Thank you first of all for starting this, a most compelling topic!
However, I'd like to add a couple of caveats to look out for in discussing topics here, since we are just a season away from the next Olympics (already?!?!). Some factors to consider in the last 2010-14 cycle:
1. Adelina was considered a challenger to the title, not a favourite, and she took it all home when it counted on those two nights in February 2014. The stars aligned.
2. Yulia was not considered to even make the team when the quadrennial started, she was still in the novice / junior stages but was a superstar by the time worlds ended in March 2014.
3. Liza was considered a challenger along with Adel, winning GP medals and making podium at Euros early on. By Dec 2013 the dream of going to Sochi was put on (hypothetical) ice, and she then staged that staggeringly good comeback a year later. She delivered all throughout and bombed out when it was time for the Olympic trials.
4. Leonova was the next star, making top 10 in Vancouver 2010 but reduced to an alternate in Sochi, even though less than two years prior she was 2nd
in the entire world.
5. Makarova was also pegged as a next star, national champ heading into 2010, all but vanished by spring 2013.
The general discourse at the time was uncertainty over whether Russian ladies could send two or three good candidates to Sochi, and they ended up with two gold medalists. But no one would have seen or even predicted that in Vancouver. Now there is a mad crush for the podium. We can speculate all we like, but until the ladies take the ice and post results things are unsettled. Heck, Anna P went from those dismal falls at NHK to world bronze within four months, so anything is possible!
I look forward to checking in on this thread.
