Ouch. But true. That being said, I'm not sure Russia will earn 19 points in men again even against a subpar Canada, regardless of whether they send Kovtun/Gachinski/Pitkeev/Petrov/some combination of Voronov, Plush, or Menshov who are magically still around. Granted, Russia doesn't need to earn the same number of points in men, if Canada ends up earning less than the 17 they did in Sochi (not unlikely).As for men, that is the hardest to project but most likely Canada will be much weaker than 2014 there too regardless if they are sending an old past his prime Chan, a probably not right at the top Nguyen, a not really elite and now old Reynolds.
I, too, am not seeing Canada overtaking Russia.