2019-20 Russian Ladies' Figure Skating | Page 598 | Golden Skate

2019-20 Russian Ladies' Figure Skating

if the NHL had participated in the 2018 Olympics there's a good chance Zagitova would have been the only Russian gold medalist from the games. I kind of wish that happened.

FS is not enough, and you want to start a hockey war here too? :noshake: :biggrin:
 
If the main goal is to have all 4 in the GPF the best would be to have whoever is 1st at IdF here 3rd at NHK since that would guarantee all 3 medalists at NHK a place at the GPF. Which I think they deserve. But I dont expect them to truly work this strategy but rather for each skater to try and score as high at each comp based on the condition they are in at that specific day. With the overall goal of one Eteri girl wining gold at each of the 6 events

I think, that's the spirit that Eteri promotes. Unexpected meltdowns aside Alena and Alina win 1 and 2 in France. Then whoever is second will be OK with the third at NHK because there will be no one better than 2+3. I assume that Anna wins in China. Even if we have some exotic scenario like: Liza, Young, Anna 2+3 will be enough if the combined score of either Alena or Alina is higher than that of Young - should not be a problem. In fact, 5 Russians + Rika/Young final is still possible:

One scenario.

France: 1. Alina, 2. Alena
Russia: 1. Sasha
China: 1. Liza 2. or 3. Anna
Japan 1.Alina/Alena 2. Alina/Alena/Rika 3. Whoever won in France
 
If they both score above/around 230 at both events they will likely win every tiebreaker scenario even with a 2+3. As long as both skate at or near their best this shouldn’t be a problem. Young and Liza especially scored too low at their first events to make up this deficit to beat them in tiebreakers.

This of course assumes everyone skates their best. If not, who knows.
 
I would say this not about likes or dislikes, but about PR.
Kind of same thing we had last year where, every time Alina would compete, there were tons of interviews saying how she is done and how Medvedeva is great.
Yep, this is a narrative that's been pushed down our throats for years, from multiple angles. That Alina's retiring soon, that she's done, that she was just a one season wonder etc. etc. even though it obviously is already proven to have been untrue.

If there's any -actual- propaganda going on, it's the anti-Eteri propaganda.

Something I'm wondering is what's actually required for qualifying for GPF. I wonder if #2 and #3 spots would even be enough, or if you need a #2 and #2.
 
ISU's official youtube account view counts are kind of interesting, although they only have top 3. Trusova's at 71k whereas Anna's at 797k now. Tuktamysheva 13k.
What I find alarming is when someone posts completely objective numbers and statistics with zero opinions stated, it's "propaganda". I'd love to know your template for an objective post.

At least in the US, Trusova's skate is geoblocked (and also not published by NBC) whereas Anna's is not. It'd be interesting to see the view count if US fans could watch Sasha too!
 
I think, that's the spirit that Eteri promotes. Unexpected meltdowns aside Alena and Alina win 1 and 2 in France. Then whoever is second will be OK with the third at NHK because there will be no one better than 2+3. I assume that Anna wins in China. Even if we have some exotic scenario like: Liza, Young, Anna 2+3 will be enough if the combined score of either Alena or Alina is higher than that of Young - should not be a problem. In fact, 5 Russians + Rika/Young final is still possible:

One scenario.

France: 1. Alina, 2. Alena
Russia: 1. Sasha
China: 1. Liza 2. or 3. Anna
Japan 1.Alina/Alena 2. Alina/Alena/Rika 3. Whoever won in France

[email protected] right. You don't have to reinvent the wheel to win in France.
Alena and Alina already have a huge advantage in authority among all who will be there. Maybe they have the best 4 programs this season. They have no rivals there. 3A is not needed even in FS. Alena only needs to smile once more. Error-free skating and everyone else will be extras. Kaori will take 3rd place.
For Japan, there will be a separate strategy based on the results and condition of each girl. If anyone gets in trouble in France Eteri will use a new secret weapon. She's very secretive this season.
 
At least in the US, Trusova's skate is geoblocked (and also not published by NBC) whereas Anna's is not. It'd be interesting to see the view count if US fans could watch Sasha too!
Are you sure? It says Anna's free skate is geo blocked in USA on Youtube region checker. This service has been money for me for helping me determine which proxy to use to view videos.
 
At least in the US, Trusova's skate is geoblocked (and also not published by NBC) whereas Anna's is not. It'd be interesting to see the view count if US fans could watch Sasha too!

It has been annoying me that the videos from Skate Canada have been blocked in the US. To watch Zhenya’s program, I had to watch it through instagram!! I hope GP France won’t have copyright issues too
 
ISU's official youtube account view counts are kind of interesting, although they only have top 3. Trusova's at 71k whereas Anna's at 797k now. Tuktamysheva 13k.
What I find alarming is when someone posts completely objective numbers and statistics with zero opinions stated, it's "propaganda". I'd love to know your template for an objective post.

Counts are not always accurate due to many reasons. I’m certain you’re aware of that.
 
Are you sure? It says Anna's free skate is geo blocked in USA on Youtube region checker. This service has been money for me for helping me determine which proxy to use to view videos.

NBC: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=b14ImjKCf6Y
ISU: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uGCgJlDbZ4M
1TV: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4TccbJD8XXY

And there were a couple uploads I remember... one with 350k views and another with 100k views. It's probably been viewed about 2 million times on youtube and then her dress transition gone viral on both twitter, another site, and imgur and that was probably saw by another million people.
 
I think, that's the spirit that Eteri promotes. Unexpected meltdowns aside Alena and Alina win 1 and 2 in France. Then whoever is second will be OK with the third at NHK because there will be no one better than 2+3. I assume that Anna wins in China. Even if we have some exotic scenario like: Liza, Young, Anna 2+3 will be enough if the combined score of either Alena or Alina is higher than that of Young - should not be a problem. In fact, 5 Russians + Rika/Young final is still possible:

One scenario.

