I'm a little worried we will see a spike in cases in the U.S. Mothers day weekend a lot of people were out. And with Memorial day weekend coming up, it's a little scary.
The problem with the US is that we're one nation but 50 separate states -- hooray federalism! -- with different laws and different governments in each one. I don't even think the President could declare a nationwide quarantine or curfew, and if he were to at this stage states such as Texas or Georgia could sue the federal government for over reach and the Supreme court could issue a stay until they decide whether or not it's constitutionally allowed for him to do so.
I was talking to a barista today about when we think people in NYC will break and just stop adhering to social distancing mandates -- and not is a let's hang out in the park on a sunny day 6 ft away from each other way but in a screw it, block party way -- and both agreed that once the first heat wave hits everything is going to go out the window. Otoh, I think by now most New Yorkers know first hand people who have had Covid-19 -- I currently have a former colleague who is in King's County being treated for it after losing his mom to it; he's currently complaining about now having a roommate so I'm assuming he's pulling through, and someone's put up posters around the neighborhood memorializing a man who recently died as a reminder to people to wear masks -- so a lot of interaction is tempered with social distancing especially outside.