Thank you for your thoughts.
With regard to age limits, I cannot agree that it is "healthier" to keep a lower age limit because skaters might injure themselves if they train longer. That is a head scratcher for me.
All professional sports in the US have age limits. Many young phenoms could play pro at an earlier age. They risk injury, and the loss of a *far* larger payday than any skater will ever earn, by being forced to wait until they are 18 to turn pro (the lowest age I know of, some are 19). That's not a reason to lower the age.
Many men, pairs and dance skaters compete for many many years. Are the ladies such hothouse flowers that they cannot skate for the same amount of years? I think not.
I know that the analogies only work if one agrees with the argument, so I'm not going to speak to them. I agree with my own argument, so they work for me
For me, the longer you train, the more you injure yourself is pretty obvious, honestly, but I will draw it just in case.
1. There is a certain injury risk. Do you agree that the chance of breaking a leg jumping is higher if you jump 1000 times and lower if you jump only 10 times? The longer you train and compete on elite level, more injuries you will have overall.
2. Healing gets worse with age, things take longer to heal, things don't heal perfectly anymore. It is a major difference to break a bone at 14-15 and break a bone at 25. And break a bone at 35.
3. Injury effect is cumulative, so having tons of small injuries is not nice either. The longer you skate/train, more small injuries you will have.
So, where the age limit comes into all this? To be successful in FS, skaters got to start training early, regardless of the age limit. If you raise it from 15 to 18, you basically force skaters to skate on elite level for 3 extra years before they can even achieve anything. Right now, they can win stuff at 15-16-17-18 and quit. With higher age limit, they will *have to* skate up to 18 in juniors, on elite level (because it is not like they would be able to take it easier in juniors, just because they are juniors), before they can compete on major international events. This is 3 more years for them to break bones and strain backs.
And again, the only way those 3 extra years in juniors will protect the junior's health is by forcing them to quit because no big results and expensive training. The ones that stay will train as hard as they currently do.
So i see it like this: raising the age limit has no relation with health, because they will still train on elite level (same as current juniors do, i mean, do you really think that Liu is training in a much healthier way than girls who are 18 years old right now, and being in junior somehow magically protects her health? Does it really makes any difference that she is a junior and not a senior? Would it make any difference for Trusova if she would be a junior this year? She wouldn't be training quads as a junior?). But it has the potential to damage more skater's health by forcing them to skate longer. Result: higher age limit = bad for health.