2015 Junior World Championships: Predictions Game

[Crossover]

I don't know which thread is better to post this, predictions game or men's SP. But since it adds uncertainty to predictions, let me post it here. The top boys' planned jumping passes.

https://twitter.com/pandaatlarge/status/572333063348338688

Quad, 2 quads, 2 types of quads, 2 types and 3 quads:shocked:

Boyang and Nathan's FS plans are more than ambitious and I really hope them to succeed.

 

[Sandpiper]

Men:
1. Shoma Uno
2. Boyang Jin
3. Adian Pitkeev
4. Alexander Petrov
5. Sota Yamamoto
--
6. Nathan Chen (his planned content looks like a minefield waiting to explode :shocked
7. Roman Sadovsky

Ladies:
1. Evgenia Medvedeva
2. Serafima Sakhanovich
3. Maria Sotskova
4. Wakaba Higuchi
5. Karen Chen
--
6. Yuka Nagai
7. Elizabet Turzynbaeva

Pairs:
1. Yu/Jin
2. Seguin/Bilodeau
3. Fedorova/Miroshkin
4. Beklemisheva/Bobrov
5. Oganesian/Bardei
--
6. Liu/Johnson

Ice Dance:
1. Yanovskaya/Mozgov
2. Popova/Vlasenko
3. Parsons/Parsons
4. Bent/Mackeen
5. MacNamara/Carpenter
--
6. Edwards/Pang

 

[baymax24]

Fingers crossed for good skates!

Men's Singles
1. Shoma Uno
2. Nathan Chen
3. Adian Pikteev
4. Jin Boyang
5. Sota Yamamoto
6. Alexander Petrov

Ladies Singles
1. Evgenia Medvedeva
2. Serafima Sakhanovich
3. Karen Chen
4. Wakaba Higuchi
5. Maria Sotskova
6. Yuka Nagai

Pairs
1. Julianne Seguin/Charlie Bilodeau
2. Xiaoyu Yu/Yang Jin
3. Lina Fedorova/Maxim Miroshkin
4. Daria Beklemisheva/Maxim Bobrov
5. Anastasia Gubanova/Alexei Sintsov
6. Mary Orr/Phelan Simpson

Ice Dance
1. Anna Yanovskaya/Sergey Mozgov
2. Betina Popova/Yuri Vlasenko
3. Mackenzie Bent/Garret Mackeen
4. Madeline Edwards/Zhao Kai Pang
5. Rachel Parsons/Michael Parsons
6. Lorraine McNamara/Quinn Carpenter

 

[Lydia1703]

Ladies
1. Evgenia MEDVEDEVA
2. Serafima SAKHANOVICH
3. Wakaba HIGUCHI
4. Karen CHEN
5. Maria SOTSKOVA
6. Yaka NAGAI
7. Elizabet TURSYNBAEVA

Men
1. Shoma UNO
2. Adian PITKEEV
3. Boyang JIN
4. Nathan CHEN
5. Alexander PETROV
6. Sota YAMAMOTO
7. Jin Seo KIM

Ice Dance
1. Anna YANOVSKAYA / Sergey MOZGOV
2. Mackenzie BENT / Garrett MACKEEN
3. Betina POPOVA / Yuri VLASENKO
4. Madeline EDWARDS / Zhao Kai PANG
5. Rachel PARSONS / Michael PARSONS
6. Sofia EVDOKIMOVA / Egor BAZIN
7. Alexandra NAZAROVA / Maxim NIKITIN

Pairs
1. Xiaoyu YU / Yang JIN
2. Lina FEDOROVA / Maxim MIROSHKIN
3. Julianne SEGUIN / Charlie BILODEAU
4. Daria BEKLEMISHEVA / Maxim BOBROV
5. Chelsea LIU / Brian JOHNSON
6. Anastasia GUBANOVA / Alexei SINTSOV

 

[voolfee]

Ladies:

1. Medvedeva
2. Sahanovich
3. Sotskova
4. Higuchi
5. Chen
6. Nagai

Men:

1. Uno
2. Pitkeev
3. Jin
4. Chen
5. Petrov
6. Yamamoto

Pairs:

1. Yu/Jin
2. Seguin/Bilodeau
3. Fedorova/Miroshkin
4. Beklemisheva/Bobrov
5. Gubanova/Sintsov
6. Liu/Johnson

Ice Dance:

1. Yanovskaya/Mozgov
2. Bent/Mackeen
3. Popova/Vlasenko
4. Edwards/Pang
5. Parsons/Parsons
6. Mcnamara/Carpenter

 

[CaroLiza_fan]

Yipes! Just realised that it is tomorrow that Junior Worlds starts, and not Thursday!

