The SP is a definite cause for concern, how high does she have to finish to make the GP finals?
4th. Then she'll get 24 points and beat Wakaba and Maria on the tiebreaker, provided Maria is third.
If Maria is 1st then the final is Medvedeva, Kostner, Polina?, Maria, Alina, and someone else (Wakaba? Mai? Kaetlyn probably)
If Maria is second and Kaetlyn is first then Medvedeva, Osmond, Polina?, Maria, Alina, and Kostner
If Maria is second and Alina is first, then Medvedeva, Alina, Osmond, Maria, Kostner, and Polina?
If Maria is second and Mai is first, then Medvedeva, Osmond, Kostner, Maria, Mai, and Alina (no Polina....)
If Alina is first, she's in.
If Alina is second, she's in.
If Alina is third, she is nearly certain to be in.
If Kaetlyn is first, Maria second, and Alina third, then the final will be Medvedeva, Osmond, Kostner, Maria, Alina, and Polina or Wakaba
If Kaetlyn is second, then Medvedeva, Osmond, Kostner, Zagitova, Sotskova, and Polina most likely.
If Kaetlyn is third, then Medvedeva, Osmond, Kostner, Zagitova, Sotskova, and Polina most likely.
If Mai is first, the Medvedeva, Osmond, Kostner, Mai, Alina, and Maria/Polina
If Mai is second or lower, she will not be in.
Let me know if this is wrong.