I'm a fan of Yuzuru, and to be honest I don't think the situation has changed much in terms of who is the clear favourite going to the Olympics -- it's still Patrick, just like it was last month, and last season as well. He still has the highest likelihood of making it, the judges like him, he seems to be skating more consistently than ever, has previous Olympic experience. It's all there.
What I do think is that if Yuzuru happened to skate completely clean in both programs,
1. He would receive PCS similar to those received at GPF, if not higher (for a clean free) and
2. His TES could very well be enough to surpass the PCS difference he would have with a clean Chan.
This doesn't mean that I think Yuzuru has high chances of accomplishing this, obviously. He seems to be having a change of attitude as of late, regarding to how he approaches competition, so we'll see at Nationals what happens.
What I do think is that if Yuzuru happened to skate completely clean in both programs,
1. He would receive PCS similar to those received at GPF, if not higher (for a clean free) and
2. His TES could very well be enough to surpass the PCS difference he would have with a clean Chan.
This doesn't mean that I think Yuzuru has high chances of accomplishing this, obviously. He seems to be having a change of attitude as of late, regarding to how he approaches competition, so we'll see at Nationals what happens.