THIS IS YOUR ELEVEN HOUR WARNING.

You have just 11 hours left until the target time to get your predictions in, i.e. until 09:30 EET (08:30 CET / 07:30 GMT)

And for our American friends, that is 02:30 EST.

I thought I was cutting it fine with my Europeans predictions, but I'm cutting it even finer with my predictions here. I haven't even started yet!!!

Guess who's going to have to get up early to do his research!

CaroLiza_fan

 

[dorispulaski]

dum DA dum dum dum…

 

[sequinsgalore]

Men
1. Shoma Uno JPN
2. Boyang Jin CHN
3. Nathan Chen USA
4. Adian Pitkeev RUS
5. Alexander Petrov RUS
6. Sota Yamamoto JPN

Ladies
1. Evgenia Medvedeva RUS
2. Serafima Sakhanovich RUS
3. Maria Sotskova RUS
4. Wakaba Higuchi JPN
5. Karen Chen USA
6. Yuka Nagai JPN

Pairs
1. Xiaoyu Yu / Yang Jin CHN
2. Julianne Seguin / Charlie Bilodeau CAN
3. Lina Fedorova / Maxim Miroshkin RUS
4. Anastasia Gubanova / Alexei Sintsov RUS
5. Daria Beklemisheva / Maxim Bobrov RUS
6. Chelsea Liu / Brian Johnson USA

Ice Dance
1. Anna Yanovskaya / Sergey Mozgov RUS
2. Betina Popova / Yuri Vlasenko RUS
3. Lorraine McNamara / Quinn Carpenter USA
4. Mackenzie Bent / Garrett Mackeen CAN
5. Madeline Edwards / Zhao Kai Pang CAN
6. Rachel Parsons / Michael Parsons USA

 

[Flaya]

I will not be submitting my entries, simply because I am not aware of the large majority of these skaters.

If you exclude Uokolova, Rajicova, and other skaters we have seen are Worlds or the Olympics, I am pretty clueless. I did not get to see most of Europeans/4 CCs this year either.

If the organizer prefers a higher number of participants, etc... then I am more than willing to submit my choices though, if that is the case, please let me know.

 

[dorispulaski]

We have often found that the people who had winning scores made their picks by flipping a mental coin. It is all in fun; give it a shot!

 

[Skategmt]

men

1. Uno
2 Pitkeev
3 Jin
4 Chen
5 Petrov
6 Yamamoto

Ladies

1 Medeeva
2 Sotskova
3 Chen
4 Sakhanovich
5 Higuchi
6 Nagai

Pairs

1Yu/Jin
2 Seguin/Bilodeau
3 Fedorova/Miroshkin
4 Gubanova/Sintsov
5 B/Bobrov
6 Liu/Johnson

Dance

1 Yanovskaya/Mozgov
2 MacNarmera/Carpenter
3 Popova/Vlasenko
4 Parsons/Parsons
5 Bent/ MacKeen
6 Edward/Pang

 

[GF2445]

Men

1. Uno
2 Pitkeev
3 Jin
4 Chen
5 Petrov
6 Yamamoto

Ladies

1 Medeeva
2 Sotskova
3 Chen
4 Sakhanovich
5 Higuchi
6 Nagai

Pairs

1Yu/Jin
2 Seguin/Bilodeau
3 Fedorova/Miroshkin
4 Gubanova/Sintsov
5 B/Bobrov
6 Liu/Johnson

Dance

1 Yanovskaya/Mozgov
2 MacNarmera/Carpenter
3 Popova/Vlasenko
4 Parsons/Parsons
5 Bent/ MacKeen
6 Edward/Pang

 

[satine]

My strategy was 75% PB, 25% Have I heard of them?


