I don’t think I like the looks of the -5 to +5 GOE rules that seem inevitable at this point. .
There is speculation that in order to hit +4 or +5 GOE a skater must satisfy 3 specific bullets first. Good Height, Good Take Off and Landing, Effortless Throughout. Ok that sounds good but let’s think on that a second. What is good height? Can it be measured and quantified as a specific point above the ice? Do we need to factor in the different sizes and even weights of skaters to determine what qualifies as “good height”. I’m not trying to be difficult but I’m legitimately curious as to how this can be applied any more fairly than what we already have in place.
Another concern is the scoring. Will a 3t-3t (+5 GOE) outscore a 3z-3t with +1 or +2? Are we going to see more 3t-3t as a result? :disagree:
I've been having a think about how this might work. Apologies if I'm wrong...
Taking quads as an example, it looks as if the Base Value will be reduced by 10%, and then it'll be 10% per GOE added or subtracted depending on the quality of he jump.
Hence under the new system reduced BV plus +1 GOE will get you back to the old Base Value. I can't imagine they'll give a +1 GOE for zero bullet points. Hence to get the old score you'll need to get 1 more bullet point than now, but it'll still only be 1 bullet point.
For reduced BV plus +2 GOE, you'll get back to about old BV plus +1 GOE, so I imagine this will be 2 bullet points.
Then for reduced BV plus + 3 GOE you'll be at about old BV plus +2 GOE, so that'll be 4 bullet points.
Finally there's reduced BV plus +4 GOE, and that'll be very close to old BV plus +3 GOE i.e. 6 bullet points.
Finally, there's new BV plus +5 GOE, and I expect that'll be either 7 or 8 bullet points, assuming that the bullet points are exactly as now, and that the judges follow them in giving out GOEs - there's the rub.
When it comes to triples it's slightly different as the base values haven't reduced by as much, plus the GOE can be considerably more than 10% for the lower value triples e.g. for Toe Loops and Salchows it's more than 15%.
However doing the above, reduced BV plus +1 GOE will score about old BV + '0.5 GOE'. Hence 1 bullet point will be about right.
Reduced BV + 2 GOE will be about old BV + 1.25 GOE, so getting 2 bullet points will score you slightly higher than now.
Reduced BV + 3 GOE will be about old BV + 2 GOE, so 4 bullet points should be the same as now.
Finally reduced BV + 4 GOE will be about old BV + 2.75 GOE, so 6 bullet points will score you a bit less - it will all depend on the triples though, a 3Lz plus +4 GOE looks as if that's going to score 8.26 vs 8.1 for a +3 GOE one, so it'll depend on what you're good at/get high scores on (...).
Lastly reduced BV + 5 GOE would be at about 'old BV + 3.5 GOE' so about 7 bullet points would be necessary. It'll be interesting to see on what how they decide you'll get +4 or +5, but the judges aren't exactly generous with +3s at the moment, so I imagine +4s and certainly +5s will be a lot rarer than people are imagining (I may be wrong of course).
Finally to answer the question re +5 GOE 3T-3T vs +1/+2 3Lz-3T, I think the former will score 10.5 on the new scale (if 3T is 4.2 points). This is compared with 10.7 for +3 GOE at the moment, while a +1/+2 GOE 3Lz-3T will score 10.69/11.28 under the new system. However you're not exactly comparing apples with apples, +1 GOE will probably only require 1 bullet point as above, and +2 two, so actually +1 and +2 3Lz-3Ts will tend to score quite well compared with now, but lower value triples such as 3Ts will do less well - if I'm right to get the same score as now for a +3 3T-3T you're going to need more bullet points, not fewer, and even then you can never reach the old score of 10.7.