Now that most of the important Jr competitions are over, this is how I would think JGP spots would be distributed next season. Of course a lot can change from now until August (injuries, illness, growth spurts etc)
Total spots: 15 (1 extra for event in Russia)
Returning juniors: 8 Spots
Ksenia Sinitsina - 2 spots. 4th at Jr Nats and Jr Worlds, 3rd at JGP event
Viktoria Vasilieva - 2 spots. 6th at Jr Nats, 3rd at Russian Cup Final (MS), 3rd at JGP event
Anastasia Tarakanova - 2 spots. 7th at Jr Nats, 4th at JGPF, 1st and 2nd at JGP events
Alena Kanysheva- 2 spots. 11th at JR Nats, 3rd at JGPF, 2nd at both JGP events
New Juniors:
Kamila Valieva - 2 spots. 1st at younger age and older age nationals, withdrew from some events with injury but clearly the strongest of the upcoming group
Maya Khromik - 2 spots. Also injured at the start of the season and missed ability to qualify for jr nats. 1st at Cup Final (CMS) and 2nd at Elder Age nats
Daria Usacheva - 1/2 spots. Started the season strong but dealt with some inconsistencies starting mid season. Came back pretty strong the last couple of competitions but seems to be struggling a bit with confidence. 2nd at Cup Final (CMS), 3rd at Elder Age Nats, 10th at Jr Nats
Anna Frolova/Anastasia Shabotova/Viktoria Safonova seem to be the best candidates for the remaining spots.
What do you guys think?
I wouldn't say the group is as strong as last season, but it is still incredibly strong nonetheless.
Eteri with Valieva, Khromykh and Kanysheva secured at least three skaters that can potentially win both their 2 events, Daria Usacheva we'll see, she is pretty good but she does mistakes here and there.
I'm curious what elements they will work on in the summer cause Valieva, Khromykh and Usacheva have enormous axel, i think we could see a 3A from them very soon. On the other hand we'll also have to see how much they will grow, Khromykh already looks fairly tall.
Svetlana Panova has Sinitsyna, the other two they are not as talented as Kanysheva was in my opinion: Frolova is not bad, she needs to refine some of her positions (the illusion or her ina bauer for example), Shabotova also is fine but she needs to increase the height on her jumps cause they look under.
Tarakanova is great, i think she is ready for seniors, and we saw this season in the free program how she can really use that choreo sequence which unfortunately she doesn't have in juniors. I hope for the best for her, i don't think they'll give her another chance in juniors to build success.
CSKA only has Vasilieva this season in juniors if nothing changes: very consistent but really needs to work on the second mark cause she is a bit too much focused on the elements, maybe she should take notes from her team mate Tarusina.
Viktoria Safonova is a great jumper but you can tell she saves power for these elements, she should skate the full program with the same power and more speed.