France: 1. Alina, 2. Alena
Russia: 1. Sasha
China: 1. Liza 2. or 3. Anna
Japan 1.Alina/Alena 2. Alina/Alena/Rika 3. Whoever won in France

The problem with for the one getting 2+3 at NHK is that the first tiebrreaker isnt total score but highest placement. So a 1+4 beats a 2+3 regardless of scores. If Anna wins in China (and Sacha at Rostelecom) like I expect her (/them) to there is no problem but if she where to struggle and place 3rd/4th she would still be in the final while opening up for others to get higher than 2+3.
But that being said my prediction for GPF is still going to be 4A + Rika + Lisa T/YY.

I think Eteri sees it as her goal to make each of her skaters score their maximum at each given comp regardless of how it affects other skaters, including her own. She would never willingly hold back one for the benefit of another. Even if it in my opinion would be smartest (if the main goal to get everyone in the GPF) to make sure that the one who is second at IdF beats the other at NHK
 
So ive been thinking about who has agood chance to go to the GPF this year. so far we have
1st place Sasha, Anna
2place Rika (+Brade who was 4th at SC and probably out)
3rd YY, Lisa T

I expect Alina and Alena to get 1 and 2 at IdF (but in what order is hard to say scoring potential is to me verry similair). 3rd place unpredictable but possibly Bell or Kaori

Cup of china has Anna, Lisa T and YY. I expect Anna to win this but as long as she podiums she is in. Unless Anna is 3rd only one of Lisa T and YY can get into the final since 3rd+3rd wont be enough. Satoko possible threat for a medal here.

Rostelecom is set up for Sasha to win and probably Evgenia to be 2nd. But since she was only 5th in SC this wont be enough. If she misses the short again it could invite Bell to have a shot if she medals at her IdF 2nd and 3rd could be enough. Satoko is also a contender for a medal here

NHK is the hardes one to predict since it has three top scorers (Rika, Alina and Alena) with similair scoring potential. I would give the edge to Rika since she usualy skates good in japan and will have home suport but I can see all three of the girls with either coloured medal. But since the 3rd placed skater will have at least a 2nd in their first event they should win the 2nd tiebreaker of all 2nd+3rd scoring skaters.

So here are my predicted qualifiers:
Sasha 1st+1st place
Anna 1st+1st/2nd place (3rd would keep her in but complicates stuff down below)
Alina 1st/2nd +1st/2nd/3rd
Alena 1st/2nd +1st/2nd/3rd
Rika 2nd+ 1st/2nd/3rd
YY/Lisa T 3rd + 1st/2nd

alternates Bradie, YY/Lisa T, Medvedeva (if second at Rostelecom), potentialy Bell (or someone else who scrapes 3rd+3rd/4th)

if Anna is 3rd at China and Lisa T an YY 1st and 2nd we get instead
Sasha
Anna
Lisa T
YY
winner of NHK (Alena /Alina /Rika)
2nd at NHK (Alina/ Alena /Rika)

Alternates 3rd place at NHK (Alena /Alina /Rika), Bradie, Medvedeva (if second at Rostelecom), possbly Bell (or someone else who scrapes 3rd+3rd/4th)

That pretty much sums up my thoughts too. But I have a feeling that Miyahara could be a factor. She might be the one who really shakes things up.
 
One of the problems with measuring popularity based on YT views (or other platforms) is that there will allways be more than one video showing the skates both on YT and other platforms as well as some of them being geoblocked for certain regions. Unless you can find all videos of every skater at one event and make sure that all of them have the exaxt same geoblocks one cant get an accurate measure of how many people have watched a certain skater.

For example for one comp I might watch one group live in the stream another skater (that I for some reason couldnt see live) uploaded to instagram and a third on youtube. But if you watch views on YT alone you will only see me watching only the third skater and not the first two and it will tell you nothing of my preference.

there might also be that for one skater there is only the isu uploded video versus another skater that has 10 videos. Comparing then only the isu videos are unfair since many skaters may have watched the second skater in any of the 9 other videos. But at the same time it is also unfair to compare total amount of views since skater two has 9 more videos that YT can suggest to people and therefore get more exposure.

In gennerall I would say that the comcept of popularity is pretty useless since it is fickle, everchanging and hard to define in any meningfull way. It can and will be vary in diffent places for different age groups and every other categorization of people you can come up with. It may matter in terms of marketability for sponsor but then views on YT is far to generall to be of any use anyway.

I am a nerd and therefore likes data but we must be carefull not to read to much in to it and I dont like it when people use it to put one skater down in comparison to another.
 
That pretty much sums up my thoughts too. But I have a feeling that Miyahara could be a factor. She might be the one who really shakes things up.

I would say it depends mainly on how her jumps get called. We know she has a tendency to UR and she would need to beat at least one of Anna, Lisa, YY in China as well as Medvedeva at Rostelecom to have a chance which I think will be hard unless the TP leaves her jumps alone. Bell also have an outside chance if she gets 3rd at IdF and beats Medvedeva at Rostelecom
 
Beautiful video with Alena, I liked the parallelism with the quotes for horses and interesting view for her parents, coaches. She shown a bit more of her character I think.(don't have the time to translate unfortunately)
 
At least in the US, Trusova's skate is geoblocked (and also not published by NBC) whereas Anna's is not. It'd be interesting to see the view count if US fans could watch Sasha too!
the view account for Sasha's historic skate would be off the charts.

What's a disgrace that Sasha's historic skate is blocked by NBC. Lol at them. Way to grow the sport guys. ;)
 
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