I agree that Belbin and Agosto are pretty much almost going to be impossible to touch. Davis and White has a pretty strong hold on second but are not untouchable
but its going to be an all out fight for the 3rd and final spot.
I second the sentiments of your post.
Belbin and Agosto have the most mature presentation and polish of all of the teams as of end of last season. Unless their new programs are complete duds which I can't imagine that they would be, their accumulated years of performance and technical ability should carry them through to the national title again. Plus, the USFSA know that B/A are still their best bet for a World medal. This season is going to be pivotal for them. Either they turn it around in a big way or they will be one of the teams that were great but never internationally speaking top of the world.
Davis and White while vastly talented in terms of technical prowess still have a little ways to go in order to completely put an artistic vision/program over. There's a high command of the music that they don't quite have yet. Of course, this may be something that they will have improved over this past summer. Since they're my favorite team, I wish for them- to learn the ability to really own the piece of music that they're skating to and really hone the control and focus of their performance quality. With that they will finally be able to take over the national top spot and move up internationally. Having said that though, they could also very easily not move beyond the point that they are at right now- this season and the next will be crucial to see if they will move into not just prominence but dominance at least nationally.
The 2 teams that are the most dangerous at this point are the 2 Ann Arbor teams- Samuelson/Bates and the Hubbells. The Hubbells have more excitement in their skating but they tend to fluctuate a bit technically. Samuelson/Bates have the edge right now (plus Evan has such a great personality and presence on the ice) but both teams have been exceedingly well developed and trained. They have a unison of technique and body line that is beautiful to watch. They could both threaten Davis/White this season and possibly challenge B/A next season and beyond.
While I enjoy, appreciate and get pleasure out of watching Navarro/ Bommentre, Wester/Barantsev, and Summerset/Gilles, and appreciate all of the hard work and boundary pushing that they do, I think that for different reasons (natural technical command for some and finesse of body movement for others) that none of them will ever be the top of the podium- even nationally. Which is not to take away from their outstanding effort and contribution to the sport.
Wow- I can't wait for the new senior dance season to start. And who knows I may be completely wrong in my thoughts and what fun that would be to get that surprise.
