found the right formula for herself. This next season will be a real test for her, but if she goes clean in the grand prix, we'll see her in the final no doubt. I don't know how Gracie will be received at a senior. Honestly my impression last year was that international judges like her a lot, but don't love her yet. Gracie doesn't have the flair, or flexibility of someone like Elizaveta, and I think it will take a while for her to mature. Ashley HAS matured. Her work still comes off as workman like to me at time, but she does have a maturity that only comes with time, and her arm movements were definitely nuanced and sophisticated during her LP (not during the spiral or that so called "signature" moment in the footwork but in other moments the those arms were total swan). So these discussions live in the hypothetical, and perhaps this saturday when we see Ashley's sp we all will feel like we can make a more educated guess but if the question is about these two ladies, I would tentatively put my money on Ashley.
Then again, if we're making a nationals prediction, I'm fully ready to eat these words if I feel so inspired, as the grand prix happens. And I'll also say that I'm hoping to see all the US women, grow, improve and bring their A game this season.