Women
1. Evgenia MEDVEDEVA
2. Serafima SAKHANOVICH
3. Wakaba HIGUCHI
4. Karen CHEN
5. Yuka NAGAI
6. Maria SOTSKOVA
7. Elizabet TURSYNBAEVA
8. Da Bin CHOI

Men
1. Shoma UNO
2. Alexander PETROV
3. Boyang JIN
4. Adian PITKEEV
5. Nathan CHEN
6. Sota YAMAMOTO
7. Daniel SAMOHIN
8. Jin Seo KIM

Pairs
1. Xiaoyu YU / Yang JIN
2. Julianne SEGUIN / Charlie BILODEAU
3. Lina FEDOROVA / Maxim MIROSHKIN
4. Daria BEKLEMISHEVA / Maxim BOBROV
5. Chelsea LIU / Brian JOHNSON
6. Renata OGANESIAN / Mark BARDEI

Dance
1. Anna YANOVSKAYA / Sergey MOZGOV
2. Betina POPOVA / Yuri VLASENKO
3. Alexandra NAZAROVA / Maxim NIKITIN
4. Lorraine MCNAMARA / Quinn CARPENTER
5. Rachel PARSONS / Michael PARSONS
6. Mackenzie BENT / Garrett MACKEEN



And here is the all-important list randomizer for anyone that wants the thrill of utilizing it's power

 

[sunnystars]

satine, are you sure that you're not gonna count on Wakaba?

 

[satine]

satine, are you sure that you're not gonna count on Wakaba?

............how did I miss Higuchi?

Thank you, I'm gonna go over all the entry lists again... I'm paranoid I've missed some important entries now :hopelessness:

 

[sunnystars]

lol it happens to everyone

and now I'm gonna go ponder and think about my predictions...again

ONLY 2 HOURS left til the events start! as stated by the ISU stream (http://www.eurovisionsports.tv/isu/#)

 

[sunnystars]

I guess I should post this here for the late predictioners

A master list of tech content for all skaters competing
men
women
ice dance
pairs

don't know who the real creator but his/her name is on the images
found them here on this post: http://spiral9509.tistory.com/931 (go here for better quality)

from my intuition (and bits of Korean wording):
green blocks = combos with 3T (harder jumps for the mens)
yellow blocks = casual jump issues like edge calls or URs (ex. Evgenia getting calls on her 3Lz sometimes)
red font = apparent edge calls or URs (ex. Wakaba is constantly marked with an edge call for her 3F)
grey font = for skaters that didn't compete in ISU competitions so info is not concrete

 

[CaroLiza_fan]

THIS IS YOUR FIFTY MINUTE WARNING.

You have just 50 minutes left until the target time to get your predictions in, i.e. until 09:30 EET (08:30 CET / 07:30 GMT)

And for our American friends, that is 02:30 EST.

Sorry that I didn't get this in with an hour to go. I was up to my eyes in Men's Bios! (Just about to start Pairs)

CaroLiza_fan

 

[Florencito]

Men

1. Uno
2. Boyang
3. Pitkeev
4. Petrov
5. Samohin
6. Samarin


Ladies

1. Medvedeva
2. Sakhanovic
3. Higuchi
4. Chen
5. Sotskova
6. Nagai


Pairs

1. Yu/Jin
2. Séguin/Bilodeau (prove me wrong and win it all!)
3. Fedorova/Miroshkin
4. Gibanova/Sintsov
5. Beklemisheva/Bobrov
6. Orr/Simpson


Ice Dance

1.Yanovskaya/Mozgov
2. Popova/Vlasenko
3. Bent/MacKeen
4. Evdokimova/Bazin
5. Edwards/Pang
6. McNamara/Carpenter

 

[CaroLiza_fan]

Right. Since there are so many names I don’t know, I decided from the outset that I would only predict on those skaters that I had heard tell of before.

That worked fine for the Ladies and Men, as I had heard tell of roughly half the field. So, I had more than enough to make a decent sized prediction.

In the end, I decided to do a top 15 as usual for the Ladies. Purely because I really liked Kailani at 4 Continents, and wanted to make sure she was included!

I only made two major changes to the PB order. The first was to move Higuchi up onto the podium ahead of Karen Chen. Although I was impressed with Chen’s SP at US Nationals (I STILL have to see the Free Skates!), Higuchi impressed me no end at Japanese Nationals!

With the Men, again there were only a couple of changes I made. The first was to move Jin up onto the podium ahead of Nathan Chen. (No, despite what it looks like, I don’t have anything against people with the surname Chen! ) The other was to move Yamamoto ahead of Pitkeev. I know, it’s strange that I am demoting a Russian! But, I really like Yamamoto.

