Compare the big tricks from the top 3
Yuna's 3Lz-3T
Mao's 3A and 3F-3Lo
Caro's 3T-3T and 3F-3T
Obviously Yuna can hit hers at least 80% of the time. That kind of consistency helps her a lot. She's most likely to be clean in the SP compare to the other two because her big trick is more dependable.
Mao's 3A, I would put about 30%. Her 3F-3Lo is probably more like 20% chance of being clean.
Caro's 3F-3T probably 40% chance of landing cleanly. 3T-3T are probably 60%.
However, if Mao and Carolina hit their SP as well, Yuna would be out of Gold. Yuna needs a big cushion after the SP to win. She can't afford to be just one or two points ahead of Caro and 1 or two points below Mao. In the LP, Yuna's consistency is about the same as the other two girls, always pop or step out or something. Mao and Caro can be a mess in the LP and still score 130. Yuna will need to make sure to build a big lead, then score about 128 or 129 or something to win.
I think it will go down like this
After the SP
1. Yuna
2. Caro
3. Mao
After the LP
1. Mao
2. Caro
3. Yuna
Combined
1. Caro
2. Mao
3. Yuna
Yuna's 3Lz-3T
Mao's 3A and 3F-3Lo
Caro's 3T-3T and 3F-3T
Obviously Yuna can hit hers at least 80% of the time. That kind of consistency helps her a lot. She's most likely to be clean in the SP compare to the other two because her big trick is more dependable.
Mao's 3A, I would put about 30%. Her 3F-3Lo is probably more like 20% chance of being clean.
Caro's 3F-3T probably 40% chance of landing cleanly. 3T-3T are probably 60%.
However, if Mao and Carolina hit their SP as well, Yuna would be out of Gold. Yuna needs a big cushion after the SP to win. She can't afford to be just one or two points ahead of Caro and 1 or two points below Mao. In the LP, Yuna's consistency is about the same as the other two girls, always pop or step out or something. Mao and Caro can be a mess in the LP and still score 130. Yuna will need to make sure to build a big lead, then score about 128 or 129 or something to win.
I think it will go down like this
After the SP
1. Yuna
2. Caro
3. Mao
After the LP
1. Mao
2. Caro
3. Yuna
Combined
1. Caro
2. Mao
3. Yuna