MK and Slutskaya imploded. Yuna and Caro skated perfectly. There's no "Sarah Hughes" excuse here.
I'm not making excuses, I'm just correcting Yuki90's history.
She says "It's new history in figure skating that a skater who had not just one title suddenly won OGM at her own country."
We can argue about what "one title" refers to. If it means ISU senior championships, then it's true that neither Hughes nor Sotnikova has won one. As far as senior ISU championship titles go, they're equal.
If it means any senior event, or any international event . . . well, Hughes won one Grand Prix title, one senior B, and a junior national title. Sotnikova won one senior B title, one junior world title, and four national senior titles. On gold medals alone, national and international, junior and senior, Sotnikova comes out far ahead.
If we factor in other colors of medals, who else was competing, how many mistakes they each made, etc., then it gets more complicated. But that's not what yuki90 said. She just said "titles." My simple interpretation was that "title" meant ISU senior championship titles.
Sotnikova hasn't won any (yet?), except for the Olympics. Same for Hughes.
As for the other part of the question, did anyone win suddenly win OGM in her home country, well, as a matter of fact, Hughes's title was won in her own country.
So just answering the question as asked, NO, Sotnikova was not the first without prior titles to suddenly win OGM in her home country. Therefore that distinction by itself does nothing
one way or the other to invalidate the result. Why even bring it up?
yuki90 is also completely incorrect about the way scores are currently displayed on the protocols. It is true that originally starting with the 2003 Grand Prix that all the judges' columns were kept in the same order on the protocols -- the first column on the protocols wouldn't be judge #1 from the list of judges, but it would be the same judge all the way down the page.
That changed several years ago. It is no longer true. My understanding is that it was too easy for anyone -- especially federations that wanted to pressure judges and check whether the judges did as instructed -- to figure out who gave what set of scores. So they started scrambling them.
I can't remember exactly when that changed. It might have been the 2010-11 season. In which case I can understand why Yuna Kim fans inclined to search for conspiracy theories might not know about the change, if the last time they were searching the rules were different.
Maybe the ISU should change the rules so that the only judges on the panel have to be from countries that do no have a skater in the competition.
This could be possible at small competitions like Grand Prixs, or at Europeans and Four Continents where only half the federations are allowed to participate so experienced judges would be available from the other continental group.
It would be completely impossible in the short programs at championships like Worlds and Junior Worlds, where every ISU federation is allowed to send at least one entry.
Unless you disqualified all judges who come from countries that actually have skating programs and are members of the ISU:
That could lead to a panel of very unqualified judges. They would all essentially be from South America, Africa, and the Middle East. Although it would be funny to have an Olympic FS judge from a country without a single ice rink
Never going to happen.
Part of the problem -- going all the way back to the beginning of ISU competition at the turn of the 19th-20th century -- is that both skaters and officials come to international events representing their federations.
And, also, the most knowledgeable, most experienced judges will be those from strong skating programs that are most likely to produce medal contenders, barring a few exceptions like Denis Ten and Yuna Kim (but the Korean association is growing and should have more experienced judges soon, right?).
Could international competition be completely restructured in such a way that skaters skate for themselves and judges judge for the ISU with no loyalty to national federations?
I think what complicates this is the fact that scoring in the PCS department is subjective. Even in TES by way of GOE. So unfortunately in a closely disputed event as such there are two or three victory stories to be told.
Yup. And who you're rooting for going into the event -- because of nationality, because of style preference, because of familiarity with a skater's past career and struggles toward the big event -- is going to affect the story you want to follow. Especially in the school figures era, Olympic gold tended to be the culmination of a successfully built-up career, so fans and media looked to the pre-event favorites, often long-time rivals, to follow which one would win.
As figures were eliminated, jumps became more important, and skaters from more countries entered the medal mix, it became more common for the story of how the Olympics actually unfolded to have little to do with the narratives that media tried to shape in advance.
I agree they both skated better than they did before. But, what about the virtual three-way tie coming out of the short programs? What is the statistical probability that the judges perception of the quality of these three skaters' performance was basically identical, separated only by fractional points? It's gotta be very very slim.
Not really.
In 2014, the point spread for the top three ladies' short programs was 0.80.
In 2006, the top three ladies were within 0.71 points of each other after the short program.
http://winter-olympic-memories.com/html/results/jp_3d/20_torino/20_figure/20_figure_w.htm
In 2010, the top three men after the short program were only 0.60 apart.
http://www.isuresults.com/results/owg2010/SEG001.HTM
Those are just examples from the three Olympics so far that have used IJS. If you look at all IJS competitions over the past decade, you'll find plenty more examples.