My tactic of only predicting on those I had heard tell of fell down when I came to Pairs, as I had only heard tell of 4 of them before! And whilst 3 of them were in the Top 3 spots by PB, the other was down in 9th (Gabanova / Sintsov)!!! HOWEVER, there were only 3 points covering them and the 4 couples above them, so I promoted the ones I knew up to 5th!

It was the same with Ice Dance. Although there were (just about!) enough that I knew to make a prediction, I didn’t trust them to all be at the top. So, I ordered the whole field by PB. And it turned out to be a good move, as one of the ones I hadn’t heard of ended up in 3rd!

There were quite a few Dancer couples with no International PB's, including both British couples. But, it was good to see that we have managed to acquire the services of a Russian girl!

Hoping for some surprises

CaroLiza_fan


JUNIOR WORLD CHAMPIONSHIPS

Ladies

1. Serafima SAKHANOVICH, RUS
2. Evgenia MEDVEDEVA, RUS
3. Wakaba HIGUCHI, JPN
4. Karen CHEN, USA
5. Maria SOTSKOVA, RUS
6. Yuka NAGAI, JPN

Just for fun
7. Elizabet TURSYNBAEVA, KAZ
8. Nicole RAJICOVA, SVK
9. Ivett TOTH, HUN
10. Anastasia GALUSTYAN, ARM
11. Lutricia BOCK, GER
12. Kaori SAKAMOTO, JPN
13. Jenni SAARINEN, FIN
14. Tyler PIERCE, USA
15. Kailani CRAINE, AUS


Men

1. Shoma UNO, JPN
2. Alexander PETROV, RUS
3. Boyang JIN, CHN
4. Nathan CHEN, USA
5. Sota YAMAMOTO, JPN
6. Adian PITKEEV, RUS

Just for fun
7. Daniel SAMOHIN, ISR
8. Jin Seo KIM, KOR
9. Alexander SAMARIN, RUS
10. He ZHANG, CHN
11. Denis MARGALIK, ARG
12. Roman SADOVSKY, CAN
13. Chih-I TSAO, TPE
14. Simon HOCQUAUX, FRA
15. Graham NEWBERRY, GBR


Pairs

1. Xiaoyu YU / Yang JIN, CHN
2. Julianne SEGUIN / Charlie BILODEAU, CAN
3. Lina FEDOROVA / Maxim MIROSHKIN, RUS
4. Daria BEKLEMISHEVA / Maxim BOBROV, RUS
5. Anastasia GUBANOVA / Alexei SINTSOV, RUS
6. Renata OGANESIAN / Mark BARDEI, UKR

Just for fun
7. Chelsea LIU / Brian JOHNSON, USA
8. Ami KOGA / Francis BOUDREAU AUDET, JPN
9. Bianca MANACORDA / Niccolo MACII, ITA
10. Mary ORR / Phelan SIMPSON, CAN
11. Shalena RAU / Sebastian ARCIERI, CAN
12. Anna DUSKOVA / Martin BIDAR, CZE
13. Caitlin FIELDS / Ernie Utah STEVENS, USA


Dance

1. Anna YANOVSKAYA / Sergey MOZGOV, RUS
2. Alexandra NAZAROVA / Maxim NIKITIN, UKR
3. Betina POPOVA / Yuri VLASENKO, RUS
4. Mackenzie BENT / Garrett MACKEEN, CAN
5. Rachel PARSONS / Michael PARSONS, USA
6. Madeline EDWARDS / Zhao Kai PANG, CAN

Just for fun
7. Lorraine MCNAMARA / Quinn CARPENTER, USA
8. Carolina MOSCHENI / Adam LUKACS, HUN
9. Natalia KALISZEK / Maksim SPODIREV, POL
10. Sofia EVDOKIMOVA / Egor BAZIN, RUS
11. Valeria GAISTRUK / Alexei OLEJNIK, UKR
12. Tina GARABEDIAN / Alexandre LALIBERTE, ARM
13. Sofia SFORZA / Leo Luca SFORZA, ITA
14. Sarah Marine ROUFFANCHE / Geoffrey BRISSAUD, FRA
15. Elliana POGREBINSKY / Alex BENOIT, USA