There is a fair chance they will not make the olympic team event finals (top 5)
Very unlikely. You predicted the same in 2022 and even with Keegan not being able to compete in the team event, leaving Canada in a very dire situation, even with Piper and Paul underperforming + being severely scored, and even without a very dominant pairs team, young Maddie came to the rescue and helped Canada finish a very honorable 4th place, which many believe should be a 3rd place.
Without ROC this time around, I don't really see how Canada wouldn't make the top five. Italy will contend but like Canada, they will have to see where their single skaters take them. Georgie is really hit and miss... I don't trust their singles more than Italy's and their dance team is not longer seen as a threat. Also, do not forget that though their pair team has good elements, they don't get the PCS nor they haven't been very consistent. So the battle will be for bronze between Canada and Italy.
You are worried about Canada's singles : have you watched the women develop this year ?
The men are in bad shape... but both Roman and Wesley made the LP at worlds last year. Both of them tend to be better in the second half of the season.
I think it's too soon to predict what will happen in 2026 anyway because the sport changes sometimes so quickly but I also think there is no need to constantly be so alarmist about athletes... not just from Canada...
Look... everyone was counting on Gracie, Ashley, Mariah and others to have great careers and they did not really achieve this standard... Then Alisa Liu came in and wow... everyone was cheering for her... she had big elements...but then retired after her first world medal... People thought USA would be in big trouble but look how it turned around so quickly now... With Levito medalling last year at worlds and with Glenn mastering her 3a and winning GPF against 5 strong Japanese skaters. Liu is also back some other American skaters showed great promise in the first half of the season...
The sport goes into cycles. For countries like Japan and USA with their depth in singles, the cycles are more steady... for Canada, we have always had great skaters in most disciplines (except women) but almost every time, there has been a bit of a gap when skaters retired... the cycle reaches its low point but it usually gets back to a high rather soon enough. Men will be strong, looking at the juniors we have right now. Canada has had some of the best skaters ever in the men's discipline, for instance with Patrick Chan and Kurt Browning... These two skaters are remembered and will be remembered forever for what they brought to the sport, both technically and artistically. In some ways, maybe Canada produces less top 10 skaters than other countries, but then, when they produce a star, it's a very shining one. I am looking forward to seeing Canada's next best single skaters. They are coming.
In women, watch out for Lia Cho. She is extremely strong. Too young to compete yet but she will be skating juniors at Nationals.