So ive been thinking about who has agood chance to go to the GPF this year. so far we have
1st place Sasha, Anna
2place Rika (+Brade who was 4th at SC and probably out)
3rd YY, Lisa T
I expect Alina and Alena to get 1 and 2 at IdF (but in what order is hard to say scoring potential is to me verry similair). 3rd place unpredictable but possibly Bell or Kaori
Cup of china has Anna, Lisa T and YY. I expect Anna to win this but as long as she podiums she is in. Unless Anna is 3rd only one of Lisa T and YY can get into the final since 3rd+3rd wont be enough. Satoko possible threat for a medal here.
Rostelecom is set up for Sasha to win and probably Evgenia to be 2nd. But since she was only 5th in SC this wont be enough. If she misses the short again it could invite Bell to have a shot if she medals at her IdF 2nd and 3rd could be enough. Satoko is also a contender for a medal here
NHK is the hardes one to predict since it has three top scorers (Rika, Alina and Alena) with similair scoring potential. I would give the edge to Rika since she usualy skates good in japan and will have home suport but I can see all three of the girls with either coloured medal. But since the 3rd placed skater will have at least a 2nd in their first event they should win the 2nd tiebreaker of all 2nd+3rd scoring skaters.
So here are my predicted qualifiers:
Sasha 1st+1st place
Anna 1st+1st/2nd place (3rd would keep her in but complicates stuff down below)
Alina 1st/2nd +1st/2nd/3rd
Alena 1st/2nd +1st/2nd/3rd
Rika 2nd+ 1st/2nd/3rd
YY/Lisa T 3rd + 1st/2nd
alternates Bradie, YY/Lisa T, Medvedeva (if second at Rostelecom), potentialy Bell (or someone else who scrapes 3rd+3rd/4th)
if Anna is 3rd at China and Lisa T an YY 1st and 2nd we get instead
Sasha
Anna
Lisa T
YY
winner of NHK (Alena /Alina /Rika)
2nd at NHK (Alina/ Alena /Rika)
Alternates 3rd place at NHK (Alena /Alina /Rika), Bradie, Medvedeva (if second at Rostelecom), possbly Bell (or someone else who scrapes 3rd+3rd/4th)