If we look at better one of Alysa's two free skates, in Poland she had only -1.14 on the 3A+2T and stsq 3, so some 2-3 points missed. Well if we would add the score for SP in Lake placid, it would be close to Kseniia, but at lake Placid Alysa received significantly higher PCS than in Poland (about 1.5 point in SP and 4 points in FP). If her PCS will be closer to Poland, than clean Kseniia should win over clean Alisa. BTW Kseniia's PCS from Italy in free was 3 points higgher than in Chelyabinsk - where she fell - and 10 points higher than Alysa's PCS in Poland). But, I admit, it is in the stars what PCS Alisa will receive at JGPF.
Well, I think it would be closer to +5 points for clean Alysa because I assume she would get positive GOE on top of Lvl 4 StSq and a clean combination jump