Again, having a pre-set list removes the tension because those who are on the pre-set team are effectively secured Special group funding and those who aren't are most likely to make it A funding at best. So the skaters go into nationals already knowing who are the haves and who are the have-nots.
I guess in the lower levels there might be suspense between those making group B or A (or none) in terms of funding.
This has been the case for a while now, so why are you suddenly feeling like there's no tension when you thought there was before? Like, literally nothing has changed. The lists last season weren't released until after Nationals, yes, but the criteria were exactly the same, and those had been released before Nats. Anyone could have made the lists themselves - And people did.
This is an egg and chicken situation because if you know that you are 1- Getting good scores even with mistakes 2- a strong contender for the team already, then it's a situation of 'nerves, what nerves?' it becomes just a walk in the park.
Also, putting so much emphasis on the GP series means basically the fed can manipulate their teams even before the season starts, allocating their chosen ones to easy assignments and making sure they have good scores so they can meet the criteria beforehand.
Whilst I agree not all skaters have the same chances, IMO this list exacerbates the inequality between Japanese skaters. It is truly a more political game than ever.
In any country, there is always a pre-selected group - Skaters who have the necessary minimums, or the technical potential to get them. You win but don't have the TES minimums because you weren't sent out to international competitions? Too bad, you're not going. And apart from Criterion 2b & maybe 3b, you actually don't need a GP, Challengers suffice for SBs scores, Nationals results aren't dependent on GP assignments anyways, and you can be part of the National team without GP assignments.
If the criteria were really so widely known, I am guessing Sota wouldn't have been the target of an unsportsmanlike remark by a teammate last year when he was selected. Not gonna give any names because I'm beyond tired of pretty much any exchange of opinions with his vocal fans. But, apparently even skaters themselves were left in the dark re. the criteria.
I'm sorry but many skaters actually have no idea about rules, and not because the rules aren't being released, if you catch my drift. And even if they do, it doesn't mean they have to be happy about them, or about the way they are applied.
The
criteria for last season were published in September of 2022, plenty of time before Nationals. Shoma certainly would have done well reading more and talking less.
And, for example, in 2018-19, the selection criteria for Worlds were as follows:
- Nationals winner
- From the athletes who meets either of the criteria below
- a) 2nd and 3rd at Nationals
- b) 3rd and higher on ISU's World Ranking when Nationals finished
- From the athletes who meets either of the criteria below
- a) skaters who meet the criteria for the 2nd skater but not selected
- b) 3rd and higher on ISU's WR or SB when Nationals finished
Certainly quite a bit of overlap with how the criteria look today, no? Biggest change being the addition of GPF as a criterion - But that's all it is, a criterion. It just gets you on the list, but you aren't guaranteed a spot unless only three skaters fulfill the criteria.