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Even if Ashley is in 4th, she's going to the Olympics (just my prediction). She's the US ladies' best bet for a medal in Sochi -- the federation would be fools not to send her.
It's not a question of who is Ashley Wagner. It's a question of who is the most likely to ensure the US retains three spots next year. Ashley Wagner is far more likely to do that than someone like Mirai Nagasu. The US rules allow for skaters outside the top 3 to make it to worlds, and it's happened in the past for one reason or another. These rules ensure that year after year, skaters who have been consistently competitive all year long, and therefore are the most deserving of a chance at the top competitions, get to go. These girls are all well aware of those rules.Some of these people are so annoying. Top 3 should go no mater what. Who is Ashley Wagner? She's not a world medalist. Doesn't have the same skill and consistency as the Russian stickfigure. If she doesn't place top 3 at US Nationals, I'm hard pressed to find an idiot who would call Wagner US #1? US #1 is supposed to be #1.
It's unfair to Mirai, Polina, and Gracie if Wagner is going.
And her situation isn't the same as Evan. Evan WON World, GPF, heavy favorite going in. This girl isn't even a favorite for the bronze.
Polina's the third highest PCS?![]()

Excellent elements, well-choreographed program, good SS, but if we talk about interpretation, emotional involvement in the choreography, arm movements, facial expressions... well, she looked almost deaf (in Lipnitskaya's Nutcracker style) during the first minute of the program, and even the second half (the powerful part, which suits her well) was not really "sold"; the best moment of the program, for me, artistically, was after the 2A, but that kind of aggressive-powerful facial expression/body language should have been mantained during the step sequence and until the end of the program, and she didn't... For me SS should have been 8+ for sure (a bit more of edging could bring her 9s), but PE (which includes "emotional and intellectual involvement" and "style and individuality/personality"), CH and IN should have been not higher than mid-7s. If you give 32.20 to Ashley, you can't give 31.78 to Gracie!!
I will say it now: Gracie was overscored, IMO. That performance should have received 70ish at best. It's a pretty program, but now have see it live, I will agree with comments that she isn't so much emoting but just going through the motions of hte program. My husband said that it was a "utility program." The jumps and spins were impressive and merit the high TES, but definitely not nearly 32 PCS.
In my opinion Mirai should had been first, actually. They really low-balled her in PCS. She had some beautiful choreography, nice in-betweens and she really connected with the audience. She got more of a standing ovation than Gracie did. So nobody can use the "she was lifeless in her performance" excuse.
Ashley's score, IMO, was actually about right and given the amount of inflation Gracie got, I would have been fine if she got someting in the 66 range and was closer to Polina. I am not predicting gloom and doom for her yet. It's worth noting she is only 2 points behind Polina despite doing only a 3-2. I felt she fought through the entire program and did not give up.
Polina is very impressive. I'd say, her PCS should have been below Mirai (again namely cause Mirai's should have been higher) but Polina has very great ice coverage and does a good job performing her choreography.
I have to disagree with some of what you said. Gracie's score was inflated, maybe she should be around 69. However, her lead over the others should be bigger. Mirai got away with two obvious URs - the 3R and the second 3T. You can actually see the hook in real time, and I paused the video of her 3R toe pick touching the ice when she was facing the camera (almost a full 1/2 short). Ashley also go away with a clear < on the 2A. Polina's PCS is also too high for what she would get internationally.
I think the team will be Ashley, Gracie and Mirai if the judges don't scrutinize < in the LP, and probably Polina instead of Mirai if they do.
has anyone found Christina Gao's SP anywhere on yt?
I can't wait to slap my forehead when I see her step sequence!
also: who are the 2 commentators? the woman either doesn't know too much about URs or she's been told ahead of time just how generous the technical panel would be... She kept on saying "perfect, no problem whatsoever,..." on slow-motions of jumps that were borderline and beyond!
I do admit that probably some of my reaction to Gracie's program probably is the fact that I expected a lot more than I got. No doubt she has great ice coverage and speed and the jumps and spins are fantastic and the program itself is solid but I just felt something was missing for me. Can't really explain it.
