Not any more, not in the US at least. Modern gymnastics, with what their sport's version of the COP looks for, requires all kinds of skills that an older gymnast with a more developed body will find exponentially harder to do, according to competitive gymnasts I've talked to. Jordyn will be 21 by Rio, and I don't see her contending for the all-around. She'd have to be on the team as a specialist. But what would it be? She's great at everything she does but there's no one thing she's astoundingly good at. With the depth of US women's gymnastics, I find it hard to imagine an older and less competitive Jordyn would be able to keep up with the younger American women competing for the spots.
I have to disagree with this. Many gymnasts have competed more than one Olympics recently. In this Olympics alone, the Russians have a returning gymnast in Ksenia Afanasyeva. The Chinese have Deng Linlin and He Kexin returning, and Jiang Yuanyuan is their first alternate. The Romanians have Sandra Izbasa who upgraded her vaults, is a medal contender again on floor after having won floor gold in 2008, and who competed all around. Catalina Ponor won three golds in 2004, skipped 2008, and came back for the London games with a chance to win a medal on both beam and floor. Neither Sandra or Catalina have ever been very good at bars, sadly, or they could be in the hunt for the all-around. Italy has Vanessa Ferrari who won the worlds in 2006 and competed in 2008. Germany has Oksana Chusovitina who is in her
sixth Oympics and who has a chance to medal in vault again after having medaled in 2008. She first competed for the Unified Team in 1992.
I will grant that none of the major all-around contenders this year are returns. In recent history, however, we've had several return all-around contenders: 2008 had Anna Pavlova who came ever so close to medaling in the all-around in 2004. Svetlana Khorkina competed in 1996, 2000, and 2004 and had a chance at an all-around medal in all three Olympics. Zhang Nan, who won bronze in 2004, had been around for years as well. Romanian Simona Amanar, who won silver (and was controversially upgraded to gold) in 2000, did so in her second Olympics. Svetlana Boginskaya competed in 1988 and 1992 before retiring for a couple of years, but then came back to compete and contend in the all-around in 1996 (she won a European silver but peaked before the Olympics). Shannon Miller, Dominique Dawes, and Kerri Strug all competed in 1992 and 1996. Though they did not compete the all-around in 2000, both Dominique Dawes and Amy Chow made the US team in 2000. In 2004 Mohini Bhardwaj made her first Olympic team after having just missed the team in
1996 and spending four years in college. Annia Hatch won a vault medal for the US in 2004 after missing her chance with Cuba in 1996. Cheng Fei was in her second Olympics with China in 2008.
I will agree that the biggest problem with the current code of points is that it tends to cause injuries that can limit the career length of many gymnasts. Ironically, the age requirements were moved upward at the same time, meaning that gymnasts have to learn harder skills younger now, but that they may become injured before they are considered age-eligeable for the Olympics. PengPeng Lee of Canada was by far and away their best gymnast in 2008, but she was deemed a year too young. She blew out her knee during the Olympic run-up this year and may have lost her chance at the Olympics. Alicia Sacramone, Shawn Johnson, Nastia Liukin, Chellsie Memmel, and Bridget Sloan (five out of the six gymnasts on the Beijing team) all were hidered by injury in their comeback attempts. Alicia had the best chance at making the team, especially after making the team for worlds last year, but she didn't have time to upgrade after tearing her achilles last year. She still might have made the team had the US not had a need for a bar worker, an event she was so bad at that she stopped training it before Beijing. Nastia had a shoulder injury that limited her training on bars from January through May. Without that injury she would've had a very good chance at the team. Without injuries, all five of these gymnasts would've been right in the hunt for a spot on the team.