I am a big Ashley fan. She gives it her all, bless her heart. What she does not understand, though, is that the basic quality of her skating is a notch below the top rung, including Gracie and Julia (we won't mention Kim, Asada and Kostner).
Yeah, I think she is not realistic about her place in the top tier and the fact that she has a lot to improve on still if she wants to make the podium at major international events. I think she was (rightly) heartened by her progress and ascent, and assumed she could just keep ascending, perhaps riding a JuLip esque PCS wave. However, the fact is, her jumps (while consistently landed) are generally mediocre, and she does not have a fully rotated triple triple when it is called correctly. She just does not. Her spins are also mediocre and she struggles to get level 4 on them- often, too often for someone who wants to actually land on podium at major international events, she gets level 2. Until she improves all of this, she will continue to rely on the mistakes of others for high placements on the GP and at Worlds. She only places as high as she does generally because she often goes clean in a very unclean field.
Additionally, she is in denial I think about her PCS which also need work. in the team event I did think they were too low
relative to others but the truth is her basis SS are good, her choreography is acceptable, and her transitions are very good. Her PE and IN are also good sometimes very good. There is not a single category, IMO, where she is currently 'excellent' and not in need of improvement if she wants to break through further.
I wouldn't say I am a Ashley fan, but I respect her greatly and am no hater. She pulled herself up through sheer hard work and courageous life changes, and I can't not respect and value that. But she probably has a lot more hard work ahead of her if she ever wants to even be US #1 again, and she definitely does if she wants to contend for a World podium (again, barring major mistakes by others).